Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-5   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/2)-(5/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/8/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/8/1/6)-(7/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/6)-(5/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/6)-(5/8/1/6)-(5/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/6)-(7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(6/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(6/8/1)-(6/1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-5   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOODNIGHTSUGAR Apr14 Feb25 Feb11 Sep18 Sep10 (clay p)FLETCHER D 120 8.00    
ADMIRAL'S GARNET Aug07 Jul23 Feb25 Feb11 Dec11 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 5.00    
BLOW SUM SMOKE Jul21 Jul06 Jun14 May24 Apr28 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 2.50 16% 5.30    
PAISLEY'S VISION Aug20 Jul15 Jun19 Jun02 Apr19 (rollins scott)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 3.00    
S C ANGEL Jul01 Jun17 May14 Apr30 Apr14 (condon sch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 10.00    
JAZZ BRUNCH Aug12 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May21 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
PRM-6   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPP'S HIT         (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
VALIANT WEST         (clay p)FLETCHER D 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
LIBERTY'S HAULER Aug27 Jul28 Jul07 May13 Dec26 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 121 1.40    
WAR RASCAL Aug13 Jul24 Jun23 Apr01 Feb23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 2.50    
OUTOFQUEMADO Aug27 Aug13 Jul24     (rollins michael)TOHILL S 121 6.00    
 
PRM-7   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANKS GIRL Sep04         (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by PALACE out of AINTNOSHAKIN by CROSS TRAFFIC)
TENNESSEE GRACE Sep04 Aug21 Jul31     (hargens b)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WILD ABOUT IRENE by OFFLEE WILD)
ESPRIT ROUGE Sep01 Aug21 Jul31 Jul08   (gleason t)TRIANA JR 119 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRIMSON SPIRE by GONE WEST)
SHE'S SOLID SILVER Sep01 Jul31       (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of SOLID SCAM by CONSOLIDATOR)
QUIET I'M NOT Sep04 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08   (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ELEGANTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
THAT'S OUR VISION Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08   (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by WILBURN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
MORNINGNOONANDNITE Sep01 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19   (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 4.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
DREAMIN IT UP Sep01         (schutz pam)SALAZAR TERESA 114 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of MISS WINED UP by ROMAN RULER)
 
PRM-8   09/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DODGER BLUE Aug19 Jul17 Jun09 May05 Feb20 (rollins scott)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 6% 14.90    
MEET GEORGE JETSON Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jul17 Jul07 (hemba )FLETCHER D 124 8.00    
SCR  BRAHMS IMAGE Aug13 Jul24       (martin wil)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 2.50    
TIZ RED TIME Aug28         (dieter dalton)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 8.00    
SKYFLYER Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jul15 Jul03 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
EIGHT STRAIGHT Apr07 Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 Jan08 (loy dew)TRIANA JR 120 12.00 6% 16.60    
PIZZA CHARLIE Aug06 Jul17 May27 Mar23 Mar04 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 1.80 65% 0.50    
 
PRM-9   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRETTYLULABY Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 Jun05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 10% 8.90    
SHY RUNNER Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 May13 Oct02 (campos ma)TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
IVY ABAD GIRL Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 123 2.50    
RUDY TOOTY Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 Jul10 Jun25 (jacquot gene)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 5.00    
BARBED WIRE Aug25 Aug05 Jul10 Jun17 May20 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 10.00    
BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Sep10 Sep02 Aug05 Jul24 Jun03 (martin e)TOHILL S 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  GAME TO PLAY Sep11 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 121 10.00    
TAPTHATLUCK Aug18 Aug05 Jul10 Jun17 May19 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
 
PRM-10   09/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.477K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCREET INVASION Aug26 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Jun03 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.00 13% 6.40    
TIN BADGE Aug25 Jul17 Jun23 Jun05 May21 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 121 2.50 6% 14.80    
TAKE ME UP BRADY Aug13 Aug02 Jul10 Jun03 May20 (pearson m)TOHILL S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
GIANT GAMBLE Aug19 Jul29 Jul03 Jun16 May28 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 8.00    
ALL OVER OLIVER Sep08 Jul17 May29 May19 Apr16 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 121 10.00    
SCRUTINIZER Aug26 Aug14 Jul02 Jun23 May19 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
LUCKY LOUIE Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00    
NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Jun26 Jun16 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.