Handicappers' Racing Form

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Prairie Meadows
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PRM-4   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PRM-5   Win (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PRM-6   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-7   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-8   Win (4/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PRM-9   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-10   Win (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PRM-4   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JAZZ BRUNCH Sep17 Aug12 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.00    
NORTHERN GEM Sep11 Jul24 Dec16 Dec02 Oct21 (tracy tanner)EDWARDS JAVIS 116 6.00    
BLOW SUM SMOKE Sep17 Jul21 Jul06 Jun14 May24 (martinez ke)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 11% 8.50    
UNHERDOF Jun10 May21 May13 Apr22 Mar24 (roe robe)FLETCHER D 121 10.00    
TRIP TO FREEDOM Sep02 Aug12 Jun30 Jun22 May19 (tracy tanner)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 12.00    
GIRLS IN CHARGE Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 120 1.60 64% 0.60    
 
PRM-5   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE THREE G Aug21 Jul15 Oct01 Sep16   (dieter dalt)DE CRUZ 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
STAR MISSION Sep13 Aug27 Aug10 Jul15 Sep15 (wolff perry)WOLFF S 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
WHONEW Sep02 Aug11 Jul30 Jul17 Jun11 (donlin larry)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 12.00    
LOUD BOY Aug26 Jul09 Jun19 May29 May05 (martin e)ZIMMERMAN R 124 3.00    
PISTOL PACKIN MAN Sep08 Jul28 Jul03 Jun17 Jun09 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 10.00    
APOLLO BAY Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul10 Jun30 (donlin d)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 6% 15.50    
I LOVE ROCKNSTROLL Sep11 Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 Jun30 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
BRILLIANT COLORS Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jun26 Jun09 (rufino eusebio )EDWARDS JAVIS 115 6.00    
 
PRM-6   09/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 9:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANTHECONCRETEMAN         (murphy travi)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 2.50 24% 3.20    
DEFIANT MALICE Aug14 Jul31       (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
ORE MINE Aug28 Jul31 Jun22 Apr13   (condon schuyle)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
LITTLE TAP DANCER Aug13 Jul21 Jul02     (murphy travis )JORDAN R 116 6.00    
MISSION IS A GO Aug28         (von k)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
CAN'T WANT THAT Aug13 Jul21       (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 116 5.00    
 
PRM-7   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOSELIO Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul29 Jun18 (jordan ja)JORDAN R 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
LEAVEITONTHEFIELD Aug20 Jul31 Jul08 Jun24 Aug06 (rollins scott)TOHILL S 124 6.00    
AWESOME FAMILY Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul03 Jun18 (donlin larr)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
INCITATUS Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jun12 May09 (condon schuyle)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 10.00    
BILLY YANK Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 Jul15 Jun30 (roe robe)FLETCHER D 122 15.00    
SCR  JOHN R Sep09 Aug21 Aug04 Jul02 Jun16 (hemba brad)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 3.00    
HERZEN Sep04 Jul28 Jul08 Jun02 Apr03 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  COLE SPUR Sep08 Aug11 Jul30 Jul14 Jun26 (rufino ju)CORBETT W 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
MINE MY TIME Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25 Aug19 (martin timothy )EDWARDS JAVIS 117 12.00    
 
PRM-8   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKING CHARGE DESI Sep13 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 (williams matt)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.50 8% 11.20    
EUROWENDI Sep02 Aug20 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (gleason tyro)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00    
IVY ABAD GIRL Sep17 Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 120 5.00    
PEGGY RULES Sep15 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 118 4.00 61% 0.60    
MILLIGANMIKEANDME Sep02 Jul23 Jul09 Jul17 Jul03 (donlin larr)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND OF EKATI Sep08 Aug20 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (rufino ju)CORBETT W 120 12.00    
IRON LOTUS Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 Jul09 Jun16 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
ANNIEWAY U WANT IT Sep02 Aug11 Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 3.00    
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Aug25 Aug05 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-9   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26.077K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO DE MO Sep01 Aug20 Jul22 Jun30 Jun10 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
MACHO FORTY FIVE Sep16 Sep01 Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 (guillory henry )EDWARDS JAVIS 118 6.00    
SANGRIA SKY Sep01 Aug06 Jul07 Sep25 Aug22 (tibbitts dave)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00    
NATIVE HELLRAISER Aug26 Aug18 Aug07 Jul29 Jul15 (mcshane david )JORDAN R 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
ROWDY RAY Aug18 Jul15 Jun26 Jun09 May13 (hargens bob)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
SPANISH KISS Sep08 Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 May26 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 120 5.00    
 
PRM-10   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAKE SOLUTION Sep03 Aug07 Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DAVIDIC LINE Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 Jun12 Apr01 (arnett jon )DE CRUZ 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
IRISH VALOR Aug25 Jun19 May22 Jan21 Dec30 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
STRINGS Aug11 Jul17 Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  BRICKBAT Sep10 Aug25 Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 (martinez kelli)ZIMMERMAN R 126 20.00    
REVENIR Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 (rufino ju)CORBETT W 120 6.00    
CALIFORNIA SWING Sep10 Aug25 Aug12 Mar24 Feb19 (jordan ja)JORDAN R 124 5.00    
HEZA WILD RIDE Sep09 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 Jul09 (rufino eusebio )EDWARDS JAVIS 116 12.00    
DOUBLE THUNDER Sep15 Aug14 Jul08 Jun16 Apr15 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.