Handicappers' Racing Form

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Century Mile
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-2   Win (2/4/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CTM-3   Win (2/5/8/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CTM-4   Win (5/4/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CTM-5   Win (1/3/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CTM-6   Win (4/11/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CTM-7   Win (5/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTM-8   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-9   Win (10/4/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTM-2   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAMAD Jun17 Jun03 May06 Mar11 Feb27 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00 15% 5.70    
WESTERN RUN (IRE)         (smith mike)O'FARRELL C 168 15.00    
DEE STAR (IRE) Aug27 May28       (hanmer gary)BOWEN S 165 1.50    
MAKE'N TRACKS Sep18 Sep02 Aug20 Jul22   (pozzo jack)BRYAN D 123 10.00 27% 2.70    
JONY MAX (IRE)         (williams)COLLIER E 161 3.00    
PULL THE PIN Jun10 May26 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 (wal)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BREAKING THE ICE         (bewley george)BEWLEY J 160 10.00    
LIGHTENING ANNA Nov04 Oct22 Oct15 Sep18 Sep02 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
ESCROW STYLE Jun17 May26 May12 Feb25 Feb09 (frey carson)RIZO ALEXIS 125 1.60 9% 9.90    
ZUMBI (GER) May28         (moffatt james)JONES CHARLOTTE 157 6.00    
ESTIFRAAD Jun03 Oct21 Oct07 Sep09 Sep02 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 6.00    
JELSKI (GER) Aug27         (moffatt james)SHANAHAN W 157 20.00    
DIEGOS WAY (IRE)         (collins cian)STEVENS A 151 12.00    
GRANGE RANGER (IRE)         (hammond micky)HUGHES B 151 8.00    
 
CTM-3   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARNET DE STAGE (IRE)         (o'sullivan eugene)SHINE J 168 7.00    
LOAD ABROAD Jun23 Jun03 May13 Dec08 Nov24 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROXBORO ROAD (IRE)         (haslam ben)MCLERNON R 168 15.00    
TAKE CHARGE GWEN Jun09 May12 Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 (robertson je)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 5.00 40% 1.50    
COUNT ON IT Jun09 Sep30 Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 (walper deanna)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.00 7% 12.60    
RAECIUS FELIX (IRE) Aug27 May28       (menzies rebecca)HUGHES B 166 8.00    
BELLS EXPRESS (IRE)         (moffatt james)JONES CHARLOTTE 163 12.00    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Jun23 Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 Jun25 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 8.00    
ADDYDIDIT Jun16 Jun02 May12 Oct29 Sep23 (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.50 15% 5.70    
THATSY (FR)         (quinlan lizzie)QUINLAN SEAN 163 12.00    
CHATTY GAL Jun09 May26 Oct28 Oct08 Sep18 (jones danny)ZENTENO JR 123 1.80    
THE ELECTRICIAN (IRE)         (smith mike)HAMILTON J 158 7.00    
CASH AGAIN (FR)         (haslam ben)HOGAN J 158 5.00    
JOEY STEEL (IRE)         (williams)COLLIER E 158 3.50 10% 9.00    
HUNGRY TIGER (IRE)         (bewley george)BEWLEY J 158 10.00    
10  MONOXIDE (GB)         (mccluskey)B KENNEDY 152 8.00    
11  ONENIGHTINTOWN (IRE)         (hammond micky)O'FARRELL C 145 12.00    
 
CTM-4   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTS ARE GREEN         (bewley george)BEWLEY J 168 2.50    
NORTHERN DREAMIN Jun16 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Sep09 (zielke madis)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALL RUN Jun03         (davies deanne)NELSON DANE 120 12.00    
CARRIGEEN KONINI (IRE)         (hammond micky)STEVENS A 160 12.00    
DOUSEAWHATISEA Jun17 Oct08       (frey carson)BRYAN D 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
PRINCE CLENI (FR)         (williams)TUDOR J 156 2.00    
PADDYS ROCKET Jun10         (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
WHATABOUTYEH         (england samantha)ENGLAND J 150 5.00    
AMUSING WAY Jun03 May12 Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80 28% 2.50    
HUMPS AND BUMPS (IRE)         (brooke)BROOKE H 149 15.00    
BIG GANGSTA         (moffatt james)JONES CHARLOTTE 145 10.00    
MIDNITE CHILL Jun09 May26 Sep24 Aug26 Aug13 (leech h)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 2.00 5% 19.00    
TWISTEDFIRESTARTER (IRE)         (pipe david)ARMSON P 142 8.00    
ABSOLUTELY DYLAN         (smith sue)QUINLAN SEAN 142 15.00    
OLD PAGE Aug27         (sadik aytach)CLARKE ALISON 142 50.00    
 
CTM-5   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALLYQUIN BAY         (hamilton alison)HAMILTON J 158 2.50    
FROBISHER BAY Jun24 Jun09 May27 May06 Nov05 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 24% 3.20    
BIG IN MILAN         (ewart james)HUGHES B 158 10.00    
DREADNAUGHT Jun09 May26 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 (kettleson aliv)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 7% 13.00    
LOCAL DRAMA         (smith sue)RABBITT CONOR 158 30.00    
PERDITION Jun09 May27 Oct21 Oct07 Aug05 (petrowski joan)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 20% 4.00    
PRINCE NINO (FR)         (quinlan lizzie)QUINLAN SEAN 158 6.00    
REDNECK REMARK Jun16         (mcdonald)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00    
SLATE LANE (IRE)         (mullins emmet)MEYLER D 158 5.00    
YORKTOWN Jun09 May27 May12 Oct29 Sep30 (petrowski j)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00 17% 5.00    
BIG AL'S VISION Jun23 Jun09 May27 May06 Nov05 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
OUR ZEBO (IRE)         (kelly c)BOWEN S 152 15.00    
NIGHT ON THE TOWN         (o'brien fergal)HOGAN J 151 4.00    
ONEFINEDAY Jun16 May26 Sep03 Aug20 Jul24 (coney jason)GUERRERO F 120 4.00 9% 10.20    
LET THE BOY SING Jun16 Jun03 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 125 15.00    
TIME FOR JOY (IRE)         (mccain donald)MCCAIN ABBIE 151 4.50    
YOU SAY ITS OVER (IRE)         (hammond micky)O'FARRELL C 151 30.00    
 
CTM-6   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORKAN Jun17 Jun03 May12 Apr29 Mar05 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
ON WE GO         (boanas gillian)QUINLAN SEAN 168 20.00    
SINNDARELLA (IRE) Aug27         (hollinshead sarah)WARD C 165 10.00    
SCR  ISLE OF SKYE Jun09 May26 Apr01 Mar03 Feb05 (o'hagan )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00    
AMAZING AMY (IRE)         (o'sullivan eugene)SHINE J 164 15.00    
COMMON KNOWLEDGE Jun10 May27 May06 Oct29 Oct08 (tingle )GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
FENNEY BROOK (GB)         (daly henry)PATRICK R 162 10.00    
SMARTY RIVER PANTS Jun09 May27 May12 Oct28 Oct08 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
FABREZE (IRE)         (lewis shiela)SCHOLFIELD N 160 3.00    
HARD TO COME HOME May26 May12 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
PUNK ROCK GIRL (IRE) Aug28 Jul30       (collins cian)HUGHES B 159 10.00    
SCHOCHOH Jun10 May26 May12 Apr15 Mar31 (o'hagan colleen)GUERRERO F 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
BELLA BLUESKY (GB)         (whillans)NICHOL CRAIG 159 12.00    
SHARP DRESSED BEAU Jun10 May26 Jun03 May21 May07 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
SOCIAL DISTANCING (IRE)         (mccluskey)B KENNEDY 158 20.00    
DOT COTTON         (smith mike)MCLERNON R 158 15.00    
10  MRS KINSELLA         (potter ryan)BOWEN S 156 8.00    
11  BABY SHAM (GB)         (mullins seamus)NOLAN G 154 2.50 16% 5.10    
12  PURE SURF         (jardine iain)O'FARRELL C 146 20.00    
 
CTM-7   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTREET BOBBY Jun09 May26 Nov05 Oct29 Oct22 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 8.00    
ABOVE AND BEYOND Jun03 May26 May12 Oct22 Sep30 (payne jodey)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Jun17 Apr28 Apr08 Mar19 Feb24 (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 12.00    
TUCKER TIME May26 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
IMPACTO Jun09 May26 May13 Apr02   (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
RAILWAY Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 (baker)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00    
LINCHPIN STORM Jun09 May26 May06 Apr17 Dec21 (bourne elige)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
BON PRIX Jun16 May26 May12 Oct29 Oct15 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
CTM-8   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART PLAY Jun16 May27 Oct29 Sep30 Sep10 (robertso)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
ZICATELA Jun17 May26 Nov05 Oct15 Oct01 (anderson gon)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 28% 2.60    
WALKTHELINE Jun16 May26 May06 Oct15 Sep30 (mcdonald robert )MARTIN ANDRE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
WAR GIANT Jun17 Jun02 Oct22 Sep30 Sep23 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
FATHER O'FLAHERTY Jun17 May27 Apr25 Mar11 Feb21 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
SCR  CLANCY'S PISTOL Jun17 May27 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 (bell ken)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00    
ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jun17 Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 Feb03 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 123 4.00    
SCR  SLEW'S BAK Jun16 May28 May14 Oct02 Sep10 (zielk)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50    
 
CTM-9   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K RAPPER Jun03 May06 Nov05 Oct22 Sep23 (humbke cheryl)NELSON DANE 120 4.50    
REAL JUSTICE May27         (kettleso)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 15.00    
RAUSTY TREASURE         (rumsey cory)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
ADIOS Y GRACIAS Jun10         (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 3.00 7% 12.60    
KAPTAIN KOWBOY Jun03 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep24 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 6.00 7% 13.70    
FROSTEDBIRD May27 May06 Mar23 Feb19 Jan27 (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 10.00    
CAROSWAY         (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 120 12.00    
VANTASTICCANAVERAL May06 Sep23       (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 120 12.00    
NIGHTFALL         (baker tamara)GUERRERO F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BARAK Jun24 Jun10 May27 Apr08 Mar17 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.