Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/1/7)-(4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(4/5)-(4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4)-(4/1/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WRD-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/8/2)-(4/8/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(4/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4)-(4/1/3/5)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-5   WIN (4/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/5)-(3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/5)-(3/6/4)-(8/4/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(8/4/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(8/4/9/5)-(4/12/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-7   WIN (8/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/5)-(8/4/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/5)-(8/4/9/5)-(8/4/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/5)-(4/12/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/5)-(4/12/8)-(7/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-8   WIN (4/12/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/12/8)-(4/12/8/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/12/8)-(4/12/8/3/6)-(4/12/8/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/12/8)-(7/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/12/8)-(7/3/4)-(6/8/1/5/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-9   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(6/8/1/5/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-10   WIN (6/8/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/5/9)-(6/8/1/5/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/5/9)-(6/8/1/5/9)-(6/8/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S STAR Apr10 Mar28 Dec01     (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
  (by SWIFT WARRIOR out of DUSTIN'S MAGIC by GRAND SLAM)
SWORD OF GOLD Mar28 Mar21 Dec01 Nov15 Oct28 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of LADY BE GOLD by COUNTRY BE GOLD)
MAGNA TAP Mar28 Dec07 Nov14 Nov08   (davidson brent)KIMES C 118 10.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of PERFECT TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
FOOL'S MIRAGE Dec07 Nov15 Aug20     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of CLASSIC MIRAGE by CLASSIC ALLIANCE)
GRANDSONSAM Mar28 Mar06 Feb03 Dec14   (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50    
  (by CODE WEST out of MISS HOCKADAY by GREENWOOD LAKE)
PUPPY POWER Mar28 Mar07 Jun27 Jun06   (mitchell dan)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of BERN BABY by BERNSTEIN)
RACHEL'S CAPER Apr08 Mar04 Feb12 Dec14 Dec02 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 1.60    
  (by EXCAPER out of GENTLE RACHEL by LOST OPPORTUNITY)
 
WRD-2   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUESKIESANDANGELS Apr12 Mar14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
CAMANCHE RIVER Mar14 Mar07 Dec16 Nov19   (gladd andy)KIMES C 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
VLOCK Apr12 Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 Oct12 (hanson vi)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
LOCK UP YOUR PETS Apr04 Sep22 Aug27     (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
JEANO Mar14 Dec03 Jul19 Jun28 Apr04 (brooks jimm)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00    
GOSPEL DANDY Apr03 Mar07 Dec01 Nov06 Oct23 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
IRA CHAMP Apr12 Mar14 Mar07 Jan16 Dec08 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
PRAIRIE DOLLAR Apr12 Mar21 Dec08 Nov15 Oct27 (rodriguez mar)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
 
WRD-3   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH NIKI Mar27 Mar13 Dec17 Dec10 Nov12 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 10.00    
IM THE BIGGER BEAR Mar18 Feb12 Jan13 Nov30 Nov12 (young e)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00    
RAINBOWS ARE FREE Apr10 Mar21 Oct27 Oct01 Sep14 (caster boyd)KIMES C 124 3.00    
STOLEN KISSES Mar28 Mar14 Dec07 Nov04   (williams alan)BIRZER E 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
KACHINA Mar27 Nov21 Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
LOVELY LOLITA Apr03 Mar13 Dec17 Dec03 Oct19 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
 
WRD-4   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A ROCK Dec17 Dec02       (oberlander je)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00    
FRANZ Dec17 Nov30 Oct27 Oct14 Sep21 (hanson vic)WETHEY JR 118 5.00    
KICK IT AGAIN BOB Apr10 Mar28 Mar14 Jun14 May24 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
EURO TRACKING Mar21 Dec01 Nov05 Oct08 Sep17 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
AWESOME OUTLAW Apr03 Mar21 Feb26 Feb04 Dec16 (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 118 5.00    
SCR  RAPID EXPANSION Mar19 Feb05 Jan03 Oct17 Oct06 (crawford cole)KIMES C 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
CIMARRON SAND Nov30 Oct26 Sep17     (bravo fran)ERAMIA E 118 15.00    
MINGUS Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Dec16 Dec02 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
 
WRD-5   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODIE BABY Mar20 Feb20 Feb03 Jan07 Dec05 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
OUR DAVINA Mar28 Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 (young scott)WETHEY JR 115 12.00    
CARRY ON Mar17 Dec02 Nov23 Oct21 Oct05 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
CANADA CANDY Apr04 Oct21 Sep23 Sep10 Jun16 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.80 20% 4.00    
EUTYCHIA Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 Dec09 Nov08 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
CON SUERTE Mar20 Dec10 Nov19 Oct26 Sep29 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
SMOKIN' OKIE Mar20 Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
 
WRD-6   04/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BECKETT'S LUCKYDAY Apr10 Mar20 Mar07 Dec17 Dec01 (swan e)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
GOSPEL MUSKETEER Mar21 Jan21 Dec15 Nov15 Oct21 (williams s)ERAMIA E 116 15.00    
PALUXY Apr05 Dec17 Nov21 Oct12 Sep25 (young scott)WETHEY JR 126 0.60 27% 2.70    
CANEY'S GHOST Apr12 Mar27 Mar14 Dec17 Dec08 (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 12.00 15% 5.80    
ROYALLY Apr05 Mar13 Feb10 Dec16 Nov21 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 119 6.00    
COWBOY MISCHIEF Apr05 Mar05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
WRD-7   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST OKIE Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Nov30 Nov21 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00    
PORTSMOUTH Apr03 Sep24 Aug13 Jul28 Jul07 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 8.00    
C C'S LEGACY Apr04 Mar21 Mar13     (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 12.00    
INSIDE JOB Apr03 Sep21 May24     (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Apr03 Mar14 Feb10 Jan15 Nov21 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00 5% 17.70    
SWEET ALEX Apr05 Mar07 Feb05 Nov03 Oct06 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 118 10.00    
SCR  BOLD COURAGE Apr10 Mar27 Feb17     (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
WESTCOAST BREEZE Mar13 Feb26       (buehrer w)BIRZER E 118 3.50 24% 3.30    
MAGNET AND STEEL Mar27 Mar14 Jan02     (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
WRD-8   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICENZA GOLD Mar26 Mar03 Feb03 Dec16 Dec09 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 10.00    
ALL AFLUTTER Apr10 Mar05 Feb20 Dec10 Nov30 (davidson nico)KIMES C 124 20.00    
ENDLESS GRACE Dec17 Nov25       (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.50    
LIL BEAN MACHINE Apr10 Apr01 Mar03 Jan16   (padilla juan)BIRZER E 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  CAROLS KITTEN Apr05         (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
SAYAAD AIN'T SO Apr10 Mar13 Jun18 May17 May03 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 6.00    
GODDESS OF WONDER Apr04 Mar13 Sep02 Jul18 Jul11 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00    
RAINBOW SMILES Apr10 Mar28 Nov25 Nov04 Oct13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 15% 5.90    
ANGEL WHISPER Apr11 Mar07 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 20.00    
10  BOUJEE BRITT Apr10 Mar13       (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
11  MISS COFFEYVILLE Apr10 Mar13 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (ibarra jose)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 30.00    
12  MISSWISH Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Feb25 Jan13 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
WRD-9   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL FABULOUS Mar27 Mar07 Oct19 Sep16 Sep09 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
MS. MORENA Apr03 Mar27 Mar06 Dec15 Nov30 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 12.00    
  (by MO TOM out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
SULPHUR SUE Apr11 Dec15       (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of FLORA'S QUICK by FLATTER)
TOSH Mar21 Mar06 Nov30     (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of OKIE SPIRIT by CAVVY)
RIVER BLING Apr05 Jul11       (thomas de)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of JANSY by SILVER DEPUTY)
GRAY PEARL Dec09 Nov07 Oct22 Oct13 Sep25 (oyster charles)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of WHITTLE by SILVER GHOST)
MISS LONG LEGS Mar27 Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of IT'SNOSMALLWONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
O S U BUDKE Apr04 Mar20       (mitchell ralph)BIRZER E 118 3.50    
  (by KICK ON out of DANE TO DREAM by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
WRD-10   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY BISONETTE Apr05 Mar20       (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
JUST ROSIE Apr05 Mar20 Dec17 Dec10 Nov08 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
BILLIE BABY Apr05 Mar13       (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 15.00    
ARTISTIC VISION Apr11 Jan16 Dec17 Nov30 Oct21 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 10.00    
CATALE WINEMIXER Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Nov04   (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 5.00 7% 12.90    
GOSPEL SISTER Apr04 Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 (williams steve)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
PRINCESS BALL Apr05 Mar20 Dec16     (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00    
HOT TAMALLI Apr05 Nov30 Nov18 Nov03 Sep30 (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
LA PARADISO JORDAN Apr05 Mar06 Dec15 Nov18   (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 12.00 7% 13.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.