Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Thursday - November 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/5)-(4/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/5)-(4/2)-(4/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
DMR-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/3)-(6/1/7/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
DMR-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/1/7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/1/7/3)-(2/7/4/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DMR-4   WIN (6/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/3)-(2/7/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/3)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-5   WIN (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/1)-(2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/1)-(2/4/6)-(2/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-6   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(2/5/8)-(6/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-7   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(6/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
DMR-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDY JUSTIFY         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FLATTERING by GALILEO)
EIGHT CLAP Oct08 Aug24       (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
PRACTICALLY BROKE         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHOWGIRL FORM by DYNAFORMER)
MONEY MAKES MONEY         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of I DARE U EM by LUNARPAL)
SHARP LORENZO         (campuzano l)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of FUNTASIA by ACCLAMATION)
SKETCHY Nov02         (ellis w)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RELAXING GREEN by FORMAL GOLD)
E J WON THE CUP Nov11 Oct21 Sep09 Aug11   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FIRSTHAND REPORT by BLAME)
NED         (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MISCHIEVOUS CHAMP by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
DMR-2   11/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET HELLO Oct29 Sep29 Aug17 May26 Apr21 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
BIG NOVEL Oct29 Oct08 Sep08 Aug03 Jun23 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 118 1.80 19% 4.20    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Oct15 Sep03 Aug04 Jul01 Jun04 (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 120 5.00    
CORNELIA FORT Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Aug04 Jun16 (kruljac ian)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
TIZZY TWISTER Oct29 Oct15 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 125 4.00    
 
DMR-3   11/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN HEIGHTS Nov17 Sep17 Aug03 Jul15 May22 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 5.00    
ONE SMOKIN MOON Oct20 Jun26       (alvarado d)BAZE C 122 8.00    
AVENTAPP Oct20 Aug25 Jun09 May14 Apr22 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.50 9% 10.60    
HOUSE OF MAGIC Oct21 Aug25 Aug10 Jul04 Aug21 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 67% 0.50    
JORDAN Oct09 Sep01 Apr23 Mar09 Jan08 (treece s)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
NOKIE Nov10 Oct09 Apr23     (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
 
DMR-4   11/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANDING O Aug31 Jul29 May07 Mar12 Jun19 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
HELLADIC Sep02 Aug17 Jul21 Apr09 Mar05 (hanson ryan)SMITH E 118 6.00    
ZOFFARELLI (IRE) Oct29 Aug31 Jul29 Jun10 Feb10 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
MAS RAPIDO (GB) Sep30 Jul21 May21 May06 Apr09 (hess b)MALDONADO E 118 5.00    
DON'T SWEAR DAVE Oct22 Aug13 Jul21 Jun10 May07 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00    
MOR TEQUILA Oct09 Jul03 May20 Apr23 Aug18 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
LOVESICK BLUES Oct09 Sep22 Aug19 Jun24 May27 (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
RADICAL RIGHT Oct29 Sep30 Aug25 Aug04 Jun01 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
 
DMR-5   11/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUGIE LIKE         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 5.00 6% 16.90    
ROSIE ANN RULES Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug13 Jul23 (capestro pa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
JUST IS Oct20 Sep29 Sep22 Sep03 Aug13 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Oct29 Sep22 (quinonez ro)HERRERA A 122 8.00 11% 7.70    
ELTONSINGSANOTHER Oct20 Sep29 Aug13     (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00    
STYLISH DRESS Oct28         (blacker daniel)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
STAY IN LINE Apr23 Mar19 Feb17     (periban jorge)TORREALBA JG 115 6.00 22% 3.60    
BETSY IS THE CODE Oct15 Jul27 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 20.00    
 
DMR-6   11/23/2023 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Red Carpet Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKHURST Oct09 Sep09 Jul23 Feb04 Dec26 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
LINDA'S GIFT Nov11 Oct15 Aug26 Aug03 Aug25 (mandella rich)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 5.00 36% 1.70    
  (by ARROGATE out of AMERICANA by TAPIT)
MUSICAL RHAPSODY (IRE) Aug26 Jul27       (damato philip)SMITH E 121 8.00    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of COLOUR RHAPSODY by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
SISTER OTOOLE Oct07 Aug18 Jul13 Nov24 Oct23 (motion grah)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of O' TOOLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WITH LOVE (GB) Oct28 Sep03 Jul29 Jun18 May21 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 15.00    
  (by TERRITORIES out of THRAYA STAR by SHAMARDAL)
NEIGE BLANCHE (FR) Oct07 Sep09 Aug18 Jun18 Oct08 (powell leon)HERRERA A 121 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BIANCA NEVE by GIACOMO)
SYMPHONY PERFECT (IRE) Oct07 Aug18 Jul22 May20 Apr22 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of IRISH ROMANCE by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
SCR  LOVED REIKO Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Jul23 May18 ( )TBA null      
  (by TAPIT out of ODELIZ by FALCO)
 
DMR-7   11/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILA Sep23 Sep01 May12 Apr08 Mar12 (hess b)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
PROFESSORS' PRIDE Oct29 Sep17 Jul03 Jun02 May05 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
KEEN LADY Oct09 Aug06 Jun16 Apr23 Jan29 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 123 6.00    
HENNYS CRAZY TRAIN Oct21 Sep23 Sep03 Aug03 Jul02 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 4.00    
CLIQUISH Oct09 Aug31 Jul28 Jun17 Apr08 (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
ZEYARAAT Oct08 Aug17 Jul27 Jun18 Apr30 (cerin vladimir)TORREALBA JG 118 5.00    
LIBERAL LADY Oct09 Aug31 Aug06 Jul02 May12 (powell leon)HERRERA A 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  CON SEAL AND KERRY Sep17 Aug31 Jul01 May27 Apr21 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-8   11/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG RAINBOW Oct22 Aug25 Jul21 Jun09   (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 6.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
O K ROSE Oct20 Aug25       (eurton pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of SHEEZA MILKY WAY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
SCR  SMOOVE OVER Oct29 Sep16 Aug11 Jul01 May27 (hernandez jos)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
BEAUTIFUL JANET Oct20 Sep10 Jul28     (truman eddie)FREY KYLE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of GINGER RED by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
ASADA FRIES Oct20 Sep30 Sep10 Aug11   (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SALTY FRIES by IN EXCESS (IRE))
LADY MONCLAIRE         (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 8.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of PROFITEROLE by DABIRSIM)
LAMPORGHINI Oct29         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of STORM LAMP by STORM BOOT)
SCR  KITZKATY Oct20 Sep30 Aug25 Jul22   ( )TBA null      
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SHARAIJI BLOSSOM by SAINT BALLADO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.