Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/5/1)-(3/2/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/2/5)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/5)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(1/5/3)-(1/6/5/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/6/5/4)-(7/4/1/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/6/5/4)-(7/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/4)-(7/4/1/3)-(6/1/7/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/4/1/3)-(6/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERETHEMONEYWENT Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 (martin dean)ALI RONALD 123 15.00 14% 6.10    
LADY NYLA Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 4.00    
WITT'S TENNY TEN Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 Oct22 (delaronde lee)PARRIS SACHIN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISS LANGSKIP Jul30 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Sep12 (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 123 6.00    
MISS BIKINI Jul16 Jul03 Jun11 Jun03 Nov23 (gittens d)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00    
GIDDY UP ZOEY Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 Sep13 Aug29 (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
 
ASD-2   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELDON G Aug04 Jul28 Jul21 Jul13 Jun15 (wilson ro)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
FRANKS RELOAD Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun17 Jun03 (stanford ma)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 25.00    
SHOOTIN MONEY Aug12 Jul02 Jun24 Jun18 May20 (dickey elton)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
EXOTIC'S BEAR Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.20    
DROP A CARIBOU Jul23 Jul15 Jul08 Jun03 May20 (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
SABER QUEEN Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 May28 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 15.00    
 
ASD-3   08/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Distaff Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH THE DREAM Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 118 5.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of OUT OF THIN AIR by J BE K)
MECHANIC SUSIE Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 May27 Aug23 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 118 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
MELISANDRE Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Aug22 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 118 1.00 40% 1.50    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
DAZZLING GOLD Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 15.00    
  (by TRUE SENSE out of GOLD NITE DESTINY by HAUS OF DEHERE)
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun17 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 10.00 8% 12.00    
  (by NONIOS out of RUSSIAN JEWEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
ASD-4   08/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMIC STRIKE Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 May27 (anders)PATTERSON R 117 1.80 35% 1.90    
DIXIE MO Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 Oct07 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 5.00    
SHARP LIKENESS Aug13 Jun07 Apr26 Mar30 Feb24 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 117 12.00 6% 15.50    
HAPPY HOUR Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 Jun03 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 117 6.00    
EAGLE EXPRESS Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Apr28 Apr07 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.40 28% 2.60    
DAWN OF THE DEVIL Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 Aug14 (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 123 20.00    
 
ASD-5   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRE Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 Jun04 Jan30 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
HEZADOOZIE Jul16 Jul02 Jun05 Sep13 Aug22 (ross courtn)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 12.00    
LT. NORM Aug05 Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 119 5.00    
RESERVE PROOF Aug05 May27 Apr27 Apr14 Mar08 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR. DAZZLE Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 May21 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
CURLY ESA Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Apr30 (keshane norb)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
MAGNOLIA SPEED Aug05 Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 119 15.00    
STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 May05 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.60    
 
ASD-6   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNTODAY Jul22 Jul02 Jun03 May20 Apr07 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
MR. STANG Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 Apr30 Feb20 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 3.00    
CHICAGO'S GRAY Jul16 Jun26 Jun10 May20 Sep19 (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BRODY'S STREAK Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun10 May20 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.00 19% 4.20    
PRAYFORPEACE Jun26 Jun05 May20 Apr27 Apr06 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 20.00    
TOTALIZER Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 May20 (tourangeau )DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 6.00    
JEFF FA FA Aug05 Jul16 Jun05 May20 Feb09 (anders)PATTERSON R 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
SCR  MARKET KING Jul22 Jun07 May22 Sep12 Aug22 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 25.00    
 
ASD-7   08/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIARS CLUB Aug03 Jul21 Jul14 Jun19 Jun05 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
WILL KNOWS Jul29 Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun12 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
HOUSE LIMIT Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May21 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.00    
CAMPS BAY Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 Apr27 Mar16 (sanderson bruce)ALI RONALD 124 30.00    
REALLY SLOW Aug13 Jul29 Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 (zawislak dal)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 20.00    
MAYBE SOMETIME Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 Sep12 Aug08 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
CELERITY Jul29 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 Apr27 (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 5.00 14% 6.40    
HA HA FOR YOU Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 Apr21 Jan11 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.