Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/3/2)-(5/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(4/1/2)-(3/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-7   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-8   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANNY MAC Sep21 Sep13 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 Jul10 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.40    
3  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Sep21 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
4  LIL ZAPPER Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 (gilkyson as)BECKLES JARELLE 125 20.00    
SCR  NO PEOPLE Sep29 Sep13 Sep07 Aug23 Aug16 (bell jessi)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
6  BROWNING ISLAND Sep21 Aug28 Jul01 Jun14 Jun07 (heggie rod)POON ANDREW 125 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
CTD-2   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARMA Sep22 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 13% 6.60    
2  BURNING UP Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 2.50    
3  SMOKIN JOY Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 Jul06 May24 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00    
4  MISS MCBRIDE Aug31 Aug02 Jun07 May25 Oct15 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.20 47% 1.10    
5  PARZANNI Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 (davies dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
6  MILITARY SASS Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 May24 May17 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
CTD-3   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPE'S LEGACY Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 6.00    
2  QUATRE BAK Sep21 Sep06 Jul27 Jul01 Jun15 (oberholtzer ke)CHOW CHAVION 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOUG'S HERO Sep22 Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jun22 (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  HARBOR DANCER Aug30 Aug09 Jul28 Jul05 Jun08 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 122 10.00    
5  WHEN U KNOW U KNOW Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun08   (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
6  SILENT COUNT Aug30 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May04 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 4.50    
 
CTD-4   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACHECO Sep21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 Jun22 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 2.00    
2  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jun28 (russell monica)BRYAN D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Sep07 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 Jun08 (anderson g)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
4  BARAK Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 3.50    
5  MENDELJOHN (IRE) Sep21 Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 Jun28 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  DOC COPE Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Oct08 Sep23 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
CTD-5   10/06/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODEMONSTER Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.50    
2  VIATURE Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 123 2.50    
3  WHERE'S THE GOLD Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Jun28 Jun08 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAB SAV Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 56% 0.80    
5  COUNTRIFIED Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50    
6  SPORTSCARR Sep21 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 123 6.00 8% 11.00    
 
CTD-6   10/06/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITIAN Sep07         (kingston )ZENTENO JR 122 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of THE WINGED VENUS by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  COUNTY WINDS Sep07 Aug17 Jul31 Jul13 Sep16 (leech willi)BECKLES JARELLE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
3  PASSAGE Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 Jul31 Jul13 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by BLAME out of LONG VIEW by GALILEO)
4  WORKIN FOR THE MAN Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul17 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SEEK TO DANCE by GONE WEST)
5  OUR SUNSHINE Sep07 Aug30 Jul31 Jul13 Jun08 (russell monica)BRYAN D 125 12.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
6  STRATEGIC DECISION Sep21 Mar14 Jan28     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LAURENMYCHANELGIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
7  THUNDER GOLD Sep21 May25 May04     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of CARMEN'S KISS by MACHO UNO)
 
CTD-7   10/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONE IT UP Sep22 Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 Aug04 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00 19% 4.20    
2  PRANCE Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Jul24 Jul10 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  DANCE SHOES Sep14 Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 Jun22 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 0.80    
4  WHO'S THAT BABY Aug30 Aug24 Aug09 Jul28 Jul19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 8.00 36% 1.80    
5  ARUNDEL CASTLE Sep22 Aug31 Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 (gilkyson as)BECKLES JARELLE 123 8.00    
SCR  NOVEL Sep07 Aug03 Jun28 Jun08 May04 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 5.00    
7  OOPS AND DOWNS Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 15.00    
 
CTD-8   10/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIPPER'S PRIDE Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
2  NICE GUY EDDIE Sep14 Aug24 Jul31 Aug25 Aug04 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.00    
3  THALES Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 May27 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 125 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  SQUALOTORO Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
5  TORIADOR Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 ★    
6  RACE HOME Apr17 Mar18 Oct21 Sep19 Aug25 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KAUAI DAN Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.