Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (1/7/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/4/2)-(4/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/4/2)-(4/7/1/6)-(3/5/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
GP-2   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(3/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(3/5/2/4)-(8/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-3   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/4)-(8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/4)-(8/5/2)-(10/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-4   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/2)-(8/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/2)-(8/5/2)-(8/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/2)-(10/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2)-(10/6/2)-(3/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
GP-5   WIN (10/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/2)-(10/6/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/2)-(10/6/8/2/7)-(10/6/8/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/6/2)-(3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/6/2)-(3/2/7)-(7/8/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(7/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(7/8/3/6)-(3/4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/6)-(7/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/6)-(7/8/3/6)-(7/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/6)-(3/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/6)-(3/4/5/2)-(6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-8   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR PRYCE Jul20 Jan06 Dec09 Nov25 Oct29 (fawkes david)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
PATTY'S HAVING FUN Aug11 Jul07 May24 Apr14   (santillana fran)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
POLA OF TROUBLE Jul26 Jul07 Jun09 May03 Apr14 (ochoa gerard)RIOS M 120 8.00    
MIGUEL'S BELLE Jul27 Jun28 May24 Apr21 Mar21 (david carl)VAN DRAYDEN 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
MARTHAMAYWHOVIER Aug04 Jul21 Jun27 May12 Mar24 (palmer nicho)MORELOS E 124 12.00    
BOTH SIDES Aug11 Jul27 Apr03 Mar17 Feb03 (vinson g)PEREZ EDGAR 124 6.00 9% 10.80    
HOW BOUT DAT Aug04 Jul14 Jun06 Jan21 Dec14 (spatz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 5.00 9% 9.60    
NUMERIC Aug18 May10 Apr06 Mar15 Feb28 (crichton ro)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 8.00    
BURN THE BREEZE Aug04 Jun29 Jun07 Feb17 Feb03 (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 124 4.50    
SCR  NOVELLIE Apr26 Feb03 Jan05 Dec14 Oct29 (aguayo ramon)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 20.00    
11  MOON ROSE Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 Apr26 Mar16 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 124 30.00    
 
GP-2   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADAM MITOLE         (bennett s)FERRER C 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of YABBA by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  MONEY BOUQUET         (perez lu)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of MCLOVIN IT by AFLEET ALEX)
HAPPY SUNDAY         (yates michael)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of RUBY ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
IN OTHER WORDS         (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LEMHILL BASR by QUALITY ROAD)
SMILE PO         (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GRIN by FLATTER)
SPAGHETTI TREE         (gulick jam)VAN DRAYDEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of WINTER SOLSTICE by UNBRIDLED)
MS. AVENTINA         (bennett gera)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DESERT DUCHESS by HARD SPUN)
BOSTON TWEET         (spatz b)JARAMILLO E 118 4.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of MOON TWEET by MALIBU MOON)
 
GP-3   08/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE WOLVES Jul20 May01 Apr07 Apr28   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 4.50    
DISATTACHED Aug09 Oct28       (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 5.00 7% 13.90    
SHANKAR Jun30 Jun08 May19 Apr27 Mar08 (joseph saf)VAN DRAYDEN 125 1.80 55% 0.80    
SWASHBUCKLE Aug11 Jun27 May25 Apr19 Mar16 (negrete jav)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
COPPERLITE Aug10 Jun01 Nov14 Oct03 Aug25 (ramsey nolan)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 2.50 13% 6.80    
THE MAR Aug04 Jul12 May11 Apr14 Mar14 (nunez eduardo)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 12.00    
ICE THE KICKER Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 May02 Apr04 (david a)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
 
GP-4   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLATTER ME AVERY Aug09         (yates michael)RIOS M 118 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of STARSHIP AMANDA by PUT IT BACK)
RIP RIDING AWAY         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00 10% 9.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of VILLACORA by PULPIT)
SCR  SLEW DIVA         (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CAT DIVA by UNCAPTURED)
SCR  CHOSEN FACTOR         (gulick m)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of STARSHIPUNFAITHFUL by DIALED IN)
CASH DUE         (spatz b)ROJAS RENZO 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of HOT ZONE by WAR FRONT)
JAZZ N BLUES Jul26         (fisher davi)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 30.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of I'MPUREBLUE by PURE PRECISION)
I'MALWAYSTHINKING         (yates michael)PANICI LUCA 118 6.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of HAPPY SHOES by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
MADDY R         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of FAMOUS by VINDICATION)
 
GP-5   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIALITHIC Aug02 Jul05 Jun01 Apr07 Mar20 (dobles elizabet)PEREZ EDGAR 120 6.00    
SUDOKU TERRY Jul28 Jun28 May03 Apr06 Feb09 (crichton ro)GONZALEZ MELVIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SARAH'S DREAM Aug04 Jun22 Sep27 Aug31 Jul30 (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 12.00    
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY May05 Oct06 Sep03 Aug02 Jul15 (o'connell kat)TREJOS JOSEPH 125 30.00    
SCR  MY HAPPY HOLIDAY Jul05 Jun20 May26 Apr25 Apr06 (zanelli dant)MORELOS E 120 30.00    
BUBBLY CHAMPAGNE Jul19 Jun22 May19 Apr13 Mar09 (d'angelo f)PANICI LUCA 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
BONMATI Jul20 Jul05 May26 Apr20 Mar28 (narvaez carl)ZAYAS J 120 8.00    
GOSSIPER Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 Jun01 May02 (gonzalez oscar )JARAMILLO E 120 6.00    
FREE TO ROAM Aug16 Jul21 Jul05 May26 Nov24 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 125 5.00    
10  ROTONDO Aug03 Jul06 Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 (o'connell kath)REYES LEONEL 120 4.50 43% 1.40    
11  ROSE VIEW Jul27 Jul14 Jun01 May24 Feb24 (laurin rog)VAN DRAYDEN 120 15.00    
12  MISS HOLLY Aug02 Jul12 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 (cascal)VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 20.00    
SCR  SAUCY SIX Aug03 Jul21 Jun28 May19 Apr26 (keith)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
SCR  ON THE NILE Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 Mar31 Mar13 (luna luis)ROJAS RENZO 120 30.00    
 
GP-6   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPARINO Aug02 Jun30 Jun09 Apr20 Feb24 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 119 4.00    
MITBY Aug04         (joseph saf)VAN DRAYDEN 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
ANCHISES Jul06 Apr27 Oct13 Aug25 Jul21 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 1.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  GOOD BUMP May01 Mar01 Feb16 Oct22 Sep29 (romero rafa)SANCHEZ M 124 30.00    
LYLA'S LUCKY BOY         (paramo martin)GIL CIPRIANO 124 20.00    
BROADCASTER (IRE) Apr13 Mar10 Dec23     (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
VINO FOR THE QUEEN Jul26 Feb24 Feb03 Dec29 Dec01 (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-7   08/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT ATTITUDE Aug09 Jul13 Jun20 May23 Apr18 (ochoa ernest)MORELOS E 122 20.00    
GONE NUTS Jul28 Jun22 May23 Apr13 Apr07 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 122 3.00    
GOLDEN SKULL Aug04 Jun20 Jun01 Apr18 Mar20 (santiago jo)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 8.00 11% 8.30    
NORFIE Aug09 Jun20 Jun01 May10 Apr04 (passle)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
CAMPTOWN RACES Jun22 May30 Apr28 Apr03 Mar06 (torre)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 20.00    
SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Jan17 Jan07 Dec27 Nov25 Nov03 (jehaludi mo)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE PLAY KING Jul14 Jun16 Jun06 May19 Mar14 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
CARSOWN Jul13 Jun01 Mar20 Feb14 Jan17 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 2.50 12% 7.70    
 
GP-8   08/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAY SOLDIER Aug11 Jul05 May16 Apr12 Mar24 (collazo henry)REYES LEONEL 122 30.00    
PRETTYKEEN Jul05 May31 May05 Mar24 Feb23 (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE DOVE RULES Aug02 Jul05 Jun09 Apr12 Feb10 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
FOGGY NOTE Jul27 Jun28 May25 Apr21 Aug11 (spatz rona)VAN DRAYDEN 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
BREEZERO Jul21 Jun01 Mar13 Feb04 Nov25 (joseph a)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00 10% 8.80    
TATOR MADE Aug02 Jul14 Jun23 May16 Apr24 (lopez mario )MORELOS E 122 15.00    
VAL'S GAL Aug02 Jul14 Jun08 May16 Apr25 (maragh a)MARAGH TONY 122 6.00    
SCR  ST. PAT'S DAY Aug02 Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 Jan14 (cazares laura)FERRER C 122 3.00    
 
GP-9   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIZZICATO Aug09 Jun02 Apr24 Mar23 Mar10 (rivera francis)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00    
SIEMPRE VALIENTE Sep24         (vinson g)FERRER C 119 6.00    
FOR THE THRILL Aug09 Jul19 Jun30 Jun20 Apr28 (williams matth)REYES LEONEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED LEGACY Jul27 Jun20       (delgado jorge)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 3.50 13% 6.40    
LACE CURTAIN Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun02 May02 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
LADY ROSETTE Aug09 Jul07       (yates micha)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 1.60 59% 0.70    
CAJUN ANTHEM Feb10 Dec28 Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 (smullen heat)MORELOS E 119 4.00    
LOLA LOCA Aug09 Jul19 Jun20 May24 Apr28 (duco luis)ROJAS RENZO 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.