Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hastings Racecourse
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HST-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HST-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HST-4   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(6/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/2/1)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HST-5   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(7/1/5)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HST-6   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/1)-(1/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HST-8   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HST-9   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HST-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOBESUNNY Aug28 Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (unwin br)GOMEZ ROBERTO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARLA'S HONOR Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May25 Apr29 (krasner cin)MORALES SILVINO 120 6.00    
3  STRIKING VALUE Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (barr)REYES AMBROSIO 124 10.00    
4  NINE OCLOCK CEASER Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (lawson shawn)PEREZ AMADEO 113 1.80 26% 2.90    
5  ISLAND LIVING Aug11 Jul30 Jul08 Jun11 May28 (pederson keith)AEBLY FRASER 110 4.50    
6  TAM TRICKY Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
HST-2   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC STREET Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 May20 May06 (leaney patr)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  I'M A CHI TOO Jul23 Jun04 May14 Apr30 Dec09 (condilenios di)AEBLY FRASER 111 8.00    
3  DRILLER Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 May22 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 10.00    
4  RING OF KERRY Aug04 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (bene)REYES AMBROSIO 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
5  FRANKIE MACHINE Oct16 Sep25 Sep10 Aug29 Aug14 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  KNOPFLER Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 May14 (pederson ke)MORALES SILVINO 120 4.50    
7  ANOTHER GUINNESS Aug04 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18   (barroby e)SANTO KIMAL 118 15.00    
 
HST-3   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sadie Diamond Futurity Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYSABLAZING Aug28         (unwin br)GOMEZ ROBERTO 115 8.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of TAYLUREVELOZ by STORM VICTORY)
2  LIZZIE'S RAYNE Aug28 Aug07 Jul02     (milburn david)PEREZ AMADEO 122 0.80 43% 1.30    
  (by LENT out of QUEEN'S EMBLEM by MASS MARKET)
3  EDDIE'S GIRL         (mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 115 8.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of AMARACHI by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  VIVA LA DIVA         (head)REYES AMBROSIO 115 3.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of VINOTERRA by FINALITY)
5  DONNA WYN Aug28 Aug07 Jul02     (grieve larr)MORALES SILVINO 115 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by NUMAANY out of OLE'S MISS by OFFICER)
 
HST-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALUE MAX Aug11 Jul09 Jun18 May28 Sep24 (may)MAMDEEN ROY 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  BODEGA Aug11 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 Feb28 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 124 3.50    
SCR  BILLS SMOKN BULLET Oct08 Jul09 Jun19 May22 May07 (neigel tara)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 2.00 71% 0.40    
4  TIMELESS SHRUG Aug11 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Oct15 (zaft ralph)BALGOBIN RIDGE 119 12.00    
SCR  IT'S IN COMMAND Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 Oct09 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 124 8.00    
6  TIZ MEOW Jul22 Jul02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug23 (deyo)REYES AMBROSIO 124 3.00 ★    
7  SIR BARCLAY Jun04 May14 Aug06 Jul03 Jun19 (barroby harold)AEBLY FRASER 119 12.00    
 
HST-5   09/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 112 10.00 13% 6.90    
2  COUNTERACT Aug28 Jul28 Jul16 Aug22 Jul24 (cloutier ma)MORALES SILVINO 115 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  PURSUE Aug07 Jul02 Jun17 May20 Sep10 (macpherson cra)PEREZ AMADEO 115 1.20 37% 1.70    
4  BRIAN'S DE LEIGHT Aug11 Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 (mill)REYES AMBROSIO 119 8.00    
5  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Aug28 Jul28 Jul09     (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 115 12.00    
6  NEIGHBOR Aug26 May28 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 113 4.00    
 
HST-6   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jack Diamond Futurity Purse ($100K) 2 C/G PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VECTOR Aug28         (macp)REYES AMBROSIO 117 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by BAKKEN out of DATURA by ANABAA)
2  WEALTHY TEXAN         (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 115 10.00    
  (by TEXAS WILDCATTER out of INFINITE WEALTH by STEPHANOTIS)
3  PISCO Aug28 Aug07 Jul02     (condilenios din)SANTO KIMAL 115 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SEKHMET'S REVENGE by PAYNTER)
4  NORTHERN FORCE Aug28 Aug07       (vanoverschof r)AEBLY FRASER 115 12.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of NORTHERN STORM by ROSBERG)
5  DIOCLES Aug28 Aug07       (jarvis pat)KHELAWAN KERRON 115 3.50 15% 5.80    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of MY SPECIAL ANGEL by FINALITY)
6  HORATIO Aug07 Jul02       (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 115 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SNUGGLES by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
7  AUGUST RAIN Aug28 Aug07 Jul02     (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by SUNGOLD out of BITATUDE by SUPER SAVER)
 
HST-7   09/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST British Columbia Oaks Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR FORCE Aug26 Aug07 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (pede)REYES AMBROSIO 124 1.80 64% 0.60    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of EVERYTHINGS A BLUR by JOEY FRANCO)
2  ARUNDEL CASTLE Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 (pederson keith)AEBLY FRASER 124 15.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CALCULATION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  MATSQUI Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (freeman mar)MORALES SILVINO 124 8.00    
  (by FINALITY out of QUEEN'S EMBLEM by MASS MARKET)
4  KEY TO SUCCESS Aug26 Aug07 Jul02 Jun10 Apr14 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of NEW KEY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  ABOVE AVERAGE Aug07 Jul23 Jun10 May20 Oct22 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
  (by RALIS out of OLE'S MISS by OFFICER)
6  FORCE TO REKN WITH Aug26 Jul21 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 124 12.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of NOBLE PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
7  JAMIES INHERITANCE Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 May28 (essex charles)ZUNINO L 124 1.60    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
HST-8   09/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST British Columbia Derby Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KYSTONE Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 126 10.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISS CHIEVOUS LADY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  RIVERSIDE Jul22 Jun09 May19 Feb12 Jan02 (anderson go)MORALES SILVINO 126 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  SPACE Aug07 Jul28 Jun24 May27 Sep16 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 126 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of WIDTH by BLAME)
4  ACCIDENTAL HERO Aug26 Aug07 Jul02 Jun10 May05 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 126 2.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of PARDONMECOMINGTHRU by CHATAIN)
5  SUNBIRD Aug26 Aug07 Jul08 Oct22 Aug13 (jord)REYES AMBROSIO 126 1.20 47% 1.10    
  (by ORB out of MARKETWAY by AFTER MARKET)
6  IT'S A FACT Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May06 (frey carson)AEBLY FRASER 126 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ZENSATIONAL BEAUTY by ZENSATIONAL)
 
HST-9   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUAGMIRE Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  CALAMAZEUS Aug04 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (jarvis pat)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WISE MARKET Aug18 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 May28 (cloutier mark)SANTO KIMAL 120 4.50    
4  VALUABLE COWBOY Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May22 May06 (o'connell b)MORALES SILVINO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  FOOT SOLDIER Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 (hens)REYES AMBROSIO 120 10.00    
6  MORETHANSOULTITLE Aug13 Jul23 Jun17 May27 May14 (condilenios )BALGOBIN RIDGE 116 8.00    
7  BARNEY GOOGLE Aug18 Aug07 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (henson robert)PEREZ AMADEO 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.