Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (2/1/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/7/9)-(2/1/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/7/9)-(2/1/8/7/9)-(2/1/8/7/9) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/7/9)-(5/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/7/9)-(5/7/8)-(7/4/1/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-2   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (5/7/8)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8)-(7/4/1/5)-(1/10/6/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-3   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(1/10/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/5)-(1/10/6/8)-(11/1/10) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-4   WIN (1/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/8)-(1/10/6/8/7)-(1/10/6/8/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (1/10/6/8)-(11/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/6/8)-(11/1/10)-(10/13/2/3/11) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-5   WIN (11/1/10) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (11/1/10)-(11/1/10/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/1/10)-(11/1/10/12)-(11/1/10/12) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (11/1/10)-(10/13/2/3/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/1/10)-(10/13/2/3/11)-(11/1/7/2/4) 75 $0.20 $15.00 
WO-6   WIN (10/13/2/3/11) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (10/13/2/3/11)-(10/13/2/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/13/2/3/11)-(10/13/2/3/11)-(10/13/2/3/11) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (10/13/2/3/11)-(11/1/7/2/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/13/2/3/11)-(11/1/7/2/4)-(7/8/4/5/1) 125 $0.20 $25.00 
WO-7   WIN (11/1/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (11/1/7/2/4)-(11/1/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/7/2/4)-(11/1/7/2/4)-(11/1/7/2/4) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (11/1/7/2/4)-(7/8/4/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
WO-8   WIN (7/8/4/5/1) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/5/1)-(7/8/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/5/1)-(7/8/4/5/1)-(7/8/4/5/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADFAEL Nov26 Oct29 Oct05 Sep10 Jul30 (armata v)AEBLY FRASER 116 3.00 19% 4.10    
2  FIGHTING IRISH Nov24 Jul30 Jul01 Jun15 Nov25 (banach darwi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  MIAH SAID Dec08 Nov09 Oct06 Sep15 Aug17 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 10.00    
4  MAGIC TOMAHAWK Dec08 Oct19 Aug27 Jul30 Jun10 (pio)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 10.00    
5  ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN Oct29 Oct08 Sep08 Jul30 Jul15 (siddo barringto)VIVES SOFIA 116 6.00    
6  JUST FOR MADDIE Dec08 Nov24 Nov05     (leblanc john)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 20.00    
7  TREBUCHET Nov24 Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (cole-simpson krista)ELLIS S 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
8  CELENTANO Nov26 Oct29 Oct19 Sep15 Sep02 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 119 4.00 16% 5.40    
9  WHADDYA MEAN Dec08 Nov24 Oct05 Aug20 Jul30 (depaulo mi)CAMPOS LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  TODAY Dec08 Oct29 Oct05 Jul22 Oct21 (buttigieg)WILSON JAYNE 121 12.00    
 
WO-2   12/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WENJACK Dec01 Nov18 Nov03 Oct17 Oct03 (grant carlos)CHERNETZ SKYE 123 20.00    
2  FORESTER'S TURN Dec01 Nov12 Oct27 Oct07 Sep09 (armata)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 2.50 ★    
3  EXECUTIVE SIGHT Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 Aug21 (hinckson marti)ADAMS AUSTIN 111 15.00    
4  HIGHLAND SOCIETY Dec08 Dec01 Nov12 Oct27 Sep23 (sadler ronald )AEBLY FRASER 120 10.00    
5  BIG INVESTMENT Dec01 Nov12 Nov03 Oct07 Aug25 (ross john )CAMPOS LUIS 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  CEREBRO Dec03 Nov02 Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 (smith j)VIVES SOFIA 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
7  GHOUL (BRZ) Dec01 Nov12 Oct06 Sep17 Aug24 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  COMMANDER JOE Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Sep10 Aug26 (ross a)SALLES LEO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRAND ALLIANCE Nov18 Oct21 Oct06 Sep15 Sep01 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 123 20.00    
 
WO-3   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED SNEAKERS Nov24 Nov09 Oct20 Oct06 Aug13 (attard c)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00 8% 11.10    
2  DESTINY RO Nov18 Oct21 Sep30 Aug19   (attard kevin)STEIN JUSTIN 120 8.00    
3  CANTUCCI Dec02 Nov09 Oct28 Oct06 Sep17 (biamonte ralph )MUNOZ LARRY 118 20.00    
4  RED ENSIGN Dec02 Oct27 Sep24     (attard si)WILSON JAYNE 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
5  ROYAL HUDSON Nov02 Aug13 Jul02     (parente pat)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BAR TALK Nov24 Oct01 Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 (ross a)SALLES LEO 118 6.00    
7  VALYRIAN SKY Nov26 Nov17 Oct15 Sep24 Sep10 (chircop st)CAMPOS LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
8  COMPUTER HACKER Dec01 Nov12 Nov02 Oct20 Sep08 (siddo barringto)VIVES SOFIA 116 12.00    
 
WO-4   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YORKVILLE Dec01 Nov16 Oct15 Oct01 Sep23 (oliverre sylvest)SALLES LEO 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  DAWSON SILVER Dec01 Nov24 Oct20 Sep30 Sep10 (berringer )CAMPOS LUIS 121 20.00    
3  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Dec10 Dec01 Nov16 Oct29 Oct20 (grant carlos)MUNOZ LARRY 121 20.00    
4  SNOOKERED Dec01 Nov16 Oct15 Sep30 Sep21 (ranford kathryn)CRAWFORD J 125 20.00    
SCR  CHICAGO FREDDY Dec01 Nov23 Oct10 Oct02 Sep11 (morden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 114 20.00    
6  TWIXTER Dec01 Nov10 Nov04 Oct12 Sep22 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  BILL NEEDLE Dec01 Nov03 Oct10 Sep28 Sep08 (palmer kerro)NICHOLLS KEVEH 123 8.00 ★    
8  SOCIAL JUSTICE Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep30 Sep08 (pollock b)WILSON JAYNE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Nov24 Nov03 Oct10 Aug24 Aug06 (holder renaldo)ELLIS S 121 20.00    
10  HIP TO YOUR TRICKS Nov24 Nov10 Nov03 Oct15 Sep28 (sad)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
11  AIR FORCE RESERVE Nov24 Nov03 Oct29 Oct01 Sep24 (mcpherson alex)STEIN JUSTIN 125 4.00    
 
WO-5   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUEEZETHESHARMAN Nov26 Nov03 Oct20 Sep17   (sharman kyle)STEIN JUSTIN 118 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  NOTACHANCEBRO Nov26 Oct27       (raghun)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  PERFECT FOREST Nov17 Oct01       (tiller p)VIVES SOFIA 113 8.00    
4  RY PIE Nov26         (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00    
5  VISITOR'S WELCOME Dec01 Oct20 Oct01     (mcknight norma)AEBLY FRASER 113 10.00    
6  QURBAAN'S KINGDOM Nov26         (mohabir ch)ANDERSON JODEIEN 118 20.00    
7  GLORIOUS REVENGE Nov26 Nov03 Oct15     (lopez shana)ELLIS S 118 20.00    
8  WETIKO Nov26 Nov12       (grant car)WILSON JAYNE 118 12.00    
9  PERSEVERE Nov03         (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 118 20.00    
10  GALACTIC GLORY         (ladauceur )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  CALLYOUBACKINFIVE Nov26         (tharrenos )CAMPOS LUIS 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
12  ASHUKA Nov26 Nov09 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 (hinckson mar)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  NEEDS FULFILLED Dec01 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17   (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 12.00    
SCR  TEAPARTYTODAY         (ladauceur harold)ELLIS S 118 10.00    
SCR  SCREEN LEGEND Dec08 Nov12 Oct26     (katryan abraham )SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
 
WO-6   12/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTOBER FROST Dec08 Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Oct13 (pleterski bosid)MUNOZ LARRY 124 20.00    
2  VANBRUGH Nov05 Sep02 Nov26 Oct23 Sep04 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
3  SIR SAHIB Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep23 Aug20 (katryan abraham )CRAWFORD J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PALIO (IRE) Dec03 Nov19 Oct29 Oct01 Sep02 (katryan abraha)AEBLY FRASER 117 15.00    
5  SUNRISE DRIVE Nov26 Nov05 Oct19 Sep22 Sep02 (hau wing)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 20.00    
SCR  STOP THE HUMBUG Dec08 Nov05 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (morden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 15.00    
7  JUST START ME UP Dec09 Nov11 Oct19 Sep29 Sep17 (cotey david)ADAMS AUSTIN 112 20.00    
8  NEWPORT AGENT Nov25 Nov05 Oct20 Sep29 Sep02 (chartrand-ho)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00    
9  EMBRACE MY UNCLE Nov26 Nov05 Oct10 Sep23 Aug11 (ritchie sarah)SALLES LEO 122 20.00    
10  C C'S KINGDOM Nov25 Nov05 Oct20 Jul07 Jun17 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 4.00 39% 1.50    
11  HELL BENT Nov25 Nov05 Oct19 Sep28 Sep02 (ritchie sarah)STEIN JUSTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  DERZKII Nov25 Nov19 Oct29 Oct12 Sep29 (hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 124 8.00    
13  CUPID'S CLAWS Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Aug20 Jul27 (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  COLEYVILLE Dec08 Nov19 Nov05 Sep28 Sep02 (knight f)VIVES SOFIA 117 10.00    
 
WO-7   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Dec03 Nov26 Sep23 Aug20 Jul29 (lepiane pau)WENC C 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  COACH ABERNATHY Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep30 Sep21 (tharre)ALDERSON IAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAYTOWN ELVIS Nov24 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (gracey phillip)ELLIS S 121 20.00    
4  TOURIST'S DREAM Dec01 Nov17 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 (drake m)RAMSAMMY E 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOCIETY JOE Nov24 Nov05 Oct20 Oct02 Sep18 (holder tedst)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 4.00    
6  KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) Dec01 Nov10 Oct29 Oct03 Sep26 (baumgartner ma)STEIN JUSTIN 121 20.00    
7  THREE SONNY SIDEUP Nov17 Oct20 Oct06 Sep14 Aug11 (mcknight norma)AEBLY FRASER 114 10.00 8% 11.50    
8  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Dec08 Nov19 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 20.00    
9  KITTEN'S BOY Dec09 Sep29 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 (mcpherson alex)CRAWFORD J 123 20.00    
10  SILENT LUCIDITY Nov24 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (ross a)SALLES LEO 121 8.00    
11  MUSKOKA GIANT Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 Sep29 Aug12 (hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
12  MISTER MESEEKS Nov10 Oct20 Sep28 Jul07 Jun09 (banach darwi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 5.00    
 
WO-8   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE'S FLATTER Dec02 Nov23 Nov10 Oct22 Oct06 (berringer pet)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 15.00 6% 17.10    
2  HOLIDAY IN CHILE Nov23 Nov10 Oct27 Oct13 Sep29 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
3  NGABE Nov23 Nov04 Oct17 Oct09 Oct02 (grant carlos)AEBLY FRASER 117 12.00    
4  GET READY SET FIRE Nov23 Sep25       (johnston t)ELLIS S 121 10.00 6% 16.20    
5  TONKA WAKAN Nov25 Nov10 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 (steer )ALDERSON IAN 124 20.00 6% 16.70    
6  SING DIXIE Nov25 Nov12 Oct17 Sep22 Sep03 (agostino ge)HOYTE JASON 119 20.00    
7  MANETKA Dec02 Nov23 Nov04 Oct22 Sep22 (tharrenos will)ADAMS AUSTIN 111 3.00 44% 1.30    
8  WICKEDBLACKBULLET Nov24 Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 (pottinger an)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 4.00 10% 8.70    
9  BROTHER BELEN Dec02 Nov23 Nov12 Oct20 Oct05 (mcpherson alex)SALLES LEO 121 6.00    
10  SMOKIN HOLIDAY Nov12 Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 (buttigieg)WILSON JAYNE 121 5.00    
11  DISCOVERY CHART Dec02 Nov23 Oct27 Oct06 Sep22 (glennon da)CAMPOS LUIS 119 20.00    
12  POLA STAR Nov25 Nov09 Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 (drake m)MORENO OMAR 116 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.