Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(6/3/4)-(4/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(4/2/3)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(3/1)-(2/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-9   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/1/4)-(5/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-10   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/6/3)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-11   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-12   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-6   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I LOVE ROCKNSTROLL Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 Jun30 May29 (wellingto)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 19% 4.30    
2  FRANKLY EPIC Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 Jun18 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 123 3.50    
3  SHIP BOSS Jun23 Jun03 May19 Sep19 Aug22 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  MY BOAZ Aug26 Jul30 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
5  IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE Sep02 Aug19 Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 6.00    
6  SHUT UP MAN Aug19 Aug07 Jul10 Jun26 Jun16 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 121 4.00 9% 10.60    
 
PRM-7   09/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.8K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON JUAN BUBBA Aug28 Jul17 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (rollins scott)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 3.50    
2  NICE ONE JULIO Aug12 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 1.80    
3  FLEETWOOD SMACK         (schutz pam)SALAZAR TERESA 111 15.00 18% 4.70    
4  I'M AN OAK         (loy dew)TRIANA JR 119 8.00 18% 4.70    
5  ILLEGAL ICE Aug27 Aug12       (murphy sw)TOHILL S 116 10.00    
6  DEVIL'S SHADOW         (loy dew)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
7  BORDINOS Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 Jun11 (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.50    
 
PRM-8   09/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME TO PLAY Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Jun02 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 119 8.00    
2  GIRL PRO Sep01 Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 Apr21 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
3  NORTHERN GEM Jul24 Dec16 Dec02 Oct21 Sep01 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00 13% 6.40    
4  SIERRA SUMMER Aug25 Jul24 Jul01 Jun18 May06 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  SWEET DYNASTY Aug19 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May27 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 124 3.50    
SCR  POWER TO PLAY Jul31 Jun17 May18 Apr22 Dec10 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 8.00    
7  YANKEE PRIDE Jul31 Jul15 Jun30 May19 Apr14 (rhodes les)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 15.00    
 
PRM-9   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($44.554K) 2 ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KILLIAN Jul29 Jul01       (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  SPECIALSORTASTORM Aug21 Jul29 Jun23     (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 1.50    
3  SORCERER'S GIRL Aug25 Jun30       (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Jul29 Jul08 Jun23     (guillory )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
5  STROLLIN NORMAN B Aug21 Jul22       (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
 
PRM-10   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDABABY Aug14 Jul24 Jun25 May27 Oct02 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
2  HALOSNHEAVEN Jul31 Jul02 Jun04 Aug14 Jul23 (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  TWO MINUTE DRILL Aug05 Jul07 Dec26 Dec02 Oct28 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 10.00    
4  COLLECTED GLORY Jul31 Jun25 Jun02 May13 Apr21 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 6% 15.60    
5  BE MY HUCKLEBERRY Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr28 Apr15 (loy dew)TRIANA JR 120 6.00    
6  MARSHSIDE MAMA Aug04 Jul10 Jun05 May13   (anderson l)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
7  MINNIE'S READY Jul31 Jul08 Sep24 Aug28 Aug07 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00    
 
PRM-11   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE AMPLIFIED Aug14 Aug04 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 3.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
2  DALUSIA Jul16         (tibbitts dave)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00    
  (by LAURIE'S ROCKET out of BELIEVE ME by IT'S TRUE)
3  PINK CHIMES         (martin tim)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  YOU LITTLE VIXEN         (von kelly)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOMEPLACE ELSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  FLAG FLYING Jul09         (anderson l)TOHILL S 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HONEY RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  TRUE EMOTION Aug14 Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr29 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of BLAGEUSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
PRM-12   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.864K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOSKA'S RULER Aug25 Jul23 Jul02 Jun23 Jun05 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 4.00 39% 1.60    
2  JUSTA STREAK Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Oct01 (mcshane d)NOLL S 121 2.50    
3  PALACE GUARD Jul22 Jun26 Oct01 Sep12 Aug22 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 122 4.50 13% 6.40    
4  LORD OF THE PALACE Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Oct02 Sep19 (peters dennis)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00    
5  CHINLEE Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Oct01 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 8% 11.50    
6  C R INSTA GATOR Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 May29 May13 (von kelly)BIRZER E 122 3.00    
7  DOT COM DREAMIN Aug07 Jul17 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.