Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (6/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/3)-(8/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-5   WIN (8/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/2)-(8/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/2)-(8/4/9/2)-(8/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/2)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (1/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/6)-(1/3/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/6)-(1/3/9/6)-(1/3/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/9/6)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAITIE KAIT         (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 118 12.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BELLAMENTARY by BELLAMY ROAD)
DEMAR'S LEGACY         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by ENTICED out of MOOJI'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  MISS SAYELY Jun23         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LADY HALITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BIGBOUQUETOFROSES         (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SAVE A ROSE by SUPER SAVER)
MIGUEL'S BELLE         (david a)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
  (by BIG DRAMA out of BEAUTIFUL ONE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SPICY GUACAMOLE         (sweezey kent)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of SAVINGTIME by KANTHAROS)
LLAMARADA Jul07         (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 4.00 56% 0.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of I LOVE SHOPPING by VIOLENCE)
SCR  NEXT ON STAGE Jun23         (plesa jr)PEREZ EDGAR 118 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DADDY ISSUES by SCAT DADDY)
 
GP-2   07/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMOGORGON Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 Dec26 (abreu fernando)RIOS M 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
MONEY FACTOR May20 May06 Mar09 Dec04 Nov25 (catanese )CAMACHO JR 125 12.00    
FRENCH FRANC (FR) May21 Apr20 Mar08 Feb16 Jan20 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 125 1.80 32% 2.10    
TAPPLE CIDER Jun25 May18 Apr23 Mar23 Feb16 (hess b)PANICI LUCA 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE MY JOB Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Mar23 Mar02 (alter )VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 8.00    
MORNING COLORS Jun25 Jun10 May20 Apr30 Apr20 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 3.50    
 
GP-3   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATIESDREAMGIRL Jun25 Jun04 May25 Apr27 Mar22 (miller h)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 30.00    
GINGER SPARKLE Jun04 May13 Apr23 Apr01 Mar19 (barboza victo)MORALES ANGEL 120 2.00    
SHE NASTY Jun11 Apr30 Apr09 Feb10 Nov25 (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 4.50 29% 2.50    
DOMINEERING Jul09 Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr30 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 125 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  PROVOCATIVA Jun25 Jun04 May05 Apr15 Apr07 (crichton rohan)RIVERA JON 115 3.00    
DISCO QUEEN Jun25 Jun04 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
MUDSHAFT Jun25 May26 May07 Mar17 Dec26 (williams m)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 118 20.00    
 
GP-4   07/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINDYLOUWHO Jul09 Jun10 May12 Mar16 Mar03 (palmer ni)CAMACHO JR 123 8.00    
ON ALERT Jun25 Mar26 Jan28 Apr24 Mar12 (retamoza ernes)REYES LEONEL 123 6.00    
IRAZU Jul01 Jun11 May05 Apr21 Apr01 (jones dou)HERRERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SMART SPENDING Jun11 Apr15 Mar15 Jan11 Dec14 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 123 4.50    
SENSITIVITY May27 Jan15 Dec07 Oct14 Apr02 (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 123 6.00    
STARSHIP AGENDA Jun24 May27 Apr16 Mar05   (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
FISH MOONEY Dec23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 Aug19 (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
TAMARINDO Jun11 Apr01 Mar03 Feb03 Dec09 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
GP-5   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACTION ROSE Dec21 Dec07 Nov20 Nov13 Nov04 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 120 6.00    
AMOR Y CONTROL Jun19 Jun02 May06     (brownlee )CAMACHO JR 124 15.00 6% 15.80    
DIVINE ENCOUNTER Jun10 Apr01 Dec02 Sep25 Aug28 (pitts rodney)LEON SONNY 124 20.00    
WIN DIXIE RONNIE Jul01 Jun03 Aug07     (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
MUSICAL JOURNEY Jul01 Jun16 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 (de cerda)RIOS M 120 15.00    
SCR  MISS ARIA Jun30 Jun10 Apr07 Mar09 Feb05 (maragh c)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 20.00    
TAYYARA Jun16 May28 May05     (d'angelo jose)MORALES ANGEL 113 6.00    
GIRL BYE Jul01 Jun18 May25 May05 Apr20 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
VELOCISSIMA Jun30 Jun02 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (amado enrique)PANICI LUCA 124 4.50 17% 4.70    
 
GP-6   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. PEEKS Jun24 May13 Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 (joseph a)PEREZ EDGAR 120 3.00    
BIG DATA Jun04 May11 Apr22 Jan14 Dec16 (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 120 3.50 7% 13.60    
TIGRE Jun30 Jun10 Nov19 Nov13 Oct01 (laurin roger)MORALES ANGEL 115 20.00    
KNOX Jun24 Jun04 Apr08 Mar24 Feb23 (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 120 5.00    
LOCO ABARRIO Jun24 May28 Apr28 Mar24 Feb22 (spatz ronald)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Jun18 May19 Apr15 Mar26 Feb18 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
GP-7   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE JUANITO Jul08 May11 Apr22 Mar25 Mar08 (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50    
HOPE IN HIM Jul02 May27 Apr16 Mar19 Feb19 (croft bar)CAMACHO JR 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
UNCLE B Jul02 Jun02 Apr29 Mar12 Dec08 (acker d)REYES LEONEL 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SIGILOSO Jun02 Apr02 Mar18 Feb18 Dec31 (sanchez m)LEON SONNY 122 3.00 7% 14.40    
COMPETITIVE SAINT Jul02 May25 Apr22 Apr28 Mar27 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 120 4.00 6% 16.50    
EMBER May14 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Apr24 (d'angelo j)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 115 30.00    
EXECUTIVE SEARCH Jul01 May25 May14 Mar30 Mar02 (palmer)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
 
GP-8   07/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAT Jun30 Apr22 Mar30 Mar08 Jan29 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 4.50 70% 0.40    
THE MAR Jun30 Apr23 Mar12 Feb08 Jan12 (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 123 20.00    
SURROGATE Jul02 Jun09 May25 May04 Mar30 (biancone pa)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 5.00    
UNO TIGER Jul02 Jun11 Apr23 Mar19 Feb09 (o'connell kath)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00    
SCR  MONFORTE Jun30 Jun17 Apr29 Mar16   (negrete )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 3.00    
CAPTAIN ANTHONY Jul02 Jun04 May19 Jan06 Dec18 (hurtak daniel)MORALES ANGEL 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
AMBOR NIGHT Jul01 May18       (catane)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
VOLCANIC Jun18 Jun03 Mar25 Mar08 Aug14 (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 2.50    
MUTAAWID Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 May06 Apr08 (hurtak daniel)PEREZ EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-9   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST FORCE Jun18 May21       (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 124 3.50    
LTE STARK WINTER Jun10         (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00    
MARTINI'S AMICA Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Apr26 (romero rafae)ZAYAS J 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  AMARULA SUN Jun17 May21 Apr22     (palmer nicholas)LEON SONNY 119 30.00    
MISS GOLDIE Jul08 Jun24       (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
ACQUIRED TASTE Jul08 Jun24 May26 Feb23 Sep24 (guciar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
AREUOKWITHTHIS May28 Jul17       (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
BIOTECHNOLOGY Jul08 Jun18 May18     (palmer ni)CAMACHO JR 119 5.00    
LUMINANT Jul08 May26 May06 Apr15   (sano antonio)PANICI LUCA 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.