Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LBG-3   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-4   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-5   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(4/3)-(8/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LBG-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-7   WIN (8/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIPSTICK LADY Sep07 Aug28 Jul08 Jun17 Aug29 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
2  RUNNIN BABY J Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 Jul07 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00    
3  KATE'S PRINCESS Sep18 Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 Jun25 (cameron dean)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 1.40 49% 1.10    
4  CRITICAL CONDITION Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun08 Oct09 (speaks de)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.00    
5  JADED TIGER Aug17 Aug10 Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 (smith jacki)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 9% 9.70    
6  DAZZLING MIST Aug18 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00 ★    
7  DYLAN'S SAVE Sep14 Sep01 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 (clarke chan)EDWARDS A 124 10.00    
 
LBG-3   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERMOT'S DILEMMA Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (rycroft clinton)APANGO JUAN 124 12.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHINNY MAGOOGIN by LATENT HEAT)
2  YOU BACK Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SPECIAL DREAM by OFFICER)
3  EDDY BEAR Sep01 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Oct14 (depew jim)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00    
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
4  CHICKS DIG CAPES Sep01 Aug18 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 (clarke chan)EDWARDS A 124 10.00 5% 17.60    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CHECKPLUSCHICK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  MIRRORED Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Sep02 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.40 28% 2.50    
  (by PONTIFF out of DISCREET MISS by DISCREET CAT)
6  DISTORTED ROSE Sep01 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ZANITA ROSAE by SKIMMING)
7  INNOCENT MAN Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 (cameron dean)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
8  HOCKEYDAYINCANADA Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 (rutherford)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
  (by EDISON out of A LITTLE ACTION by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
LBG-4   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUD FUSAICHI Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SILENT FUSAICHI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  ABRAA JABRAA Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 (birdrattler shain)BUGEAUD L 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by ABRAAJ out of HOLY MAMA by HOLY BULL)
3  CMON SHARON Sep14 Sep01 Jul01 Jun08 Sep23 (willard marsha)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00    
  (by BENCH THE JUDGE out of TRUSTY LASS by TEMPERED APPEAL)
4  FIREFLOWER May19 Sep03 Jul22 Jul15 May14 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
  (by EVERYDAY HEROES out of FICKLE by GOLDEN RANSOM)
5  GWIZZ Sep14 Sep01 Jul27 Jul21 Jun28 (calfrobe kaylon)SIMPSON W 124 6.00    
  (by PALACE out of SHE'S COPACETIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  SECRET HAVEN Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jun16 Oct21 (cameron d)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SUPER SHACK by SHACKLEFORD)
7  FIRST EMERALD Sep07 Aug25 Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 (weaselhead )GORDON GARFIELD 124 12.00 10% 8.70    
  (by STANFORD out of EMERALDS MISS by EMERALD CREME)
8  CHICLE SPARKS Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Jun16 Oct07 (mohindee mankumar)ROCHA O 124 4.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of PRIVATE VIEW by MR. PROSPECTOR)
 
LBG-5   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ FUNNY Sep02 Jul01 Aug02 Jul25 May30 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of HA HA TONKA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  PERFORMATIVE Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SMART ROAR by SMART STRIKE)
3  TOP OF THE ROCK Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 Jun16 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of ROCKY TOP GIRL by ROCKY BAR)
SCR  NO MOR DISCO Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul27 (shearer krist)FUENTES FREDY 124 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DISCO DAMSEL by GILDED TIME)
5  LITTLE J P Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul13 Jun09 (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 0.80    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of DANCES ON WATER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  OBVIOUS Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul07 Jan13 (little nol)NELSON RYAN 124 2.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of ELUSIVE HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  BOESER Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 (rutherford)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PURE PRECISION out of KALUKI by GO FOR GIN)
 
LBG-6   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPERIAL GO BOY Sep21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of TENDRA'S WAY by JADE HUNTER)
SCR  PAPICHULO Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 (mcconaghi)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
  (by SCHRAMSBERG out of GONE IN A WHISPER by PENTELICUS)
3  SABURO'S GRACE Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul13 Oct08 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SABURO out of MIZ GRAYCEE by MIZZEN MAST)
4  CHRISTINE'S JACK Jul28 Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 Jun09 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MUSKETIER out of KISSAMEE GLITTER by TEXAS GLITTER)
5  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Sep14 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 (cameron dean)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
LBG-7   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBATE Sep15 Sep02 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 (oberholtzer d)FUENTES FREDY 124 10.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of BREEZE SHOW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  LANDRY KYLE Sep14 Aug25 Jul14 Jun22 Jun08 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50    
  (by KIPLING out of LE GRAND FROMAGE by WAR)
3  THE COMRIE RULE Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 Jun28 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STAR CHANT by MR. GREELEY)
4  ZIBO Aug25 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Sep17 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 12.00    
  (by NORTHERN INDY out of BERTIE by BERTRANDO)
5  SAYITALL Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 (snider cor)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALLABOUTDREAMS out of TRICKEY DIVA by ABAGINONE)
6  WILD ARCH Aug24 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jun29 (cameron dea)GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
  (by ARCHARCHARCH out of WILD IN THE SADDLE by SILIC (FR))
7  SASSY CINDERELLA Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 (rycroft clin)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CINDERELLA BRITE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
8  JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Sep14 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (calfrobe )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of DEPUTY MISS by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.