Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(8/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(8/4/2)-(5/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2)-(5/1/2)-(1/2/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/2/8/7)-(7/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/7)-(7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/7)-(7/3/8)-(6/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(6/7/4/2)-(7/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(7/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-7   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IBN SINA Jul12 Jun15       (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD RUSH DEPUTY         (cryderman cand)REYES R 121 8.00 25% 3.00    
STYLISH MANNER Jun15         (baze robert)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00    
PAKAS SECRET Jun29 Jun15 May19 May04 Mar29 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.00    
WISTERNOFF         (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
PHAROAHS LIST Jul13 Sep15 Aug24     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
 
EMD-2   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET WILLOW         (wisdom anne)REYES R 119 6.00    
LANI'S SWEETHEART Jul07 Jun22       (martinez b)MAWING A 117 5.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  RUBY RENDEZVOUS Jul07 Jun22       (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 119 6.00    
MOONLIGHT GREY         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00 14% 6.20    
DYNAMIC DEE DEE         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 119 8.00    
DYNAMIC FIRE         (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 119 12.00    
ROCKYSCENTS Jul14         (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M 119 3.50    
SHESAYSHELLO Jul14 Jun22 Apr25 Apr11   (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
EMD-3   08/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOGIE ON DOWN         (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 15.00 22% 3.50    
DREAM TIME Jul26 Jul06 Jun23 May28 May20 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JACOB YEN Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 Sep02 Aug18 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 4.50    
ROPER Jul26 Jul12       (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 12.00    
MONGOLIAN SPRING Jul19 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May18 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 30% 2.30    
COY ROY Jun29 Jun08 May19 Apr24   (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 1.80    
CHINOOK BEND Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 Jun08 May25 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50    
 
EMD-4   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY GRACIOUS Jul19 Jun30 Jun01 May11 Apr20 (markle dan)REYES R 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR Jul03 Jun16 May11 Aug20 May29 (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
MONARCA DE ORO Jul20 Jul03 Oct08 Sep18 Sep10 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 118 4.00    
MUMBLES BROCKMAN Jun22 May25 May11 Mar10 Jan15 (homer ja)AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00    
UNBRIDLED VIOLET Jul19 Jun16 Jun01 May11 Jul15 (madrigal elodio)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
SEEYAMIA Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 May18 Nov17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00    
BELLAREIGN Jul21 Jul07 May26 Oct01   (bozell alan)MARTIN A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRAZED N' CONFUSED Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 Dec31 Nov25 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-5   08/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME MOVE Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 Feb22 Sep03 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 122 12.00    
SCR  HANDR'SDREAM Jul03 Jun23 Jun14 May26 Apr30 (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 122 5.00    
ELEVADO Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 May12 Apr13 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 6.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  MARCH ON LINCH Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 May18 (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
PIRATE RED Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 Sep16 Aug20 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00    
GYPSY GUN Jul27 Jun23 May26 May04 Aug04 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 4.50    
MOONLIGHTNWINE Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 Jun08 May19 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
CLUB MESQUITE Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun16 Jun02 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-6   08/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIREWALKER Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 May04 Sep17 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 125 12.00    
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 May18 Sep16 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISTER MAFIOSO Jul20 Jul03 Jun16 Jun01 May11 (patino faustino)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00    
FANTASTIC DAY Jul14 Jun23 Oct09 Sep04 Aug20 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
CHUCKANUT BAY Jul20 Jun29 Jun07 May26 Jun30 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
DIRT ROAD RED Jul27 Jun29 Jun02 May12 Sep17 (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
WELTON Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr15 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
EMD-7   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A KRAKEN Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 May31 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
APRICOT BRANDY Jul19 Jul03 Jun22 Jun07 May11 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 10.00    
CAMDEN HIGH Jul27 Jul14 Oct02 Sep17 Aug26 (morris m)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
WEGOTTODRINKING Jul14 Jun08 Apr14 Apr05 Mar17 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 125 12.00    
METEOR SHOWER Jul27 Jul03 Jun22 May25 May12 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50    
REALREALGOOD Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 Jun08 Apr29 (hernandez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
HEY BARMAID Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 May26 May11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.