Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ferndale
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FER-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FER-3   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-4   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-5   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-6   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FER-7   Win (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FER-2   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONHEART Jul28 Jul08 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50    
SATANTA Aug06 Jul21 May27 Apr15 Mar26 (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 0.80 51% 1.00    
BRONZE WARRIOR Aug11 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 (greiner)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 8.00    
PULPITS POWER Aug12 Jun25 Jun11 Sep17 Aug26 (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 16% 5.40    
 
FER-3   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY MICHAEL Jun30 May27 Apr09 Mar18 Feb25 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00 16% 5.20    
EFFECTIVE GIG Jul29 Jul01 May28 May05 Apr15 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 122 2.00    
HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE Aug05 Jun24 Jun11 May29 Apr28 (calvari)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 1.40    
LUKE'S PLACE Aug12 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 Jun25 (hof d)SMITH E 126 8.00 20% 4.10    
CORAZON DE LUCIA Jun18 May21 Apr23 Jan21 Dec20 (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
FER-4   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNC Jul28 Jun17 Jun03 May07 Apr21 (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00    
MOUNT PELLIAR Jul21 Jan06 Dec09 Nov12 Oct09 (greiner gary)FLORES P 126 5.00 32% 2.10    
PERSEVERANCE Nov20 Oct29 Oct16 Oct07 Sep23 (tamayo isidr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 3.50    
FORT YORK Aug11 Jun18 Aug27 Aug19 Aug12 (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 18% 4.60    
INDIANERA Jul30 Jul22 Jun10 Apr15 Apr08 (hansen roger)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00    
ZOE'S PAPA CEE Aug11 Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 May12 (bumgardner jim)FLORES PABLO 126 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
FER-5   08/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL STARLITE May21 May05 Apr15 Mar04 Jan17 (mcdonald melan)MARTIN A 121 4.00    
DEBT MONGER Aug06 Jul08 Jun23 Dec18 Sep23 (aquino m)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00 15% 5.50    
HAKUNUI Aug12 Jul13 Jul02 Jun18 Jun10 (maelfeyt bruno)SMITH E 126 10.00 6% 15.00    
TIZ INDY Aug11 Jul02 Jun17 Apr29 Apr08 (guerrero )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.50    
TAKES A VILLAGE Aug06 Mar18 Feb26 Jan15 Dec03 (rubin howard)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 3.00    
HEY WILMAAA Jul02 Jun25 Jun18 Oct16 Oct08 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
FER-6   08/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HER PERFECT VISION Aug11 Jul30 Jul04 Jun24 May06 (guerrer)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
HYPHY Jul01 Jun18 Oct15 Oct09 Aug27 (maelfeyt bru)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 4.00    
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Jul04 Jun24 Jun17 Nov25 Oct07 (beckner l)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 11% 7.80    
COWLITZ Jul04 Jun25 Jun18 Oct15 Oct07 (beckner )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 66% 0.50    
LOW DOSE Aug10 Jul07 Jun18 Jun10 May27 (hof d)SMITH E 126 3.00    
SPUN BEAUTIFUL Jun23 May28 May07 Apr16 Mar24 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 126 5.00    
 
FER-7   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANTASTIC SECRET Jul28 Jul02 May28 Apr28 Feb26 (puentes jos)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 7% 14.20    
MOONSHINE CAT Aug05 Jun18 May28 May06 Mar25 (lagrone selwyn)FLORES P 126 4.00    
SUE GENEROUS Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 Jun17 May26 (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 5.00    
GREAT CURVES Aug10 Jul02 Jun25 Aug11 Jun21 (hof d)JENSEN P 126 10.00 11% 7.80    
JAYS ANGEL Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 Jun09 May27 (franko daniel)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.50 46% 1.20    
SWEET MEG Jul01 Jun17 Nov16 Oct15 Oct09 (williams gabri)SMITH E 126 3.50 6% 15.10    
ROSES R BLUE Aug10 Jun24 Jun02 May07 Apr30 (aquino angel)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.