Handicappers' Racing Form

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Century Mile
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-3   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-4   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-6   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-7   Win (4/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTM-2   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADRIEN'S AURORA Jun03 May06 Oct22 Oct01 Jul23 (gri)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
EXAMINER Jun16 Jun03 May06 Apr02 Mar18 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 125 1.60 41% 1.40    
DREADNAUGHT Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 May26 Oct15 (kettleso)STEADMAN LEON 125 6.00 7% 13.00    
MANFORALLSEASONS Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 Apr26 Apr12 (wyness james)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00    
CARSON'S LEGACY Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 May26 Apr30 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00    
 
CTM-3   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT- 9:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE ROSE ROSE Jul21 Jul07 Jun09 Apr22 Apr14 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 1.60 27% 2.70    
SOFIA D 'AMORE Jul01 Jun16 May12 Mar09 Feb10 (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 4.00    
NO MORE JO KING Jul07 Jun09 May06 Oct08 Aug27 (rober)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
I SAID QUIET Jul09         (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
SKIP'S ROCK Jul07         (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
 
CTM-4   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIGORO Jun09 May26 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
EL NOBLE Jul07 Jun09 May12 Apr18 Mar18 (baker ta)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00    
BACKSTREET BOBBY Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May26 Nov05 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 125 3.00 21% 3.80    
THESHACK Jul08 Jun16 Nov05 Oct29 Oct08 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 125 1.80 25% 2.90    
SMART PLAY Jun30 Jun16 May27 Oct29 Sep30 (rober)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
 
CTM-5   07/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVIEN'S CHARM Jul07 Jun02 May13 Nov04 Oct22 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 19% 4.10    
SAYGE'S SPIRIT Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May13 (gourdeau b)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
PONY GIRL Jul07 Jun17 Mar31 Feb22 Feb12 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
FOREVER LADY Jul21 Jul01 Jun03 May13 Nov04 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
WAVESINTHEOCEAN Jul08 Jun17       (calhoun kimberle)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00    
COUNTESS CAT Jun17 Nov04 Oct21 Sep10 Jul31 (baker)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 4.00    
 
CTM-6   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUDDENLY MISTY Jun16 May27 Oct08 Sep18 Aug13 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00    
SINGING BELL Jul07 Jun10 May26 Oct22 Sep23 (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 4.00    
JOY IN GRACE Jul09 Jun16 May26 Oct21 Oct08 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 Oct01 Sep17 (kenway t)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 8% 11.30    
HENRY'S GAMBLE Jul09 Jun16 Jun10 May26 May13 (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
GRACEFUL SPIRIT Sep23 Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (pozzo j)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 12.00    
 
CTM-7   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAP COUNT Jul16 Jun24 May26 May06 Nov04 (petrowski joan)NATERA KEIHTON 123 6.00    
FULL VELOCITY Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 May26 May06 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00    
PULL THE PIN Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May26 Oct08 (wal)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 15.00 5% 18.90    
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May13 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  WYE CROSS Jul21 Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 May27 (smith k)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.50    
LITTLE CHICAGO Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 May26 Nov04 (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
HIGH FLYIN TIGER Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 Feb14 Feb01 (humbke )GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00    
DANZA UNBRIDLED Jul09 Jul01 Jun24 Jun10 May26 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 5.00 6% 15.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.