Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-5   WIN (8/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/3)-(8/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-7   WIN (5/7/9/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/8/6)-(5/7/9/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GRP-8   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-9   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-2   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Oregon Hers Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTRAFINE XTINA Aug24 Jul04 Jun22 Oct08 Oct01 (beckner ter)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 1.50    
  (by REVOLUTA out of STOPIN MEMO by TRIBAL RULE)
LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug07 Jul10 (williams ga)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 15% 5.50    
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
SCR  IM IN IT TO WIN IT Jun30 Sep11       (guerrero )MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 126 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TRUE BELIEVER by SMART STRIKE)
JADED SECRETS Sep15 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 Sep11 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 5.00    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
RODEO ROSE Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 Aug03 Jul04 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.40 43% 1.30    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CLEMENS BROOK by PETERSBURG)
 
GRP-4   10/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST OTOBA Juvenile Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REMEMBER MALIBU         (mccormick da)MARTIN A 125 4.50    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SERENADE THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
KISS THE TIGER Sep01 Aug04 Jun09     (mccormic)MURO ISIDRO 125 2.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
TRIUMPH ROAD         (mccormick dar)LOPEZ E 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by RISE UP out of MORGAN LANE by CHESTER HOUSE)
NASTIKA'S SECRET Sep15         (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE 125 3.50    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of NASTIKA by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
CRYSTALIZED SECRET         (stillwell tucke)ELLIS DEVON 122 6.00 17% 5.10    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of GILMORE GIRL by MATTY G)
GET DOWN         (harwood ryl)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 6.00 17% 5.10    
  (by RISE UP out of MY HALO IS RUSTY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
GRP-5   10/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PINUP Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul10 (hoover cindy)MEEKS MICAH 121 20.00    
LASSIE CAT Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.50    
ASK ALICE Sep30 Sep08 Aug30 Jul06 Jun21 (bozell a)MURO ISIDRO 126 8.00 6% 14.60    
WINANYWAYUCAN Sep08 Aug16 Jun23 Jun01 May18 (velasquez ri)MARTIN A 124 2.50    
SCR  STREET TIGER Sep23 Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 Jun14 (guerrero emilio)ELLIS DEVON 124 15.00    
SCR  ELLE VICTOIRE Sep23 Sep15 Aug30 Aug24 Aug07 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00    
SCR  SYGRAYEM Aug18 Jul20 Jun15 Jan15 Jan05 (magallanes he)LOPEZ E 124 3.50    
JEWELED AGAIN Sep22 Sep08 Aug07 Jul11 Jul04 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 124 10.00 32% 2.20    
MIGHTY GYPSY Sep23 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jun30 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
GRP-6   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Oregon His Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL THAYER Sep15 Sep02 Aug25 Jun29 Jun15 (harris john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of PATA BLANCA by MODIGLIANI)
WHISKEYJACK Sep22 Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 Jul03 (mccormic)MURO ISIDRO 124 1.50 40% 1.50    
  (by RISE UP out of OUR LINDSAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
SECRET SAGA Sep22 Sep09 Jul28 Jul03 Jun01 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of FORTY SOMETHING by FORTY WON)
CABALLERANGO Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug10 Jun22 (boyle mary)GUERRERO C 126 5.00    
  (by RETURNING out of DON'T LAUGH AT ME by MAHOGANY HALL)
PRINCE OF MEMPHIS Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 Jul26 Jun29 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E 124 10.00    
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
MR MEMPHIS Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00    
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
 
GRP-7   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORDY G Jul06 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec30 (lyons s)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00    
WORKDAY Sep29 Sep09 Jun30 Jun08 Mar22 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 10.00    
SCR  BIG BAD BRIAN Sep29 Aug31 Aug25 Aug09 Jun09 (stillwell tucke)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00    
KEEN JAMES Sep22 Sep09 Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 (cox jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 20.00    
CONNECTER Sep30 Sep16 Sep08 Aug23 Jul14 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
SHERRYS BABY Sep30 Sep08 Aug08 Jul12 Jun22 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
TAVERNELLE Sep30 Sep16 Aug09 Jul04 Jun16 (mcdevitt )JENSEN P 126 8.00 8% 11.90    
SOLDATNA Sep30 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 (baze robert)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.50 6% 16.20    
CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Sep23 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 7% 14.30    
10  DANZ TILL TEN Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug09 Jul07 (swanson )MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00    
 
GRP-8   10/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW EVERY MORNING Sep29 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00    
SUMMER SHANDEE Sep29 Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 Aug16 (perez hilario)LOPEZ E 126 10.00    
BEAU MISCHIEF Sep23 Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 Jul27 (lowe nic)MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50 60% 0.70    
MISSED CALL Sep29 Sep08 Sep01 Aug04 Jul06 (guerrero emilio)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00    
SCR  DECIMATE Sep01 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (rosale)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00    
ANNA'S IRON MAN Sep22 Sep15 Aug23 Aug10 Jul28 (morris michael)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.50 8% 12.00    
WITHEE Sep30 Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 Sep16 (abrahamson m)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00 6% 15.40    
 
GRP-9   10/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTE'S DIAMOND Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jun22 Jun16 (beckner l)MEEKS MICAH 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
ALY'S NATION Sep15 Jun29 Jun15 Jun08 Oct02 (kowalsky ha)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
APRICOT BRANDY Sep22 Aug09 Jul19 Jul03 Jun22 (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 8.00    
ALWAYS GALLANT Sep22 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 (velasquez r)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
GOOD JOB JACKIE Sep30 Sep15 Aug09 Jul04 Oct02 (klapatch )JENSEN P 126 3.00    
MO SUGAFOOT Sep16 Sep02 Aug23 Jul04 Jun23 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.