Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - February 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/2/4)-(6/1/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/1)-(6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/4/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/4/2/3)-(6/1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(6/4/1)-(1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/3/2)-(6/4/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(1/3/5)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/2/4)-(1/3/5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(3/4/2)-(7/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-5   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5/1)-(3/4/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(7/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(7/5/3)-(2/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2/8)-(7/5/3/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(2/3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(2/3/5/4)-(11/3/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/1)-(2/3/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(11/3/4/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(11/3/4/2)-(3/1/6/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SA-8   WIN (11/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/4/2)-(11/3/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/3/4/2)-(11/3/4/5/2)-(11/3/4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/3/4/2)-(3/1/6/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/1/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/2/8)-(3/1/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/2/8)-(3/1/6/2/8)-(3/1/6/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARLY UNHINGED         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
CLIQUISH         (d'amato philip)SMITH E 122 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
CURL GIRL Aug21         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
  (by CURLIN out of LASKARINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BEST YEAR EVER         (barocio libr)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STRIKE RIGHT NOW by TIZNOW)
CON SEAL AND KERRY         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAHOGANY LANE by A.P. INDY)
CONQUISTAR         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 36% 1.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY MISS CHIFF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
SA-2   02/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILA'S PAPA Jan07         (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
PLEASE FOCUS Dec18 Nov18 Oct22 Sep23 Aug14 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.50    
HACKING IT UP Nov27 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 Jun19 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 6.00    
THIRSTY PAPPY Jan08 Dec16 Sep23 Aug20 Jul23 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50    
SCR  KRIXUS FLASH Dec16 Nov25 Sep16 Sep01 Jul24 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
TOM AND JAZZY Dec18 Oct22 Sep23 Sep04   (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 1.80 68% 0.50    
 
SA-3   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICENTE'S SHADOW Sep23 Jul29 Jul02 Jun19 Apr25 (stevens sat)HERRERA A 122 10.00 10% 8.80    
PEPPERMAN Jan06 Dec16 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 (dea)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50    
OUTRIGHT Jan06 Dec18 Nov05 Oct10 Sep18 (pineda milt)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 3.00    
LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Jan06 Dec11 Nov24 Oct10 Sep18 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
DERBY STORM Jan13 Dec10 Jul08 Jul01   (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 20.00    
CLAIM OF PASSION Jan06 Oct30 Sep11 Aug26 Jul08 (miyadi steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
SA-4   02/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOYAL TO A FAULT Jan07 Dec11 Nov20 Oct23 Aug28 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of CAUSE WE ARE LOYAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SMOOVE AS SILK Jan02 Nov20 Oct23 Sep16 Aug26 (freema)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
PALACSINTA         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WHOOPI by GHOSTZAPPER)
SMILING AMY Dec02 Nov05 Oct10 Sep22   (winick debbi)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FLAMIN AMY by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
SMOKEMONTHECLIFF         (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00 16% 5.30    
  (by SMOKEM out of GUISE CLIFF by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  KIND OF BLUE Jan27 Jan07 Nov24     (freeman edwar)CURATOLO RYAN 122 20.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
TIMELY LUCK Jan07         (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of THIRD TIME LUCKY by GILDED TIME)
 
SA-5   02/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLYS GIRL Dec10 Nov13 Oct30 Oct16 Aug20 (garcia victor)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
LIV AND LET LIV         (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00 12% 7.40    
VIOLENT RUNNER Dec31 Nov27 Sep22 Jun17 May14 (sadler j)ELLINGWOOD A 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
MISS FIA Jan06 Oct21 Mar13 Jan28   (saavedra anth)PYFER JESSICA 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
ARDIS Jan06 Dec10 Nov26 Oct07 Aug25 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 120 5.00    
DEL MAR DRAMA Jan06 Nov27 Aug27 Aug04 Jun19 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50    
 
SA-6   02/05/2023 6600ft TURF RC12 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVAN HARLAN Jan02 Dec03 Oct15 Jul13 May21 (motion graham)MALDONADO E 120 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of FIVE EACH WAY by BULLET TRAIN (GB))
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Dec26 Nov26 Oct01 Sep03 Jul31 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of OUTSTANDING by GALILEO)
OPRY Jan08 Nov24 Oct21 Aug12 Jun02 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 12.00 6% 15.10    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of THAT VOODOO YOUDO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
PRINCE ABAMA (IRE) Dec26 Nov25 Oct29 Oct01 Sep10 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ABAMA LADY by MR. GREELEY)
YES THIS TIME Jan01 Dec04 Jun18 May28   (glatt mark)BRAVO J 124 12.00 32% 2.10    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
CASH EQUITY (FR) Nov25 Oct01 Jul31 May22 Apr16 (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 120 15.00    
  (by TORONADO out of FUNNY CRAZY by CHICHICASTENANGO (FR))
DICEY MO CHARA (GB) Dec26 Nov25 Oct01 Sep03 Jul24 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by ADAAY out of LEONICA by LION CAVERN)
SAY THE WORD Jan30         (d'amato phil)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DANCEFORTHECAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Jan20 Nov25 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FANCY by JUSTIFY)
10  AVENUE Jan08 Nov25 Oct02 Aug05 Jun19 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MAGIC UNION by DIXIE UNION)
 
SA-7   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHT NO CHASER Dec26 Oct29 Sep10 Jul24   (blacker daniel)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MARGARITA FRIDAY by JOHANNESBURG)
HOPKINS Jan15 Dec26 Nov26 Oct23 Sep04 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HOT SPELL by SALT LAKE)
HOWBEIT Nov20 Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 (glatt mark)SMITH E 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
ESCAPE ROUTE Jun12 Apr16 Mar12 Jan30   (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NONCOMMITAL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
RADICAL RIGHT Nov26 Nov06 Oct20 Oct09 Aug19 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EMILY by CONFIDENTIAL TALK)
MCLAREN VALE Jan15 Oct12 Jul02 Jun08 May07 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAGICAL WEEKEND by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
SA-8   02/05/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVESICK BLUES Dec31 Nov27 Oct29 Sep25 Aug28 (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
ADARE Jun19 May30 Apr30 Mar05 Feb05 (drysdale nei)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
AUGUSTA MELODY Jan15 Nov26 Mar27 Feb26 Jan30 (yakteen t)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
VIRAT Dec31 Nov24 Oct22 Sep05 Jul24 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
DOITFORANDREW (GB) Dec31 Apr16 Mar18 Feb19   (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
LAW ABIDING Dec31 Nov11 Oct22 Sep05 Jul30 (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00    
DEGREE OF RISK Jan02 Nov11 Oct29 Aug13 Jul23 (harty eoin)VAN DRAYDEN 122 10.00    
LOST IN SPACE (IRE)         (callaghan simon)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
SQUARE CAT Dec31 Dec04 Nov06 Oct10 Sep11 (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 20.00    
10  TULSA TORNADO Nov26 Nov05       (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
11  GREGORY'S PRIDE Nov05 Sep10 Aug18 Jul22 Feb05 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  KRAHENBUHL Dec11 Nov18 Oct23 Sep25   (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
 
SA-9   02/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) Jan08 Dec04 Nov06 Jan30   (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
FLASHIEST Dec26 Dec04 Nov05 Aug21 Jul24 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 9% 10.60    
EXAULTED Jan02 Nov06 Oct09 Sep03 Jul22 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
CARMELITA'S MAN Jan07 Oct29 Sep02 Aug06 May28 (ped)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
MECKLENBURG (IRE) Jan08 Dec04 Oct23     (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
RED ROAD Jun04 May06 Feb19     (mulhall kris)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 20.00    
KANDEREL Jan13 Nov05 Oct01 Aug05 May29 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCRIPT Jan08 Dec03 Nov11 Oct12 Feb10 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
10  LUVLUV Jan07 Nov13 Oct23 Sep17 Aug06 (kitchingman ad)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
11  MAN FRIDAY Dec27         (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 20.00    
12  RIP CITY Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 Oct08 Aug21 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
SCR  COUNT OF AMAZONIA (IRE) Jan08 Dec04 Nov05 Sep14 Aug13 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.