Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/3/5)-(6/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/4)-(3/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/4)-(3/8/5/4)-(3/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(3/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-8   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-9   WIN (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-3   10/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Oct14 Sep02 Aug17 Aug09 Jul28 (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 125 2.00    
2  MISS MCBRIDE Oct06 Aug31 Aug02 Jun07 May25 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.60    
3  KEEPMEINPOWER Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  DRAMATIC FLAIR Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul13 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
5  BLAZING SUN Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Oct15 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
CTD-4   10/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIKIS GOLDEN TOUCH Oct13 Sep28 Sep06     (brown r)PARRIS SACHIN 112 15.00    
2  SOLAR FORCE Oct05 Sep14 Aug23     (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 122 0.60 35% 1.80    
3  SPIRIT CHASER Sep29 Jul17       (rycroft)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
4  HOPE SHINES Oct12 Sep29 Aug31     (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 6.00    
5  SASSY SAMMY         (nicholson dav)LUNAN RICHARD 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
6  ONEMOREFORTHEROAD Sep29         (kettles)CHASE RICHARD 122 10.00    
 
CTD-5   10/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECIO'S SKYE Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  NO MORE JO KING Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Jul24 Jul13 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUEEN RHONDA Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 5.00    
4  I'VE GOT ALL NITE Sep17 Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
SCR  RICHARDS COMMAND Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 Jul20 Jun28 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00    
6  BOOTIFUL ROSE Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul24 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
CTD-6   10/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART PLAY Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00    
2  KAUAI DAN Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 Jul10 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 2.00    
3  SKIPPER'S PRIDE Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul05 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  SILENT RUNNER Sep28 Sep13 Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00    
5  SPACE Sep07 Aug24 Aug05 Jul01 Jun08 (snow mel)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  CLASSY CITY Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 Jun07 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-7   10/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Sire Debutante Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SASSY PIPER Sep28 Sep13       (tingle)PATTERSON R 121 50.00    
  (by TEEMAN out of SASS N' BRASS by RUN TO VICTORY)
2  EL CORRECAMINOS Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug24 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 15.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of GIFTED BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
3  JODEYS LIL PAIN Sep29 Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 124 1.00 52% 0.90    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
4  WE THE FRINGE Oct05 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 (biggs seymour)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of SAINT SASSY SUE by SAINT STEPHEN)
5  KULSUM Oct13 Sep14 Aug24 Jul28 Jul05 (brown r)NELSON DANE 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
6  PARZANNI Oct06 Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 (davies deann)NATERA KEIHTON 124 20.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ACARPIAN by REPENT)
7  MORNING RAIN Sep14 Aug09 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of CALL ME CHARM by TRIBAL RULE)
8  DIAMOND DI Sep29 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 124 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of MY STORMI LOVE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CTD-8   10/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Sire Stakes Derby Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASSANO Sep21 Aug31 Jul31 May31 May18 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
  (by CAR TALK out of S. L. EXPRESS by ROSBERG)
2  CAPE'S LEGACY Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 124 20.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
3  TENNESSEE MOSES Sep22 Aug30 Jul31 Jul06 Jun07 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 4.50 ★    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of BLUMIN CAT by CAT THIEF)
4  THISCATSGOTSPEED Oct12 Sep22 Aug30 Aug10 Jul31 (hedge rick)BECKLES JARELLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of KITTY KRISSEY by KISSIN KRIS)
5  J J'S CAPER Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of THREE JACKS by KAHUNA JACK)
6  DONTBRINGMEDOWN Sep22 Aug03 Jul06 Jun22   (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of PLUNGE by EL ROBLAR)
7  WHEN U KNOW U KNOW Oct06 Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun08 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 124 3.50    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of LIL MISSKNOWITALL by KAFWAIN)
 
CTD-9   10/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACHECO Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00    
2  H K RAPPER Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug25 Aug18 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00    
3  BRODY'S PAL Oct05 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Aug10 (biggs seymo)BECKLES JARELLE 123 4.50 34% 2.00    
4  HARBOR DANCER Oct06 Aug30 Aug09 Jul28 Jul05 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 122 20.00    
5  STRATEGIC DECISION Oct06 Sep21 Mar14 Jan28   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  HANDSOME HENRY Oct13 Sep22 Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.50 14% 6.40    
7  CROWN OF CAIRO Sep29 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.