Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(4/3/1)-(9/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(9/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(9/3/6)-(5/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/6)-(9/3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/6)-(9/3/4/7/6)-(9/3/4/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/3/6)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/3/6)-(5/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(9/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/6)-(9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/6)-(9/2)-(5/7/3/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/2)-(9/7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2)-(9/7/4/2)-(9/7/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/2)-(5/7/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/2)-(5/7/3/6)-(4/7/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/6)-(4/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADIOS PLUMA Aug17         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 2.00    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Jul19 Jun22 May17 May10 Mar21 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
DICEY GREY Jul27 Jul07       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 4.00    
JAMAICAN WAR CRY Jun13 Apr15 Jan24 Jan03 Nov20 (knoblauch-)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
BESOTTED Jul13 Jun13 Apr18 Apr06 Feb17 (atkins michae)ADAMS L 111 15.00    
TAPPEDWITHSUCCESS Jul05 Jun13 Apr26 Apr06 Mar09 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
DREW D'ORO Jul15 Jun13 Aug08 Jun04 May12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  ART'S LAST DANCE Jul25 Jul05       (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00    
 
CT-2   08/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTHA'S HEART Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May17 Apr26 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLASS STAR Jul25 Jul13 Mar30 Mar22 Mar09 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
BREAKING BULLET Jul18 Jun28 Apr25 Apr04 Feb09 (walter)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
LOVELY LUCY Jul18 Mar13       (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
BOBBI TWO STEPS Jul20 Jun15 May24 May10 Apr20 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.50    
SPECIAL NOTE Jul13 Jun14 May22 Apr27 Feb10 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 116 4.00    
GONE WITH THE WYN Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May16 Apr26 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 118 12.00    
 
CT-3   08/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY BOSS ALLEN Jul19 Jul04       (sigler g)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Jul19 Jul04       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
BAIL IS DENIED Jul19 Jul04       (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
  (by JUBA out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
IM THE DIRECTOR Jul19 Jul04       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
MANNY TOO Jul19         (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATHENA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
JOHN'S NOTION         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
TOODLESWASMYNAME         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
SCR  ENTICE ME         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
  (by ENTICED out of TRACINGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JUBA'S HEART Jul19         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 57% 0.80    
  (by JUBA out of EMPRESS HEART by BODEMEISTER)
10  DIRECT APPEAL Jul19 Jul04       (clatterbuck fr)REAP E 122 30.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CT-4   08/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER CROSROAD RVF Jul25 May16 Mar28 Jan05 Dec13 (runco jeff)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  MOVING PICTURES Jul25 Apr28 Mar22 Mar07 Feb10 (craig armont)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
ROAD SLEW Jul25 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 Jun07 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.50    
LOST WEEKEND Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Jun07 May23 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
BIG SMILE Jun29 Jun08 May18 May09 Apr20 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 1.60 41% 1.40    
CHICA CHUCK Jun15 May26 May05 Feb02 Jan14 (maldona)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUBYS FLASH Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 Mar29 Feb24 (maldonado j)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 20.00    
 
CT-5   08/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE PAR Jul04 May29 Apr24 Apr05 Mar07 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 8% 11.40    
WINDSOR'S PLAY Jul25 Jul11 May23 May09 Apr12 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
RIDE THE RAPIDS Jun21 May31 Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 3.00 12% 7.30    
BEST VIRGINIA Jul11 May09 Mar20 Feb28 Dec13 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
BOUNDTOBEOK Jul20 Jun22 May25 May11 Apr12 (adorno l)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May18 May11 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUANTICO CREEK Jul20 Jun08 May17 Apr25 Mar22 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
SCR  AFLEET DIVA Jul20 Jun13 May13 Apr17 Mar26 (jones micha)ROBLES O 117 4.50    
 
CT-6   08/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER SPIRIT Jul19 Jun29 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 (aylor william )REAP E 120 12.00    
VAN HOOK Jun29 May24 May02 Apr11 Mar15 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET FACTOR Jul21 Jun29 May29 May15 Apr27 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
G'S FIREBALL Jul28 Jul06 Jun14 Jun01 May16 (robb gina)PEREZ XAVIER 118 2.50    
THE MONEY MACHINE Jul11 Apr26 Apr05 Feb24 Feb15 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jul19 Jun30 May18 Apr19 Apr12 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
SPEEDY BUBBLES Jul25 Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr23 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
LINDA'S TAJ Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May11 May02 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 4.50    
PAYNT YOUR WAY Jul12 Jun27 May02     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 67% 0.50    
 
CT-7   08/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 WET FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAP EM UP Jul22 Jul07 Jun11 May27 May04 (campbell larry)RIOS-CONDE A 115 50.00    
HARDLY EVER BETTER Jul12 Jul04 Jun07 May18 May09 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
GRAND ESCAPE Jun08 May11 Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
INSIDE RISK Jul27 Jun20 Jun01 May11 Mar22 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 120 30.00    
IMPERIAL KING Jun27 May24 Apr13 Jan05 Sep06 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
PRIZE FIGHTER Jul06 Jun27 Jun08 May11 Apr20 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEY BOOTS Jul12 May17 Apr28 Apr11 Mar21 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 1.60 20% 3.90    
 
CT-8   08/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZE FOR DAZE Jul19 Jun07 May10 Apr25 Apr11 (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 12.00 10% 8.90    
GETTIN SPICY Jul18 Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 Apr26 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 119 20.00    
SCR  KVELLION Jul29 Jun17       (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
UNCLE PRESS Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May10 Apr19 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
YAREAKH Jul18 Jun22 Apr25 Apr05 Feb22 (gazzier kristy)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
COLONIAL ROAD Jul26 Jul18 Jun22 Jun07 May11 (campbell larry)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE RICHIE Jul18 Apr25 Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
FAPPIANO HALO Jul18 Jun22 Mar15 Mar07 Feb01 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 118 30.00    
SCR  RACING HOT LINE Jul19 Jun07 May16 Apr25 Apr05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.