Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(2/3/1)-(5/7/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/7/2/8)-(2/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/8)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/8)-(2/1/3)-(1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/6/2)-(3/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(3/4/2)-(2/4/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(2/4/3/7)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/7)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/6/5/7)-(1/3/6/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMEISGOLDEN Jul06 May31 May11 Apr19 Mar15 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 122 5.00    
NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Jul02 May31 Apr19 Mar21 Jan26 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
STYLISH PAINT May31 Dec06 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00 33% 2.00    
CASTLE OF CAYLEE Jul20 Jun01 May11 Apr19 Apr05 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
SALTY SAUL Jun21 May31 Apr06 Mar28 Mar07 (tobin l)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
SCR  SECRET CASTLE Jun29 Jun01 May11 Feb15 Jan26 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40    
CALYPSO GHOST Jun21 May31 May11 Apr13 Mar29 (harting chri)LEWIS M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   08/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE REASON Jun28 Jun06 Apr26 Mar23 Mar09 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE BIT OF THAT Jul18 May09 Mar09 Feb16 Jan04 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.40 65% 0.50    
DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Jul18 May09 Mar20 Feb14 Feb01 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60 11% 7.80    
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Jul03 Jun16 May17 Apr19 Feb02 (martinez j)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 20.00    
SHUTUPN'KISSME Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 Apr26 Mar20 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 May23 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
SHELLBY May17 Apr13 Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 4.00    
 
CT-3   08/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LACE REVOLUTION Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Aug12 Jul22 (shanley mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.50    
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Jul12 Jun21 May31 May17 Apr27 (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 Apr06 Mar23 (frock l)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Jul04 Jun21 May23 May02 Mar27 (comi ra)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
DIVINE FASHION Jul12 Mar29 Mar08 Jan26 Jan05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
FORTUNATA ITALIA Jun21 May31 Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
ROCK ROSE Jul03 Jun21 May31 Nov27 Oct26 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 4.00 21% 3.80    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 May23 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBERS POINT Jul11 Jun22 May23 Apr25 Apr11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 21% 3.80    
MAGGIE'S GIRL Jul11 Jun01 Apr13 Mar29 Nov25 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
JUBA'S PARADE Jul11 Jun22 May30 May03 Apr13 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
XANTHE Jun22 Apr13 Mar22 Feb01 Jan10 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
MOONLIT SHADOW Jul11 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
CHANGE THE WORLD Jul13 Jun22 May25 May03 Apr13 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jul16 Jul05 Jun14 May16 Apr27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 24% 3.10    
LONA LEE Jul05 Jun14 Apr27 Feb01 Dec14 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHEWONTTALKTOME Jul13 Jun20 May30 May16 Apr27 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 120 2.50    
SYMPTOMATIC Jul06 Jun08 May16 Mar20 Mar08 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00    
SCR  PHILMARY CASTLE Jun08 May17 Apr18 Feb15 Jan31 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
IMPRESSIONISM Jul05 May30 Jan13 Dec17 Oct29 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.00 23% 3.40    
JUMPIN JACK BRASS Jul05 May30 May09 Dec14 Nov25 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
SCR  PALACIO Jul26 Jun28 Jun06 May16 Apr27 (tobin edwi)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   08/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN DIEM Z Jun21 Jun07 May27 Apr04 Sep18 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00    
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Jul25 Jul05 Nov30 Oct21 May26 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
STELLARS IN CHARGE Jul26 Jul06 May31 Apr29 Mar30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.20 62% 0.60    
ONE TRUTH Jul26 Jun20 Jun11 May24 May09 (dimitriou harr)REYNOLDS C 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
THANK YA PETE Jul12 Jun21 May31 May10 May04 (cooney )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jul25 Jul12 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
Z MYSTIQUE Jul12 May04 Apr06 Mar14 Feb22 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
GOLDEN ADAGE Jul12 Jun21 May31 May09 Apr18 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
 
CT-7   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Jul19 Jun27 May09 Mar22 Feb07 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
SOCIAL CHIC Jun22 Apr20 Mar30 Feb07 Nov18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
NO CHANGE Jun27 Apr20 Mar30 Nov18 Oct14 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
MUAD'DIB Jun22 Apr20 Mar30 Feb07 Nov18 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 3.50 26% 2.90    
LITTLE ROO ROO Jul12 Jun15 May24 May09 Nov16 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
TEACHINTHERELEASE Jul19 Jun20 May24 Apr06 Mar16 (murdock s)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
REMYS SHOWTIME Jul24 Mar30 Feb29 Feb07 Jan25 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS E BOOGS May30 Apr20 Mar27 Feb23 Feb07 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   08/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOY OVI Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 Apr19 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
SHUFFLE Jul11         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 119 20.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of NUMEROUS MOVES by NUMEROUS)
HARLEY SIOUX Jul12 Mar28 Mar06 Jan03 Dec02 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
DIVA'S DEMON Jul11 Jun21       (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 119 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
BIG JOE B Jul12 Jun28 Jun21 May30 May10 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
ROMANTIC WARRIOR Jul12 Jun21       (lewis r)MAWING A 124 4.00    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of ROMANTIC TWIST by WILD RUSH)
EL MORITO         (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
MAJESTIC SUNDAY         (straughn wil)LEWIS M 119 15.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of TIZ SUNDAY by TIZWAY)
PEDAL TO THE MOON Jul12         (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 119 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.