Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/3/6)-(8/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(8/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(8/1/2/6)-(7/3/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/6)-(7/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/6)-(7/3/1/2)-(2/6/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2)-(2/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(2/6/7/5)-(6/3/8/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/5)-(6/3/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(6/3/8/2/4)-(3/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/3/8/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2/4)-(6/3/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2/4)-(6/3/8/2/4)-(6/3/8/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2/4)-(3/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2/4)-(3/1/2)-(3/4/10/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/4/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/4/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/6)-(3/4/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/10/6)-(3/4/10/6)-(3/4/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORK CHOP PETE Jun15 May31 May11 Apr20 Mar21 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 0.60 75% 0.30    
2  DE'S CASTLE Jun07 May03 Apr13 Mar21 Feb29 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
3  EL PACHO Jun21 Nov29 Oct28 Sep08 Aug17 (reyes )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
4  MAGICAL SURPRISE Jun20 Apr19 Mar07 Feb17 Jan04 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
5  MISSIONARY Jul06 May25 May16 May03 Mar30 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TWO BRONZE STARS Jul04 Jun20 May31 May11 Nov03 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 118 2.50 ★    
 
CT-2   07/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE ALERT Jun18 Jun01 May11 Mar08 Feb24 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 3.50    
2  TIME TO CHOOSE Jun28 May23 Apr19 Mar14 Mar01 (reyes )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
3  MAKIN' GOLD Jul04 May24 May09 May02 Apr13 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  HAZEDNCONFUSED Jul07 Jun15 Jan31 Jan12 Nov01 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
5  CANDY FOR JUBA Jun28 Jun07 May24 Apr19 Mar14 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  SCARE DEM Jul06 Jun15 May09 Mar23 Mar02 (pyke joseph)LEWIS M 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   07/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBI TWO STEPS Jun15 May24 May10 Apr20 Apr04 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  GOLDEN RUN Jun15 May17 Apr20 Apr04 Mar27 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00 13% 7.00    
3  SHESARUNAWAYTRAIN Jun28 Dec08 Sep01     (pennella rhea )REAP E 122 30.00    
4  HOME TOWN FAV Jul07 May16 Oct19 Sep27 Aug30 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00    
5  GATOR TWENTY FIVE Jun28 Jan20 Dec06     (lewis willia)LEWIS M 117 30.00    
6  HEY MACARENA Jul06 Jun15 Jun06 May17 Apr25 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NEVER MORE VALOR Jul07 Jun15 May03     (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 3.50    
8  S S ITS FUN TO RUN Jun15 May30 May10 Apr20   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
CT-4   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr12 Mar21 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.80 13% 6.50    
2  SMOKIN LADY Jun21 May23 Apr06 Mar14 Mar01 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMBERLY Jun28 Jun13 Jun01 May11 Apr19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  MISS WAVE Jun21 Mar21 Feb21 Jan24 Nov08 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
5  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Nov25 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
6  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Jun01 May11 Apr19 Apr05 Mar14 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
7  ARROWWOOD Jun01 May11 Apr12 Mar21 Feb21 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
CT-5   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIFORNIA CODE Jun29 Jun14 May11 Apr25 Apr04 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.00    
2  BOUNDTOBEOK Jun22 May25 May11 Apr12 Mar22 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
3  QUANTICO CREEK Jun08 May17 Apr25 Mar22 Feb29 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
4  TRAVEL SMART Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr26 Apr05 (harris)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
5  MIDNIGHT REGRET Jul04 Jun08 May10 Apr06 Mar27 (dillon l)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLEARLY VISIBLE Jun29 Jun08 May18 May11 Apr19 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  STARSHIP BLANCA Jun06 Apr06 Mar16 Feb19 Feb05 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00 9% 10.00    
 
CT-6   07/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALYPSO JOHN Jun29 Jun06 Apr19 Mar07 Feb17 (contreras jav)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
2  DR RENDEZVOUS May18 May02 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
3  SPYDYLEGS Jun08 May18 Apr26 Apr13 Mar08 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
4  MONKEY WRENCH Jun29 Jun13 May18 May02 Apr06 (barahona isaac)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUBA'S MOCHA Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 Apr26 Mar28 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
6  TAKE YOUR TIME Jun29 May31 May02 Sep22 Aug11 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  ROAD PUNCH Jun29 Jun08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep28 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
8  GREATEST NOTION Jun20 Apr13 Mar21 Feb24 Jan24 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00 7% 12.60    
9  SHINEY GHOST Jun29 Jun08 May18 May10 Apr26 (aylor william )REAP E 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Robert Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGEMENT DAY Jun27 Jun06 May09 Mar09 Feb01 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of BENCH RULING by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  MARSHALL PEANUT Jun28 Jun15 May11 Apr06 Mar16 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CROOKED AGAIN by TASTE OF PARADISE)
3  JUBAWITHATWIST Jun27 Jun08 May11 Apr27 Apr06 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 0.60 54% 0.90    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
4  BREAK THE CHAINS Apr13 Feb16 Jan28 Jan11 Dec15 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAID IN SILENCE by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  YOU BET A FORTUNE Jun16 May27 May11 Apr22 Apr03 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SKY FORTUNE by SKY MESA)
6  SOUL CATCHER Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TUXEDO LADY by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  PAPA LINGUINE Jun07 Mar23 Feb17 Jan27 Jan05 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of MOM'S RAVIOLIS by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
CT-8   07/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BID ON BLUE Jun28 Jun21 May10 Apr19   (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SYNERGIST by SMOOTH BID)
2  TOWN HOT Jun27 May16 Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 (pyke joseph)THORPE DARIUS 119 15.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
3  MEGS GOLDEN BOY Jul12 Jun27 Jun21 May30   (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 114 6.00 51% 1.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
4  GHOSTLY LEO Jul06 Jun07 May17 Apr05 Mar13 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 4.00 12% 7.70    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Jun28 Feb02 Jan24     (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 119 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
6  BIG BAD BRASS May20         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
7  ROOMMATE MARTIN Jun07 May16 Mar30     (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of BYE BYE BLUES by ADIOS CHARLIE)
SCR  BIG BOY OVI Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 Apr19 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 2.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
9  CANO'S BABY Jul11 Jun07 May03 Apr11   (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 119 50.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of JENNY REDI MADE by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
10  RUDD'S ROCKET Jun27 May16 Apr25 Mar28 Jan24 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 119 3.00 9% 10.10    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSY DI by CHARITABLE MAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.