Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/2/5/6/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/2/5/6/8)-(7/2/5/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7)-(6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7)-(6/4)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/1/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/1/2/3)-(6/4/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/4/2)-(3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5/1)-(3/4/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/2/5)-(5/8/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/4/1)-(3/2/5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/8/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/8/4/7)-(5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7/6)-(5/8/4/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/4/7)-(5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/7)-(5/4/1)-(8/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/3/2)-(5/4/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(8/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(8/5/2)-(8/4/11) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-7   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/2)-(8/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/2)-(8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/2)-(8/4/11) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2)-(8/4/11)-(13/7/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (8/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/11)-(8/4/11/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/11)-(8/4/11/2/5)-(8/4/11/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/11)-(13/7/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/11)-(13/7/5/4)-(3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (13/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/7/5/4)-(13/7/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/7/5/4)-(13/7/5/4/1)-(13/7/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (13/7/5/4)-(3/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (13/7/5/4)-(3/6)-(2/9/7/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-10   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/5/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/5/8/2)-(3/6/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(2/9/7/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-11   WIN (2/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/6)-(2/9/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/6)-(2/9/7/6/5)-(2/9/7/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAW ABIDING Feb05 Dec31 Nov11 Oct22 Sep05 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
2  PETRUCHIO Feb11 Dec04 Nov11 Oct16 Sep01 (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00 ★    
3  THUNDERHEART Aug11 Jul30 Jul03 Jun05 May17 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 120 20.00    
4  WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Feb18 Dec31 Nov26 Oct23 Aug27 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 8.00    
5  PAPA TIGER Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec11 Oct30 (kitchingman ad)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 ★    
6  THANKS MAGGIO (ARG) Feb11 Jan21 Jan02 Nov27 Oct21 (psarras andre)PYFER JESSICA 120 12.00 ★    
7  LANSDOWNE (GB) Mar11 Feb20 Jan13 Dec09 Nov19 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 70% 0.40    
8  BEAUDACIOUS Feb10 Jan08 Dec02     (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 5.00 ★    
 
SA-2   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER SWAY Feb20 Feb11 Jan20 Nov04 Oct22 (campuzano l)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.00 ★    
2  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Feb10 Jan13 Dec17 Apr01 Feb20 (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 124 5.00 ★    
3  ROSES R BLUE Feb20 Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 Nov06 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 124 8.00 ★    
4  BIG BELL Mar12 Feb11 Dec30 Mar18 Feb25 (saldana re)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  SOUL SWEET Feb20 Jan22 Dec18 Nov25 Sep23 (agarie rick)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
6  DOUBLE FANTASY Jan06 Dec16 Sep11     (quinonez rol)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
SA-3   03/19/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Sensational Star Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK SIXPACK Feb20 Dec02 Apr17 Mar26 Feb06 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 12.00 ★    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LADY SWEETNESS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  KINGS RIVER KNIGHT Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 Oct01 Sep03 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of SEASONTOPERFECTION by POTEEN)
3  THE CHOSEN VRON Feb20 Jan07 Nov19 Oct16 Sep17 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 0.60 42% 1.40    
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZ MOLLY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  INDIAN PEAK Jul24 Apr30 Apr10 Mar20 Feb20 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by COMIC STRIP out of MS. BOOTY by ROAR)
5  FAST BUCK Jul22 Jun19 Apr30 Mar27   (dealba cesar)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 ★    
  (by GALLANT SON out of ZORRA ROJA by FALSTAFF (IRE))
 
SA-4   03/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSKER ALLIE Feb03 Dec17 Nov25 Sep24 Sep01 (d'amato phil)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 2.00 ★    
2  MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Mar05 Jan08 Dec09     (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
3  PARCO Feb11 Jan27 Jan08 Dec17 Oct30 (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  LUCY L Feb17 Jan20 Dec17 Nov18 Oct21 (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00 ★    
5  BACK ON THE STREET Feb11 Dec09 Oct28 Aug27 Jul31 (bell r)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 10% 9.00    
 
SA-5   03/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKS HIP Jan21 Dec10 Nov05 Oct23 Sep24 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
2  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Oct23         (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
3  QUAGMIRE MAGIC Aug14 Jun25       (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 120 8.00    
4  MAS RAPIDO (GB) Jan27 Nov11 Oct02 Sep11   (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  JAM SESSION Feb04 Dec26 Oct21 Sep10   (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
6  KINGDOM HEART Mar05 Jun10       (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
7  REXFORD Jan27 Nov19 Oct21 Sep11 Aug11 (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
8  VALIANCER Feb11 Jan21 Dec31 Dec04 Oct29 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
SA-6   03/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Mar03 Jan15 Dec10 Oct28 Sep24 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
2  ARMAGNAC Sep03 Aug07 May21 May08 Apr09 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 ★    
3  AMERICAN ADMIRAL Jan28 Oct08 Sep04 Jul31 Jun12 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
4  MCLAREN VALE Feb05 Jan15 Oct12 Jul02 Jun08 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
5  TAISHAN Aug21 May13 Mar13 Jan09   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
 
SA-7   03/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPWARD MOBILITY Feb18 Feb04       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
2  PLEASE FOCUS Feb05 Dec18 Nov18 Oct22 Sep23 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.50 7% 13.60    
3  STAY IN THE GAME Mar04 Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 Nov25 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
4  PROOF SHE ZIPS Feb19 Jan28 Jan13     (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 115 8.00    
5  THIRSTY PAPPY Feb05 Jan08 Dec16 Sep23 Aug20 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
6  TANGLEDUPINGREY Jan27 Nov11 Oct16 Aug26 Aug11 (sadler jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00    
SCR  MILA'S PAPA Feb05 Jan07       (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
8  TOM AND JAZZY Feb05 Dec18 Oct22 Sep23 Sep04 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
SA-8   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC CAPITAL Feb12 Jan27 Jan02 Dec11   (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 20.00    
2  DADS ESTRELLA Jan28 Jan07 Dec20 Nov29   (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 ★    
3  HALF NELSON Mar05 Jan27 Jan02 Oct02 Aug14 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00    
4  FILTHY FAST Feb10 Jan02       (mendez luis)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  MONGOLIAN POWER         (ganbat eneb)HERRERA A 122 15.00 ★    
6  HENNY ON ICE Jul29         (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  DONNA'S MISCHIEF Dec20         (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 30.00    
8  CASINO ANNIE Jan20         (hanson ryan)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00 38% 1.70    
9  MISS JOANNIE         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00    
10  TENACIOUS LADY Feb18 Dec04 Oct01 Aug28   (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 6.00    
11  SWEET HELLO Mar09 Jan28 Jan02 Dec04 Nov20 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
12  LUCKY VEGAS Jan28 Jan02 Aug19     (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
 
SA-9   03/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS LADY         (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 ★    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SEA ROYALTY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  OUR MAGIC GIRL Jan07         (azcarate dan)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 30.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of FAITH COLLEEN by BEAU GENIUS)
3  SONG OF SHADOWS Feb19 Jan02       (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 10.00    
  (by CITY WOLF out of SIBERIAN SONG by SIBERIAN EXPRESS)
4  GENERAL WELFARE Feb03 Dec04       (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 6% 16.10    
  (by MERIT MAN out of GENERAL ANN by COLONEL JOHN)
5  STAY IN LINE Feb17         (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 7% 13.20    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of GRAUSTARKIAN by MIZZEN MAST)
6  WHISKEY OUTLAW         (howey quinn)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
7  BAJAN BASHERT Feb03 Jan07 Dec02     (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MAXIMUM EDGE by DIALED IN)
8  IDESSIA Feb03         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 12.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SILVER SWALLOW by ALPHABET SOUP)
9  CLASSY CANDY Feb19         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of SOPHISTICATED SIS by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
10  BETSY IS THE CODE Feb19         (alva)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of CALL BETSY by FLAT OUT)
SCR  CEE MINUS Feb17 Jan27 Dec29 Dec03 Sep26 (saavedra anthon)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by COASTLINE out of IN THIS LIFE by GHOSTZAPPER)
12  ANNIE'S HOPE         (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of CHELCEE'S HOPE by BARTOK (IRE))
13  ISABEL LUDLOW Feb19         (miyadi steven)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by GRAZEN out of YOUR CHEATIN HEART by KNIGHTS CHOICE)
SCR  ASHLEYS SANDCASTLE Mar03 Feb03       (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SANDI'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
SA-10   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DIABLO ROJO Jan21 Dec18 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
2  CREATIVE PEAK Dec31 Nov27 Nov05 Sep11 Aug12 (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
3  MY MAN BAGS Jan20 Dec09 Nov18 Sep18 Sep03 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00 36% 1.70    
4  ROOKIE MISTAKE Jun11 May13 Feb06 Jan15   (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00    
5  HOLIDAY AROUSAL Jan07 Dec04 Nov05 Aug27 Aug04 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 4.00 ★    
6  SCARY FAST SMILE May15 Apr17 Mar12 Feb19 Jan15 (dealba cesar)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00 33% 2.00    
7  MOB BOSS Feb18 Jan22       (bonde jeff)SMITH E 124 8.00    
8  HANDSOME GARY Mar05 Feb11 Jan08 Dec04 Nov20 (campuzano lorenzo)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 ★    
 
SA-11   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Feb20 Jan16 Oct02 Sep11 Aug13 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
2  ONCOMING Feb20 Jan21 Jan08 Dec31 Dec04 (saldana ree)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
3  BARSABAS Jan21 Oct07 Sep03 Jul22 May20 (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 5.00    
4  TEMBO Apr02 Feb20 Jan17     (miyadi steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00    
5  FLINT STROLL Feb20 Jan27 Jan08 Nov11 Oct16 (papaprodromou )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 ★    
6  ONE FAST BRO Jan21 Nov27 Oct08 Sep09 Jul30 (howey quinn)DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00 8% 11.30    
7  KIMMER Mar04 Feb11 Jan02 Dec11 Nov05 (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00 9% 9.70    
8  CIRCLEOFCHAMPIONS Jan27 Nov27 Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 4.00    
9  CLUB ASPEN Mar03 Feb03 Nov05 Oct09   (lewis craig)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 5.00 13% 6.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.