Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/4)-(5/3/6)-(2/8/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/8/5/1)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/1)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/1)-(2/4/3)-(6/2/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/2/4/1)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/1)-(2/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(6/2/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(6/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(6/2/4/8)-(7/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/3/8)-(6/2/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/4/8)-(7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE SPIRIT Jun06 May27 May04 Apr14 Mar23 (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
LINDA'S TAJ Jun28 Jun01 May11 May02 Apr20 (dollinger-s)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 122 3.50    
MARTHA'S HEART Jun28 Jun08 May17 Apr26 Apr12 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
DASHING LASS Jun01 May23 May11 Apr11 Mar30 (shanley ti)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
GONE WITH THE WYN Jun28 Jun01 May16 Apr26 Apr05 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
GLASS STAR Mar30 Mar22 Mar09 Feb09 Jan05 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
MRS. SPEAKER Jun28 Jun01 May16 Apr25 Apr12 (comi w)LEWIS M 115 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
CT-2   07/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTERN BET Jun06 Apr19 Mar21 Feb17 Jan12 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00    
SCR  NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Jul02 May31 Apr19 Mar21 Jan26 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
LUCKY BLONDE Jun22 May23 May03 Apr11 Mar30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jul04 Jun01 May09 Apr25 Mar20 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
THENCOMEMORNING Jun16 May23 Apr13 Mar15 Feb18 (lucas bonnie)HO WESLEY 120 1.20 32% 2.10    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Jun22 Jun01 May11 Nov25 Nov03 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ VINNO Jun15 May22 Mar08 Feb04 Jan06 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.50    
 
CT-3   07/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKINGISALWAYSKING Jul07 Jun06 May16 Apr25 Apr04 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CIRCLE THE MOON Jun29 Jun07 May23 Apr26 Mar24 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 1.40 43% 1.30    
TIZAFASTBULLET May31 Apr19 Mar14 Feb22 Jan12 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.00    
STAVANGER Jun06 May16 Apr25 Mar13 Feb21 (racanelli mark )RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
BALI'S SHADE Jun28 Jun15 May31 May17 May04 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
MOONSET Jun29 Jun08 May24 Mar30 Mar06 (frock l)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
THE GREAT GAZOO Jun27 May25 May04 Apr06 Mar22 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
EL DE CHIREL Jun30 Jun14 May30 Mar08 Feb21 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
CT-4   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZZURRA Jun22 May04 Apr13 Mar08 Feb10 (barber donal)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
OVERNIGHT POW WOW Jun14 Jun01 Apr27 Mar16 Feb14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 0.60 56% 0.80    
SAYYESTOTHELADY Jun06 May11 Apr25 Mar30 Mar15 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHANGE THE WORLD Jun22 May25 May03 Apr13 Sep22 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.50 16% 5.10    
SENECA ROCKS Jun22 May27 Apr13 Mar23 Dec12 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
SCR  BOUNDTOBEOK Jun22 May25 May11 Apr12 Mar22 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-5   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNITE THE GIRLS Jun20 May23 May02 Apr19 Mar20 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN SABINE Jun29 Jun08 May24 May17 Apr19 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Jun07 May17 Apr20 Apr05 Mar06 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 116 15.00    
MALIBU YEARS Jun20 May24 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 (johnson r)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 17% 4.70    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE May30 May16 May04 Apr18 Apr05 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
SHEWONTTALKTOME Jun20 May30 May16 Apr27 Apr18 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 116 1.40 23% 3.40    
PETTY PERFECT Jun20 May30 May09 Oct27 Sep21 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 8.00    
GHOST OF ALCINA Jun20 May16 Apr20 Jan04 Nov17 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
SCR  PALACIO Jun28 Jun06 May16 Apr27 Apr20 (tobin edwi)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 50.00    
 
CT-6   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENIZETTI Jun22 Jun07 Apr27 Mar29 Sep30 (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
RAISE A RUCKUS Jun20 May31 May10 Apr19 Mar28 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
COURT TUDOR Jun22 May11 Apr25 Apr05 Mar23 (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
LOVE IS WICKED Jun28 Jun22 Apr13 Mar30 Mar13 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00    
SEA OF TRANQUILITY Jun07 May17 Apr25 Mar21 Feb24 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50    
EVANESCO May31 May10 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
RIDE THE BRAND Jun20 May10 Apr05 Mar13 Feb24 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jul06 Jun29 Jun08 Jun01 Apr25 (pennell)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 20.00    
 
CT-7   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADLEY DO RIGHT Jun22 Jun06 May16 Apr25 Apr05 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 4.50    
PRIME SHOPPING Jun27 Jun07 May16 Apr11   (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
GRANDY Jun22 Jun01 Jan26 Jan05 Oct14 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 5.00    
PARK AVE PRINCE Jun28 Jun21       (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
SEATTLE PRINCE Jun21 May30 May03 Apr13 Mar13 (craig lewi)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 118 20.00    
YOUTHFUL ENERGY Jun01 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 Feb14 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 2.50 30% 2.30    
W V LAD Jun01 May03       (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 116 20.00    
GOLDEN ASSET Jun21 May17 Mar28 Mar15 Mar06 (rangel )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jun22 May18 Mar30 Mar15 Nov22 (lewis r)MAWING A 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUFF'S CAT Jul05 Mar23 Nov15 Sep22 Sep07 (pennella rhea )REAP E 124 30.00    
FUJI FIRE Jun23 May12 Apr25 Apr11 Mar22 (jones michae)LEWIS M 113 2.50 14% 6.40    
TIZAWINNER Jun22 Jun13 Jun01 May25 May16 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.00    
BESOTTED Jun13 Apr18 Apr06 Feb17 Feb01 (atkins mich)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 118 20.00    
RAMBUNCTIOUS RIDE May18 Mar20 Feb22 Oct13 Sep08 (soldo elain)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
IRISH KING Jun01 May18 Apr20 Nov22 Oct21 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00    
SENSUAL CHOCOLATE Jun22 Jun01 May16 Mar13 Feb19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 59% 0.70    
IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Jul03 Jun11 Jan27     (galligan gerard)ACOSTA D 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.