Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hastings Racecourse
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HST-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HST-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/5)-(4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HST-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/1/3)-(6/2/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HST-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HST-7   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HST-1   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDYETTA May28 May06 Oct01 Jul09   (krasner cindy)PEREZ AMADEO 117 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  NO PEOPLE Jun10 May28 Mar29 Mar14 Feb21 (lemasurier )MORALES SILVINO 120 3.00    
TOBESUNNY Jun04 Oct16 Oct01 Aug06 Jul23 (unwin br)GOMEZ ROBERTO 120 5.00    
JUST MISTY May27 May13 Oct16 Sep24 Aug29 (macpherson )KHELAWAN KERRON 117 4.50    
TAM TRICKY May28 May13 Dec14 Nov25 Aug20 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
HST-2   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARNEY GOOGLE May28 May14 Apr30 Oct22 Oct15 (henson robert)PEREZ AMADEO 124 4.50    
SELF SERVING Jun04         (hens)REYES AMBROSIO 117 4.00 11% 7.70    
MONTE May28 Oct15 Sep18 Aug23 Aug07 (macpherson cra)AEBLY FRASER 113 10.00 11% 8.40    
EARS TO US Jun04 Apr30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul24 (vanoverschof ro)SANTO KIMAL 120 1.20 51% 0.90    
DEPUTY'S DANCER Jun03 Feb21 Jan23 Jan10 Dec22 (leaney patr)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 2.00    
 
HST-3   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONE THAT May27 Oct22 Oct09 Sep25 Aug29 (maybin robe)MORALES SILVINO 120 8.00    
BAKZONE Jun03 May22 May06 Oct15 Oct01 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 116 4.00 17% 4.80    
CERTIFIABLE May14 Oct22 Oct01 Aug06 Jul23 (may)MAMDEEN ROY 116 8.00    
ANIMA Jun03 May22 Oct15 Sep24 Aug14 (lemasurier pau)AEBLY FRASER 113 1.20 18% 4.60    
HARLAN'S ANGEL Jun03 May22 May06 Oct15 Sep18 (krasner cindy)PEREZ AMADEO 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
HST-4   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARUNDEL CASTLE Jun03 May22 May06 Oct22 Oct08 (pederson keith)PEREZ AMADEO 117 1.20 43% 1.30    
HONOR THE QUEEN Jul16 Jul01       (martin a)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 12.00    
CHI CHI'S SONG Jun03 May22 Aug13 Jun26   (forster dave)AEBLY FRASER 110 3.00    
SCR  SHESBOURBONONICE May28 May13 Sep24 Aug27 Aug01 (mart)REYES AMBROSIO 120 4.00    
ELLAMEISTER May22 May06 Oct08     (heads barbar)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
HST-5   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER TONE May27 May14 Oct16 Oct02 Sep10 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
TEX TONIC Jun03 May13 Aug29 Aug13   (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 113 8.00    
SCR  ERLICH Sep25 Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 Jul09 (anderson ro)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 1.60    
BROKE AN BROKEN May22 Nov27 Nov11 Sep23 Sep02 (jordan terry)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SLOOP JOHN B Jun03 May14 Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
TRAPALIS Jun03 May14 Sep25 Sep18 Aug14 (deyo)REYES AMBROSIO 122 8.00    
 
HST-6   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BYE PUTIN May27 May06 Mar18 Mar01 Feb06 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 113 2.50 19% 4.30    
APPELLANT May28 May14 Apr30 Oct15 Oct08 (jewell ian)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 4.50    
JUST MAKE BELIEVE May22 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug29 (brem)REYES AMBROSIO 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
MR. QUALITY May27 Apr30 Oct22 Oct02 Aug29 (condilenios di)PEREZ AMADEO 120 3.00    
BABY GRAND (IRE) Jun04 May22 May06 Oct22 Oct08 (milburn david)SANTO KIMAL 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
MORETHANSOULTITLE May27 May14 Jan10 Dec26 Dec13 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 120 6.00    
 
HST-7   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESIRED OUTCOME Oct08         (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 117 4.00    
TEXAS MOONSHINE         (henson stev)MORALES SILVINO 117 10.00 17% 4.70    
GROOVIN' IS BAK May27 Oct08 Sep25     (mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 117 3.50    
BRIAN'S DE LEIGHT May27 May06 Aug13 Aug01   (miller charl)BALGOBIN RIDGE 117 6.00    
BLACKSTONE Aug29 Aug13       (head)REYES AMBROSIO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S A SAINT Sep25 Aug30 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
MOUNT LOKI         (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 110 10.00 17% 4.70    
PURSUE May20 Sep10 Aug13     (macpherso)SANCHEZ LUIS 117 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.