Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Sunday - August 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/1/3/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/1/3/5)-(3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CBY-2   WIN (6/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/5)-(3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/5)-(3/2/1)-(11/3/5/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(11/3/5/1/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(11/3/5/1/8)-(5/1/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-4   WIN (11/3/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/5/1/8)-(11/3/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/5/1/8)-(11/3/5/1/8)-(11/3/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/5/1/8)-(5/1/7/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (11/3/5/1/8)-(5/1/7/6)-(7/8/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CBY-5   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6)-(7/8/9/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/6)-(7/8/9/4)-(3/4/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CBY-6   WIN (7/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/2/4)-(7/8/9/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/9/4)-(3/4/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/4)-(3/4/5/2)-(5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-7   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(5/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
CBY-8   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT SARENA Jun27 Jun01 Dec08 Nov14 Sep09 (biehler michael )PENA BRYAN 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
O'BABE Jun27 May25 Mar27 Feb21 Feb03 (scherer gar)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 1.60    
WINGS FROM ABOVE Jun27 May25 Apr27 Mar17 Mar01 (riecken bruce)HARR KELSI 122 8.00    
VOW Jun27 Jun16 Jun01 Apr26 Apr06 (williams ma)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
CHASING SHADOWS Jun27 Jun01 May03 Apr07 Mar14 (riecken bruc)FUENTES A 122 5.00    
 
CBY-2   08/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETYAR AZETS Jul07 May25 Apr19 Apr05 Mar02 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
WILLOWMYGIRL Jun22 Jun02 Feb15 Jan31 Oct14 (woolley ben)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
OCTANE (BRZ) Jul25 Jul06 Jun29 Jun09 May25 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
MIZ CALI Jul14 Jun29 May25 Apr06 Mar17 (donlin d)HARR KELSI 122 8.00    
JEWEL AZUL Jun09 Apr29 Apr11 Mar19 Feb27 (woolley l)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
DIRT FLIRT Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 Jun01 Apr15 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 1.80 49% 1.10    
ANN ALEE Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 Apr15 Dec30 (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00    
 
CBY-3   08/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME MO MONEY         (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of MS MO MONEY by UNCLE MO)
TWIN EMPIRE Jul14         (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PARIS SUNSET by KITTEN'S JOY)
REGAL MAJESTY Jul14         (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SILVER LULLABY by NAJRAN)
RUBY'S POSSE         (hanson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of BRIGHT BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
THUNDER KIN         (berndt joel)HARR KELSI 118 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ACTING CHIPPER by STREET SENSE)
JUST WIN BABY         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 4.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TEE EM EYE by CYCLOTRON)
 
CBY-4   08/04/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHY SHY Jun27 May03 Oct11 Sep13 Sep02 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND DEE Jun23 Jun06 May25 Apr30 Apr22 (lund valori)MORALES ROBERTO 119 15.00    
FASHION IDOL Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 Apr19 (velazquez br)FUENTES A 124 3.00 22% 3.40    
MIDNIGHT LANE Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 Sep16 Aug20 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.50    
HATTIE BLOOM Jul14 Jun22 Jun06 May12 Apr21 (scherer gar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00 10% 8.90    
GODDESS OF WAR Jun27 Jun02 Apr29 Mar11 Feb19 (lu)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
SCR  MIWOMAN Jun22 Jun02 Apr26 Mar29 Mar02 (riecken bruc)FUENTES A 119 3.50    
MASTER JANE Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr20 (rushton)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHURCH SERVICE Jun30 Apr21 Mar29 Mar02 Feb17 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 12.00    
10  SMOOCHING Jun25 May31       (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 119 10.00    
11  JOCASTA Jun30 Mar13 Feb15 Jan19 Dec31 (scherer gary)PENA BRYAN 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
CBY-5   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY UP Jun22 Sep03 Aug12 Jun04 Dec16 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
TOMBI Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 May04 Apr27 (ru)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
DA GHOST Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 May18 Aug26 (roberts b)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 2.00    
BIRDIE MACHINE Jul06 Jun27 Jun06 May18 Apr20 (berndt joel)HARR KELSI 124 12.00    
LIBERTARIAN Jul21 Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 May04 (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 47% 1.10    
MAGNET AND STEEL Jul06 Jun09 May26 Nov13 Oct26 (fields pa)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
IN HONOR OF AUTISM Jul27 Jul14 Apr30 Apr17 Oct28 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 8% 11.40    
 
CBY-6   08/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA IS SHORT Jul04 Jun23 Apr22 Mar25 Feb19 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 12.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of SUMMER NIGHTS by SIBERIAN SUMMER)
SMARTY BE GOOD Jun23 May25 Apr27     (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 5.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of INTROVERT by SMARTY JONES)
TACTICAL EXPRESS Jul24 Sep13 Aug26     (tr)DA FAUSTO 119 20.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of TACTICAL GIRL by TACTICAL CAT)
PETIT JEAN May03 Apr05 Mar23 Feb24   (riecken b)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROM SHOES out of POSSE'S STARLET by POSSE)
RED VOLTA Jul04 Jun23 Apr21 Mar21 Feb25 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 3.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BAY OF FABLES by POINT OF ENTRY)
MIDSHIP MOLLY Jun29 Sep02 Aug09     (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LION CUB by LION HEART)
HA HA GLORIA (IRE) Jul21 May19 Oct22     (rosin w)FUENTES A 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SENDING         (cline n)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00 9% 10.10    
  (by DELIVER THE STORM out of ALEXANDRIA J by FOREST CAMP)
KIND KISMET         (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00 9% 10.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of NAGZILLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MISS YOU NO MORE Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 Apr05 Mar24 (rushton stetso)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00    
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
11  THUNDERS SONG Jun23 Mar14 Feb28     (kenney ry)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 119 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THUNDER AND HONEY by THUNDER GULCH)
 
CBY-7   08/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST ISLAND Jun22 Jun06 May11 Mar30 Jan27 (donlin larry)FUENTES A 124 4.50    
GLENDALE Jun30 May27 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 (roberts j)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER WISE Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 May25 Mar31 (scherer g)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
PAPA RIZZO Jun27 Jun01 May18 Apr16 Jul27 (roberts blai)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
COUSVINNYSACANUCK Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 May18 Apr21 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
SKIPPY'S STRIKE Jul27 Jul03 Jun22 Jun13 Jul29 (bedford kat)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 5.00    
SCR  STABILITY Jul03 Jun13 May19 Apr21 Mar11 (garrett ty )QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 3.00    
FLY NIGHTLY Jul27 Jun09 May04 Apr04 Mar18 (ramaekers eric)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
 
CBY-8   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO Jul25 Jul07 Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 (gomez alejand)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 12.00    
SCR  WHEN JUDY CALLS Jun27 May25 May04 Apr09 Apr02 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 2.00    
BEBOP BABY Jul07 Jun13 Jun01 Apr23 Apr08 (ro)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
BRAHMS IS WHO Jul07 Jun13 Jun01 Sep13 Sep04 (tranquilino sant)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00    
MIGHTY GIN GIN Jun30 Jun09 Mar15 Feb24 Feb09 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
CHAMA Jul14 Jul29 Jul23 Jul15 Jun24 (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
ANGIE'S REVRAC Jul07 Jun13 May25 Apr27 Apr13 (muckey john)HARR KELSI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.