Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Tuesday - November 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(7/6)-(4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(4/2/1)-(7/4/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(7/4/3/5)-(6/8/5/3/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (7/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (6/8/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/3/9)-(6/8/5/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/3/9)-(6/8/5/3/9)-(6/8/5/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (2/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/9)-(2/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/9)-(2/8/3/9)-(2/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/9)-(2/4/9/10/1)-(3/1/11/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (2/4/9/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/10/1)-(2/4/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/10/1)-(2/4/9/10/1)-(2/4/9/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/9/10/1)-(3/1/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (3/1/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/11/5)-(3/1/11/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/11/5)-(3/1/11/5/7)-(3/1/11/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDIE CURDY Oct04 Sep08 Aug04 Apr20 Feb18 (gonzalez andr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.00    
LOVE TANK Oct26 Sep19 Aug24 Apr15 Mar14 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 1.80    
VALENCE Sep28 Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 Sep30 (garrett j)FUENTES A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIZZEN MILLIONS Sep28 Aug18 Aug11 Jun29 Jun13 (garrett j)HEBERT J 123 20.00    
MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Sep28 Aug04 May04 Apr20 Mar15 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 123 1.20 70% 0.40    
BOSTON PRINCESS Oct04 Sep08 Aug04 Jul06 Jun21 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-2   11/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYTHEMARKER Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 Apr13 Mar01 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 1.80 32% 2.20    
DISCOVERY N SIGHT Sep15 Mar22 Feb22 Jan26 Dec11 (marr h)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
ATTILA'S ACE Aug24 Jul19 Jun08 May18 May05 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00 9% 10.60    
DAN WHO Oct05 Sep18 Aug16 Apr21 Apr04 (g)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
ARTFUL CRITIC Mar15 Feb18 Feb02 Dec20 Dec04 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50    
AARON WHO Oct05 Sep26 Aug16 Jul20 Jun07 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 15.00 8% 11.30    
JET SET WARRIOR Aug23 Jun07 Mar01 Jan26 Nov06 (marr h)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 5.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARK THE DATE Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep12 Sep01 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by MARKING out of RENEWED VOWS by ATTILA'S STORM)
KENTUCKY GOLD Oct11 Jun09 Apr07 Mar08 Jul21 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 3.50    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of GOLD RUSH HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
I WANA WIN GOLD Oct11         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of BODIE'S GOLD by BODEMEISTER)
DREAM MONEY Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 Nov14   (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of CAVETTO by OASIS DREAM)
WALK ON WHISKEY Oct11 Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 Apr20 (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 121 5.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of OLD FASHIONED GAL by OLD FASHIONED)
ATTILA STYLE Oct11 Apr07 Mar21 Mar01 Feb09 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 121 10.00 6% 14.60    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of FASHION CITY by PRECOCITY)
MY YELLOWSTONE Oct23 Oct11 Sep28     (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121 20.00    
  (by KING BULL out of LOOSEWHEELSLUCILLE by WHEELAWAY)
 
ZIA-4   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEEKAY         (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of TRICKY R. by FAVORITE TRICK)
SINAI Mar29 Feb18 Feb08 Dec20 Dec04 (marr h)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of DESERT STEPPER by DESERT GOD)
STORM BY THE SEA Sep11 Jul20 Jun14 Jun02   (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CRAFTY JOI by MR. GROUSH)
MICKEYS TRAIL Sep26 Aug17 Jan25 Jan05 Sep14 (pierce w)VALDEZ S 123 6.00    
  (by AWESOME INDIAN out of MICKEYS LAST DANCE by PRECOCITY)
BEETHOVEN J Sep26         (barton )FUENTES T 123 3.50    
  (by MUSAITER out of SONGS SAY SO MUCH by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
J M BIG BOY Sep26 Aug06 Jul21     (green greg)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00 34% 2.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of ISOTOPE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
C JACK         (marr h)FUENTES A 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CHIPSHOT out of DEVONS CAT by ABAJO)
 
ZIA-5   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CALL Sep21 Aug08 Jul03 Jun20 Jun02 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
NEIMAN Sep29 Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
BYE Sep11 May19 Jun16 May27 May05 (green greg)ROSENDO J 123 8.00    
DEAN'S LIST Sep29 Aug29 Jul12 Aug24 Jul07 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
COMPETITIVE IDEA Sep29 Jan19 Jan05 Nov28 Nov07 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50    
SCR  PINEY BLUFF Sep15 Sep07 Jun09 May19 May05 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 50.00    
SWEET RIVER BAINES Sep26 Oct08 Sep02 Jun17 May18 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT TO FANCY Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jun16 May27 (danley )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
MAKE UP A STORY Mar29 Feb18 Jan18 Nov27 Oct15 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 119 3.00    
SCR  MS. POUNDS Nov14         (green greg)MEDELLIN A 119 8.00 8% 10.90    
HONKY TONK HONEY Sep07 Mar29 Feb18 Jan18 Dec19 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 119 3.00 15% 5.70    
MARK IT DOWN Oct18 Sep19 Sep07 Jul27 Jan18 (barton )FUENTES T 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCARY CHERRY May19 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01   (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 119 6.00    
MARK THE WINNER Oct18 Sep07 Feb18 Jan18 Nov27 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKED ACE Oct23 Sep01 Mar22 Dec19 Nov20 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.50    
SWAYING LASSIE Oct23 Oct11 Sep12 Aug17 May04 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00    
VEGUITA Oct23         (chavez arturo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00 12% 7.40    
KLOE'S LADYBUG Feb10 Jan15       (w)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
MY KINDA GIRL         (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
SILVER ABSTRACT Dec19 Nov20 Oct08     (morales)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00 25% 3.10    
POQUITO LADY Sep15 Mar22 Mar07 Feb09 Oct14 (four)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00    
MAMITA         (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 121 15.00 18% 4.50    
PARK IN THE DARK Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 May11 Apr14 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRINKROUNDTHETRUTH Sep12 Jul26 Jun02 Apr04 Nov27 (marr h)FUENTES A 121 3.50    
HIT BTWEEN THE ICE Sep26 Sep14 May19 May05 Apr13 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
SPEED BUMP BOB Oct20 Aug16 Jul27 Apr28 Mar22 (vega a)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  DANJERUS STORM Oct05 Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 May27 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 50.00    
SCR  CROSSFIRE COWGIRL Sep03 Jul29 Jan15 Jan01 Dec13 (middlet)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 20.00    
SPORTS IDOL Oct06 Sep22 Aug02 Jun14 Jun02 (orda)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
RONCHETTI Jul20 Jun02 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 2.50    
SERPICO R S S Sep29 Sep07 Aug16 Jul27 Apr21 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 25% 3.00    
SHAME ON WHISKEY Sep26 Sep01 Jul26 Mar29 Mar14 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  GEORGE WHO Sep01 Jul14 Jun25 May07 Mar26 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 4.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRYS CHANCE Sep26 Oct11 Sep01 Jul21 Jun09 (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHUG'S ROCKET Oct20 Oct09 Sep08 Aug23 Jul19 (lambert case)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 47% 1.10    
EVERYBODY KNOWS Oct20 Oct05 Sep26 Sep11 Aug17 (amparan albe)FUENTES A 121 2.50    
COMFORT J BYRD Mar28 Feb15 Dec20 Nov20 Nov13 (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 119 8.00 14% 6.00    
BORNINASMALLTOWN Oct20 Aug03 Jul19 Jun08 May18 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 15.00    
EVERYROSEHASATHORN Aug23 Apr07 Mar29 Mar07 Feb22 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 119 5.00    
WATTS Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 Aug23 Aug16 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
LET EM RIP Oct13 Sep19 May18 May04 Mar29 (martinez e)TORRES J 121 12.00    
I'M A DREAMER TOO Oct09 Sep07 Aug03 Jul19 May27 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 6.00 13% 6.60    
10  BIG D W Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 Aug18 Jul29 (m)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLS Oct02 Sep05 Jul28 Jun07 May11 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  TRUCKIN Oct02 Sep18 Sep02 Aug16 Dec08 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 3.50    
HARDBALL Oct18 Jun29       (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
NINE LIVES ELMER Oct02         (b)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
STELLA BOY Oct16 Mar08 Feb23 Jan18 Dec18 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
PEVS FLAT OUT FAST Oct18 Oct02 Sep05 Dec08   (barrios)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 50.00    
THREECARDMONTE Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 Aug18 Jul28 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
JOHN JOHN Oct18 Oct02 Jun14 Mar21 Mar08 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00    
SPARKIEINFRONT Oct16 Oct05       (gutierrez l)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
SCR  RIG IT RIGHT Oct16 Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 May04 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 20.00    
11  GIMME MONEY Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun02 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.