Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (2/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/7/3/4)-(3/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/4)-(3/2/7/8)-(1/2) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
WO-2   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/2/7/8)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/8)-(1/2)-(2/5/7/3) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
WO-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (1/2)-(2/5/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/8/4/5/7) 40 $0.20 $8.00 
WO-4   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/5/7/3)-(2/8/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/3)-(2/8/4/5/7)-(4/1/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-5   WIN (2/8/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5/7)-(2/8/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5/7)-(2/8/4/5/7)-(2/8/4/5/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/5/7)-(4/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/5/7)-(4/1/3)-(6/4/2) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
WO-6   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/4/2)-(7/8/9/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/4/2)-(7/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WO-8   WIN (7/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/5)-(7/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/5)-(7/8/9/5)-(7/8/9/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELENTANO Apr27 Dec15 Nov26 Oct29 Oct19 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 124 3.50    
BACKROADSBILLY         (buttigieg paul )MORAN DAVID 119 8.00 25% 2.90    
UNCLE'S THE BANKER         (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 8.00 17% 4.90    
FRAC RIGHT Dec17 Nov26       (dunslow mi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
IMPERIAL STAR Jun02 Sep10 Aug28 Jul17   (huarte frank)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.50    
INDY COWBOY Sep17 Aug27 Jul23     (glazier michael)DEFREITAS C 119 10.00    
HE SHOOTS HE WINS Dec17 Nov17 Oct08 Sep24   (mcknight nor)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
WO-2   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWAQA Apr27 Dec09 Nov23 Oct21 Sep21 (grant carlos)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 15.00    
SMOKEN CHLOE May05 Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 Oct26 (mcclachrie den)STEIN JUSTIN 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
GHOSTLY PERFECTION May05 Dec07 Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 (tiller rober)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
IRON PRINCESS Apr27 Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 Dec08 (mattine john)MORAN DAVID 123 6.00    
STORMY OCEAN Sep30         (dixon patr)CAMPOS LUIS 119 12.00    
TEXENSIS Nov30 Nov18 Oct26 Oct08 Sep21 (pleterski )ANDERSON JODEIEN 119 15.00    
MO TWILIGHT Apr27 Dec28 Dec16 Aug03 Jul16 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 114 3.50 11% 8.10    
SIX FOR A NINE Nov18 Nov04       (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-3   05/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN'S ROMANCE Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct19 Sep09 (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 1.80 73% 0.40    
MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) May04 Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 Sep23 (krczmar zelk)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 5% 19.00    
THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Dec15 Dec08 Nov19 Oct29 Sep30 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 20.00    
LADY IN RED (FR) Apr27 Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 Sep07 (dipaola santin)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00    
ERASMO'S GIRL Dec08 Nov18 Oct28 Oct19 Sep28 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 3.00    
EMERALD LAKE Nov11 Oct19 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
BAYOU BELLE May04 Nov18 Oct28 Oct19 Dec04 (russo joe )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 12.00    
 
WO-4   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRADEVOLE May04 Nov16 Oct28 Sep14   (dixon patr)CAMPOS LUIS 119 10.00    
FEDALINE Apr28 Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep21 (russo joe)WILSON JAYNE 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
SPEEDY JOHNY May04 Dec09 Nov24 Nov09 Oct28 (buttigieg )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ORIGINAL ME May04 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Jul11 (williams noel)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 20.00    
HAYEK Apr28 Apr13 Mar24 Mar03 Dec31 (mcknight nor)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
BLONDE DYNAMO Oct20 Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 Aug03 (ross a)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00    
T'PRING Apr28 Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 Oct26 (cole krista)AEBLY FRASER 118 8.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  FOREST VIXEN Nov25 Nov12 Sep30 Aug24 Aug10 (leblanc p)HOYTE JASON 123 4.00    
SEATTLE SIGNAL Nov30 Nov10 Oct26 Sep30 Sep16 (cowper)ALDERSON IAN 123 10.00    
 
WO-5   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING SKY Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 Oct28 Oct17 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 20.00    
SUMMER SNOW Apr27 Nov04 Oct05 Sep22 Sep03 (gattellaro tony)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
DEMURELY Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Dec24 Dec02 (rombis)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00    
LOIS LEN Dec02 Nov11 Oct19 Sep07 Aug17 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
GIVE ME THE BOOTS Dec09 Nov30 Nov04 Oct06 Sep15 (mcknight norma)AEBLY FRASER 117 6.00 11% 8.00    
PEACH COBBLER Apr07 Mar21 Feb17 Feb07 Jan13 (begg ben)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50    
AMERICAN GAMBLE May04 Apr05 Feb17 Jan20 Dec03 (wilcox warre)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GIZMO'S B F F Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 Sep15 Aug27 (rombis debra)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 12% 7.70    
HARD TO CAPTURE Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Oct05 Sep14 (armata v)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 12.00    
 
WO-6   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAINTED GLORY Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (halden rachel)STEIN JUSTIN 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of PIPERS HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
PRINCESSONAMISSION Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Sep09 Jul23 (cole krist)CAMPOS LUIS 124 4.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SILVER PRINCESS by OLD FORESTER)
ALL FOR HONOR Dec16 Dec07 Nov30 Oct28 Oct12 (polsinelli dominic )ELLIS S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISS LOVELY by SMART STRIKE)
CATE'S CHARM Mar31 Feb25 Jan28     (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 114 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MINKS APRISE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
MRS. C Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep09 (depaulo michae)AEBLY FRASER 119 3.50    
  (by ASTERN out of DANCE THEWAYYOUARE by MINESHAFT)
FINAL DRAFT Mar15 Feb16 Jan17 Dec14 Oct15 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 119 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOWNWIND by CURLIN)
 
WO-7   05/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($113.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AHA MOMENT Jul29 Jul09 May28 Mar26 Dec10 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 113 3.50    
ON THIN ICE Mar07 May07 Mar25 Feb17 Dec30 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 123 8.00 5% 18.90    
COOL KISS Mar24 Oct21 Sep12 Aug20 Jul23 (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 3.00    
STANLEY HOUSE Oct21 Sep12 Aug20 Jul23 Jun18 (depaulo mi)CAMPOS LUIS 123 4.50 33% 2.10    
LAC MACAZA Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 (carey jul)WILSON JAYNE 123 6.00    
STONE AGE (IRE) Jan27 Dec30 Oct07 Aug26 Nov05 (parente pat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
WO-8   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.1K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALCON NEGRO Nov17 Oct01 Sep08 Aug13 Jul23 (billers g)SEECHARAN A 121 15.00    
GLORIOUS REVENGE Dec15 Nov26 Nov03 Oct15   (lopez shana)ELLIS S 118 8.00    
SCR  HAAHEE Dec01 Oct27       (tharrenos )CAMPOS LUIS 118 10.00    
CANADIAN AVRO May04 Nov09       (burke r)CIVACI SAHIN 118 3.00    
ASHUKA Apr28 Dec15 Nov26 Nov09 Sep10 (siddo barringt)AEBLY FRASER 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
HIGHLAND ROCKY Dec08 Dec01 Oct20 Sep17 Aug27 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 20.00    
SUGAR IT'S ELI Apr21 Mar16 Mar03 Jan31 Jan10 (begg bent)VIVES SOFIA 116 1.60 24% 3.20    
RED IN FRONT         (dixon patrick)STEIN JUSTIN 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
PLAY THE DOTS         (cotey david)MUNOZ LARRY 121 12.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.