Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
RUI-6   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
RUI-8   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-4   08/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT TO FANCY Aug06 Jul21       (danley fred)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of ROLL BLOOMERS ROLL by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
HOLY BULLET Aug05 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09   (lambert)FUENTES T 120 2.00    
  (by MARKING out of CRAFTY CONTESSA by GIACOMO)
SWAYINGTOTHEMUSIC Aug05         (gonzalez juan)CORRAL DAMIAN 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of BERTRANDO'S LADY by BERTRANDO)
PHANTOM RAIN         (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STELLAR RAIN out of PHANTOM TOUCH by GHOSTLY MOVES)
ATTILA'S ACE Jul30 Jul09 Jun23     (rondan jr)MEDELLIN A 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of DESERT GAMBLER by DESERT CLASSIC)
MARKED UP         (danley )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 117 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
SHUG'S ROCKET Aug05 Jul21       (lambert case)MACIAS J 115 12.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of ROCK THOSE HIPS by ROCKY BAR)
 
RUI-6   08/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT FAST Jul16 Jun18 Apr23 Apr08 Mar21 (valdez-)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 2.00    
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS Jul29 May21 Apr29 Apr08 Mar28 (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 118 6.00    
BONFIRE PARTY Feb28 Dec06 Nov30 Nov15 Oct17 (keeton cind)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
RED HOT CAT Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 (lewi)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
TYGER TENNESSEE Jul29 Jun16 Feb28 Jan18   (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 12.00    
JAZZ MAN DO Jul28 Jul21 Jul08 May20 Apr29 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN BAND Jul08 Apr16 Mar19 Feb14 Jan24 (c)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
RUI-8   08/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGALERT Jun23 May20 Apr29 Apr08 Feb12 (green greg)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
MAJORWAYHOME Jan03 Dec19 Nov30 Oct30 Sep03 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 123 2.50    
QUIEN ES Jul28 Jul08 May29 Mar19 Mar07 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 6.00    
SHANE ZAIN Jul30 Dec19 Nov23 Nov05 Sep10 (meraz jua)AMAYA RUIZ 123 12.00    
THIRSTY JUNIOR Jun04 Apr09 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH May21 Apr19 Mar28 Mar14 Feb20 (chavez artur)MACIAS J 113 6.00    
COWBOY TOBY Jul08 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.