Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2)-(7/2/3)-(3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(3/5/4)-(5/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/6/1)-(5/9/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/9/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/9/4/6)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (5/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/6)-(5/9/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/6)-(5/9/4/7/6)-(5/9/4/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/4/6)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/6)-(5/1/3)-(1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(1/4)-(6/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/2/5)-(7/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-8   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(7/3/4)-(3/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-9   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRX-10   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TURN ON THE CHARM Mar04 Feb06 Dec30 Dec09 Nov10 (betancourt e)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.50    
BELLA MARIA Feb28 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 Jan02 (hogan william )ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET LILLY FACTUM Feb28 Feb07 Jan08 Nov13 Oct30 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 121 20.00    
ASTONISHING ANABEL Feb07 Jan24 Jan08 Dec19 Dec01 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
LARAMORE Feb21 Jan29 Feb20 Jan28 Dec18 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
CATALON Aug30 Jul17 Jul02 May15 Apr24 (moore michael)OCASIO M 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
MISS ALEX Feb28 Feb06 Jan24 Jan08 Dec21 (chacon gustavo)AGUILAR JEAN 114 20.00    
SO SWELL Feb21 Jan29 Jan03 Dec18 Nov29 (caban carlo)RAMOS C 121 8.00    
 
PRX-2   03/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SETTE STELLE Feb12 Jan24 Dec27 Nov15 Nov02 (padill)GONZALEZ JR 121 6.00    
LAST DREAM Feb26 Jan10 Dec12 Nov08 Oct09 (pollara)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.50 19% 4.40    
EXCLUSIVE ORDER Feb12 Jan24 Jan08 Oct30 Sep27 (soto c)CORREA JULIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRAVEL GUIDE Feb09 Jan21 Jan06 Dec09 Nov24 (garcia pedro)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT Feb26 Feb12 Jan24 Jan08 Jan02 (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00    
BOINTHEBACK Feb26 Jan08 Dec20 Nov28 Oct30 (lake a)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 5.00    
MCMAGIC Feb26 Feb12 Jan02 Dec18 Nov08 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
PRX-3   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY WHAT'S UP Feb20         (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00    
LOVE IS FOREVER Feb14 Oct24 Oct10     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 5.00    
ZONA DE AMIGOS Feb20 Jan27 Dec04 Nov08 Sep03 (penaloz)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
HARRISON C Jan03 Nov13 Oct10     (dotolo davi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
UTILITY Feb05 Dec27       (coletti edwa)BURKE JERMAINE 121 3.50 13% 6.50    
CRAIGH NA DUN Feb20 Jan03 Dec19 Dec04 Nov08 (bedard alan)BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.00    
 
PRX-4   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP GOTHAM Feb28 Feb14 Jan10 Dec06 Nov20 (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
WEGOTTAGUY Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Jan01 Nov15 (tapsas e)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 12.00    
SCR  MIL DOSCIENTOS Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Jan02 Jul05 (soto c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.00    
WHERESTHEPASSION Feb28 Jan10 Jan02 Dec18 Nov14 (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 12.00    
BOOM BOOM KABOOM Feb27 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 (gallimore trevo)RUIZ ELISEO 116 2.00 39% 1.60    
HARLEY'S CHARLY Feb28 Feb20 Jan10 Jan01 Dec13 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 114 2.50 36% 1.80    
EDDIEMUSH Feb27 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Jan02 (ashton patr)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 15.00    
 
PRX-5   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERRYCHILL Feb27 Feb05 Dec27 Nov29   (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 121 5.00    
MUMMALICIOUS Jan30 Dec20 Nov08     (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
STELLA MIA Feb21 Feb07       (bedard alan)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
STEAL THE DEAL Feb21 Jan24 Dec12 Nov08 Sep23 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 10% 9.00    
PROBLEMS ABOUND Feb01 Jan12       (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
XERCES Feb27         (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKEYSTREETBLUES Feb05 Oct31 Sep23     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 4.00    
DREAMINGOFFREEDOM Feb21 Jan30 Jan03     (perez ruper)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00    
KOKOPELLI GIRL Jan11 Dec13       (brion ker)CARRASCO R 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
PRX-6   03/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN DREAM Mar04 Feb20 Jan30 Jan01 Nov22 (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 116 1.60 21% 3.80    
SCR  BOCA ROYALTY Mar04 Feb26 Feb19 Feb05 Jan29 (gallimore t)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 4.50    
BEYOND A MILLION Mar05 Feb14 Feb07 Jan09 Dec04 (velazquez alfr)AGUILAR JEAN 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
TOMARIE Feb26 Feb14 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 121 6.00    
AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Mar05 Jan30 Jan01 Dec04 Nov07 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
JUST STAY HOME Feb14 Jan30 Nov27 Jul26 Jun28 (dunn felis)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00    
 
PRX-7   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVOLUTIONARY Feb07 Nov20       (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 66% 0.50    
JAKNAVA Feb26 Feb07 Dec27 Dec04 Nov20 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 121 20.00    
WHY STOP THERE         (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00    
COMPETITIVE DADDY         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50 6% 17.00    
LORD IT'S CHILLY         (schoenthal ph)ROJAS MARTINA 116 5.00    
TRUMPET CALL Feb26         (mosco rob)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
SHEER DOMINANCE Dec08 Nov14 Oct17     (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 3.50    
FIRE ARMY         (velazquez al)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
 
PRX-8   03/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIVIL NOTION Feb26 Jan30 Jan09 Dec13 Nov08 (st u)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50    
FANCY WARRIOR Feb12 Jan11 Dec06 Nov07 Oct14 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 116 2.00 26% 2.90    
ROYAL PARTY Feb26 Jan30 Jan09 Dec13 Nov13 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
FANCY SCEPTER Feb26 Jan02 Nov08 Oct10 Sep12 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
AUNT BERRA Feb12 Jan01 Dec12 Nov14 Oct03 (smylie timoth)OCASIO M 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
THEARCHERORTHEPREY Feb26 Feb12 Jan02 Dec19 Oct16 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
PRX-9   03/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET WILLEMINA Feb25 Feb10 Jan24 Dec01 Nov11 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 121 6.00    
CENTRE COURT CHAMP Feb28 Jan10 Nov24 Oct31 Jul18 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50    
WARRIOR'S RANSOM Mar02 Jan31 Dec23 Nov25 Oct31 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
BEACH DAZE Feb28 Nov06 Oct24 Sep23 Aug27 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 121 6.00 8% 12.30    
EARLY EDITION Oct31 Aug29 Jul18 May29 May08 (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER 121 10.00    
NEW HIRE Feb17 Jan31 Dec20 Nov01 Sep24 (mcclellan)CARRASCO R 121 4.00    
GIRL TROUBLE Jan24 Jul11 Jun04 May13 Apr15 (reid rob)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 5.00 40% 1.50    
SOCIAL SUCCESS Oct31 Sep23 Aug21 Jul21 Apr12 (kravets bru)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
 
PRX-10   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A PHILLY THING Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 Nov06 (servis)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 4.00    
SCR  ROCK TUNE Feb14         (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 3.50    
DRIVEN TO SUCCESS Feb14 Feb06       (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
EVERHEART Feb07 Dec12 Nov22     (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 121 5.00    
LUCKY OPPORTUNITY Feb21 Feb05 Dec27 Dec12 Nov08 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 26% 2.80    
PICARDY Feb27 Feb07       (bedard a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 20.00    
LADY SHEBOYGAN Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Nov29   (chacon gusta)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SWEETS Feb14 Jan31 Oct31 Oct02 Sep04 (coletti ed)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 5.00    
WINBORI Feb06         (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.