Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/7/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/7/1/3)-(2/6/7/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(7/4/8/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SUN-2   WIN (7/4/8/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/5/3)-(7/4/8/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/5/3)-(7/4/8/5/3)-(7/4/8/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/4/8/5/3)-(6/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/5/3)-(6/8)-(6/2/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SUN-3   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8/7/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/7/5/3)-(6/8/7/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(6/2/5)-(2/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/4/8)-(6/2/5/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-5   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-6   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/4/3)-(2/8/5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-7   WIN (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5/1)-(4/3/8/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/5)-(8/6)-(3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SUN-8   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/1/5)-(8/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (8/6)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-9   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/4/2)-(3/5/8/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASH CRUZER Dec01 Nov13 Oct02 Sep27 Sep13 (morales danny)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 6% 16.30    
2  CLOWN OIL Dec12 Nov13 Nov01 Oct01 Sep21 (smith a)MEDELLIN A 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
3  SILVER BANDIT Dec01 Mar13       (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00 ★    
4  CANDY RASCAL Dec06 Nov07 Oct11     (loma p)VALDEZ S 124 8.00    
5  FEISTY TOWN Dec12 Dec01 Oct24 Oct17 Sep28 (gonzalez jos)SALAZAR TERESA 119 10.00    
6  BAJA BOOGIE         (smith pa)BENN J 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
7  BOOM BOOM DADDY Dec12 Nov14 Oct24     (lambert case)FUENTES A 121 5.00 ★    
8  WEST TEXAS COWBOY Dec12 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11   (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
 
SUN-2   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEEBEESBIGBOY Dec19 Dec01 Nov14 May22 Apr02 (soto r)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
  (by MUSAITER out of VALUE THIS GIRL by SON OF THE WEST)
2  SHAME ON ROOSTER Apr02         (woolley l)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of KATIE MURPHY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  ARLOW         (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 8.00 6% 14.80    
  (by DELHOMME out of LULLABYTIME by UNBRIDLED TIME)
4  GRIFTER Dec13 Nov14 Oct11 Sep21 Sep02 (rust terri)JUAREZ J 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of FRECKLES GALORE by AWESOME GAMBLER)
5  M T S RUNNER Oct11 Sep21 Sep02 Aug10 May29 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 118 3.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MARKING out of M. MONROE by VINDICATION)
6  NOGAL CANYON Jan10 Dec13 Nov14 Nov01 Aug10 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 121 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of AMBERS PRIDE by DESERT GOD)
7  RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Dec06 Nov14 Oct11 Sep24   (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of LAST DANZ by DANZATORE)
8  WHOLELOTTA DOM         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00 10% 8.70    
  (by DOMINIQUE'S CAT out of CHARM A ROBBER by ROBANNIER)
 
SUN-3   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANDORA WHO Dec20 Nov14       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 10.00    
2  CANDY TRACK Jul17         (buechle)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
3  WINNING ATTITUDE Nov22 Nov06       (morales danny)LOPEZ E 121 10.00 ★    
4  BEVERLY WHO Dec01 Oct17 Sep25     (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 121 12.00    
5  ROCKETT'S RED CITY Dec06 Dec01 Nov14 Nov06 Oct05 (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 116 4.00 ★    
6  IMAMONEYMAKER Dec20 Dec12 Nov14 Oct31   (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 1.60 65% 0.50    
7  ANGEL OF MY EYE Nov06         (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 6.00 ★    
8  MISS TRICKY INDY Dec05 Nov06       (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.00 7% 12.40    
 
SUN-4   01/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. NASTY Aug31 Aug10 Feb18     (vega v)ALDERETE JORGE 119 15.00    
2  HIT BTWEEN THE ICE Sep17 Aug24 Jul31 May20 May08 (lucero ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  SUPER HUNK Dec19 Dec14 Nov21 Sep28 Sep17 (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 124 10.00    
4  BLUEGRASS FAITH Dec12 Dec01 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.00 ★    
5  PATRIOT Dec19 Nov08 Oct18 Sep17 Aug20 (rojero )FUENTES T 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
6  DISCREET TIGER Dec19 Oct18 Sep03 Aug14 May07 (chacon r)MEDELLIN A 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
7  BURN BABY BURN         (perez franci)SALAZAR TERESA 119 20.00    
8  FINGLAS LAD Jan08 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 (rojero c)VALDEZ S 121 8.00 ★    
 
SUN-5   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($43.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEEPS STRIDE Nov13 Mar08 Feb27 Feb01 Jan09 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 10.00    
2  INDY'S SONG Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Sep30 Sep17 (morales danny)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  MCTHANKS Dec19 Dec05 Oct30 Oct16 Sep30 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
4  FLYING WARRIOR Dec06 Oct31 Oct18 Sep16 Aug07 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 10.00    
5  PRAIRIE WARRIOR Sep04 Aug26 Aug06     (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  DOS REALES Jan03 Dec20 Nov30 Sep15 Sep02 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 ★    
7  I'MAGAMBLER Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 Sep30 (green greg)LINDSAY CHAD 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
SUN-6   01/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY MONEY         (gonzalez r)TOHILL S 121 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of CLASSY DOM by DOMINIQUE'S CAT)
2  SAMBAS MARK Dec12 Nov15       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MARKING out of SAMBA QUEEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  TATAS JOE MARK Jan01 Dec12 Nov15 Oct30 Oct17 (villalobos m)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00 ★    
  (by MARKING out of ONE TASTE by TASTE OF PARADISE)
4  M G LOOKINGOOD Dec01 Nov01 Sep25 Sep10 Aug24 (lambert)FUENTES T 121 5.00 ★    
  (by BERNSTER out of LOOKINFORADANGER by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  RYDERS UP Dec20 Dec01 Oct17 Oct04 Aug14 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMFORT out of E BAR PROSPECT by GOLD FEVER)
6  MY SPECIAL MISTAKE         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of DESERT LADY by BIG SKY CHESTER)
7  SNOW MARK Jan01         (lambert t)VALDEZ S 121 12.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of SHEZA SNOWBALL by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
8  MARKED MONEY Jun26 Jun10       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by MARKING out of MONEY ORDER by ATTILA'S STORM)
9  FLAGS FINALE Dec12 Nov15       (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00    
  (by G G FLAG out of CRAFTY FINALE by CRAFTY C. T.)
 
SUN-7   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Jan01 Dec19 Dec01 Oct30 Aug17 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 119 3.50 ★    
2  SPECIAL PRIDE Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug19 Apr03 (marr h)FUENTES A 119 10.00    
3  LINE CALL Dec19 Dec01 Apr23 Mar27 Jan01 (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  BOSSY BABY Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 Sep18 Aug12 (martinez dann)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  SEXY BIKINI MODEL Dec19 Oct30 May27 Mar06 Jan01 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 12.00 5% 17.70    
6  NO REGRETS N LOVE Dec06 Oct30 Oct04 Aug31 Aug05 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
7  FLAXY LADY Dec12 Oct30 Aug27 Aug07 Apr23 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 119 10.00    
8  CAYCEE'S MARK Dec19 Dec01 Oct30 Apr03 Mar01 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 5.00 11% 8.10    
 
SUN-8   01/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($42.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B R KIDD ROCK Dec05 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Sep24 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 124 4.50 ★    
2  ALL YOUR JAZZ         (ibarra sergio)LOPEZ E 124 20.00    
3  DIAMOND MINE Dec13 Oct30 Oct18     (martinez edw)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 20.00    
SCR  REMEMBER SIXTYTWO Dec12 Nov15 Oct10 Sep23 Aug24 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 121 8.00 ★    
5  TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE Dec01 Nov01 Sep15 Aug25 Jun30 (woolley l)TOHILL S 124 4.00 ★    
6  SMOOTH WATERS Nov13 Sep24       (sedillo carlos)PEREZ A 124 5.00 9% 10.60    
7  WEALTH N HEALTH Dec05 Mar27 Mar08 Feb01   (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00    
8  DISCOVERY N SIGHT Dec05 Oct11 Apr02 Feb22 Feb01 (marr h)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
9  DANJERUS STORM Dec12 Oct30 Oct10 Sep10 May20 (marq)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
 
SUN-9   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A WARPATH Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 Aug06 Jul17 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 119 10.00    
2  KISS ME D ORO Dec13 Nov14 Oct04 Sep15 Aug26 (loma humberto)JUAREZ J 119 8.00 ★    
3  WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Nov30 Oct25 Aug20 Aug06 Apr30 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
4  HOLD ME ONLY Nov15 Oct25 Aug28     (cross gary)TOHILL S 119 10.00 ★    
5  GO RED RASCAL Nov22 Oct30 Oct04 Aug07 Jun11 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  BLACK EYED BANDIT Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 12.00    
7  LONZO WHO Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct18 Sep04 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00    
8  MORE FIREWATER Jan10 Dec19 Nov30 Nov15 Oct18 (gonzalez jos)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
9  RISKY REVENGE Jan03 Nov30 Oct16 Jun26 Mar27 (gonzales )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.