Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/5)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(8/1/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-4   WIN (8/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/3)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GP-6   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(1/3/7/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-7   WIN (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/8)-(9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-8   WIN (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/2)-(9/2/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2)-(9/2/6/8)-(9/2/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/2)-(6/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-9   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/8/10)-(6/9/7/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   04/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REE Dec18 Nov26 Oct28     (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
CHLOE'S TOY Apr02 Mar05 Feb03     (braddy dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
HOT FOOT SUSIE Mar31 Mar02 Jan15 Dec14 Nov13 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 125 3.50 8% 12.10    
FELINE Mar03 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov13 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 125 2.50 61% 0.60    
MARILYN Mar31 Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Oct14 (david a)LEON SONNY 125 12.00    
SAYONARA SISTER         (j)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 125 6.00    
FACE THE MUSIC Mar16         (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 118 5.00 8% 11.70    
NEVER (IRE) Mar02 Jan05 Dec09 Sep11 Aug06 (ciamei matth)MORELOS E 125 6.00    
 
GP-2   04/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIHELLOHOWAREYOU Mar12 Jan25 Dec24     (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50 36% 1.70    
LUCK IN THE DUSK Nov19 Oct29 Sep09 Aug23 Aug01 (danner kelsey)REYES LEONEL 120 3.00 12% 7.60    
EXTRA INDY Apr06 Mar24 Feb08 Jan25 Nov19 (williams mat)MORRISON AILSA 113 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S A JOY Apr01 Mar12 Jan15 Dec28 Dec04 (spatz ronald)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
HOAX (IRE) Mar12 Feb23 Jan26 Dec08 Oct29 (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 120 4.00 9% 9.80    
ZOSTEROP Mar19 Feb18 Dec08 Nov11 Oct21 (spatz ronald )MORALES ANGEL 111 6.00    
KITTY QUICK Dec16 Nov11 Oct21 Sep02   (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
GP-3   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATIONAL KATE Apr09 Oct21       (yates michae)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 15.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of RATIONAL VELVET by UNBRIDLED'S IMAGE)
BURNAWAY         (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by BIG DRAMA out of BOLD CHAR by GENERAL QUARTERS)
PRINCIPIA Apr15 Mar17 Mar04 Feb12 Jan19 (dakin a)KRIGGER K 118 3.50    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of CABINETTE by DISCREETLY MINE)
MAMA MARIA Mar17 Jan18 Dec30 Nov11 Oct21 (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by GIRVIN out of JOE'S GIFT by SKY MESA)
MY CHUTZPAH         (braddy dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of MISS MELINDA by MALIBU MOON)
FORTUNA BELLE Dec01 Nov11       (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 4.50 8% 11.30    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of DOUBLE SEVEN by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
MINXY Apr07 Jan18       (yates michael)RIOS M 118 6.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of CLARA BOW by TOP VILLE (IRE))
SPLURGE Sep11 Jul31 Jun24     (casse mark)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BLUEGRASS SUNSET by HARD SPUN)
 
GP-4   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA CAMILA Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 Sep02 Jul08 (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 126 3.50 19% 4.40    
TOTAL BLISS Mar30 Mar01       (kelly blake)SUTHERLAND C 126 20.00    
MAJOR PRYCE Mar19 Feb22 Jan04 Dec17 Nov13 (sano antonio)LEON SONNY 120 12.00 7% 12.40    
ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO Mar03         (delgado gust)MORELOS E 120 10.00    
BIG BEE Mar26 Feb16 Jan18 Dec07 Sep02 (fawkes david)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 3.00 12% 7.20    
ARTIFACT (GB) Apr21 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 120 8.00    
BUILT DIFFERENT Mar29 Mar08 Feb01 Dec26 Jul29 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 126 2.50    
I BELIEVE IN MAGIC Sep24 Sep02 Jul08 May19 Apr09 (spatz b)JARAMILLO E 126 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
GP-5   04/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKS ON ME Feb23 Feb01 Jan04 Oct21 Sep18 (bayeh edgar)PEREZ EDGAR 120 1.40 44% 1.30    
MABEE LUCKYNWILD Apr02 Mar03 Feb17 Jan11 Nov11 (danner kelsey)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
AWESOME APEAL Mar19 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 Dec26 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 113 20.00    
HAY HAY PAULA Mar17 Feb22 Jan01 Dec08 Nov20 (pinchin jose)JARAMILLO E 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
ISLAND MAGIC Apr06 Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 Jan04 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
SAMMY'S TOWN Mar23 Feb23 Feb15 Feb01 Jan04 (lutchman padara)PANICI LUCA 120 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO PRETTY Feb15 Jan18 Dec26 Oct28 Aug26 (bayeh edgar)BORACO DAVID 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
LITTLE RED BUTTON Apr06 Mar22 Mar03 Feb12 Jan28 (king b)KRIGGER K 120 15.00    
 
GP-6   04/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDALAY Apr16 Mar10 Dec03 Sep03 Aug06 (nicks e)JARAMILLO E 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
BADBADBOBBY Mar12 Feb16 Jan20 Jan12 Dec26 (garoff)VASQUEZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
SCR  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Apr08 Feb22 Jan05 Dec17 Dec01 (maragh aubrey)MORALES ANGEL 119 5.00 43% 1.30    
COURAGEOUS COPPER Mar19 Feb15 Jan27 Apr22   (lightner mar)MORELOS E 120 4.50    
GLORIOUS BUSINESS         (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 126 4.00    
PAPA KATZ Apr09 Mar23 Mar12 Feb26 Feb01 (sano anton)PIMENTEL JR 126 8.00    
MORETHANICANHANDLE Mar18 Feb22 Jan07 Dec03 Aug21 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 8.00    
 
GP-7   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCO ABARRIO Mar24 Feb22 Jan14 Dec26 Nov27 (spatz ronald)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
UNCAPTURED STAR Mar29 Feb09 Dec26 Aug20   (dobber w)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
KHOZEIRESS Mar29 Mar09 Dec26     (pompay terri)REYES LEONEL 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
BIG JOHN Mar15 Feb26 Jan22 Dec24 Nov13 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 8.00    
MAXIMO Mar31 Dec10 Nov19 Sep24 Sep03 (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 20.00    
SHAQ DIESEL Apr01 Feb18 Jan28 Jan14 Dec03 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
DIAMOND COOL Mar26 Feb23 Jan29 Jan13 Nov12 (biancone patric)PANICI LUCA 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
D COLDEST Mar19 Feb15 Oct07 Aug28 Jul10 (crichton roha)MORALES ANGEL 113 6.00 7% 14.30    
 
GP-8   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JULIETTE FALLS Oct18 Oct03       (rice kevin)REYES LEONEL 124 20.00    
RIVETING SPIRIT Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Dec14 Sep16 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 126 3.00 8% 12.20    
CINDY'S SONG Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 Oct23 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
SCR  LOOKINLIKEAQUEEN Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 Dec09 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 20.00    
SPEED SALSA Apr09 Mar09 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 (breen j)MORALES ANGEL 117 15.00    
JUDGE JUDITH Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 Dec26 Aug19 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00    
FORBIDDEN DREAM Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Feb05 Apr16 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 124 30.00    
TIZ ENOUGH Nov11 Oct08 Sep02 Jul23 Jun24 (allinson vernon )LEON SONNY 124 6.00    
LANIAKEA STORM Mar29 Feb16 Oct15 Aug19 Jul23 (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 126 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  Z FIRST Feb25 Jun26 Jun11 May01 Mar23 (klesaris ste)GONZALEZ EDWIN 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
11  PRETTYKEEN Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 Oct14 Sep17 (cazares laur)MORELOS E 124 15.00    
 
GP-9   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAVANA Jan19 Dec07 Nov06     (amado enrique)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
FOR THE THRILL Mar01 Feb05 Jan14 Dec17 Nov11 (williams)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 118 8.00    
MISS TONES Mar22         (fawkes david)PANICI LUCA 118 15.00    
REACHING STRIDE Mar31 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan21 (morzan javie)GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 20.00    
D CITY GIRL Apr06 Mar10       (dobber w)KRIGGER K 118 20.00    
KATZ THAT GAL Mar31 Feb04 Jan20 Dec23 Nov12 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 3.50 58% 0.70    
KIT CAN RUN Mar22 Feb05 Jan07     (casse mark)LEON SONNY 125 2.50 10% 9.20    
ANTRIM Mar31 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 Oct09 (sano antonio)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
LOVE UNLIMITED Mar31 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Jan21 (ochoa ernesto)SUTHERLAND C 125 3.50 11% 7.80    
10  HEART OF THE BEAST Mar18         (o'connell kat)MORALES ANGEL 111 30.00    
11  SPRINT BREAKER Mar19 Jan19 Nov25 Oct21 Sep23 (budhoo steve)MORRISON AILSA 111 30.00    
12  MY INSANITY Mar16 Jan14 Dec15 Nov11 Sep16 (williams matthe)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.