Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Tuesday - January 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5/3)-(6/2/1/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/3/1)-(5/2/4/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/4/7/6)-(7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SUN-3   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6/3)-(1/4/7/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/6)-(7/3)-(7/4/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SUN-4   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-5   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5/2)-(7/4/1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/6/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/6/2/7)-(1/3/6/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/2/7/1/4)-(8/3/10/7/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
SUN-8   WIN (6/2/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/1/4)-(6/2/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/1/4)-(6/2/7/1/4)-(6/2/7/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/2/7/1/4)-(8/3/10/7/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SUN-9   WIN (8/3/10/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/7/1)-(8/3/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/7/1)-(8/3/10/7/1)-(8/3/10/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET THERE BE PEACE Nov14 Oct10 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 13% 6.70    
2  SOMETHIN' FANCY Dec14         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
3  BALD IS BEAUTIFUL Dec19 Nov13 Sep17 Sep08   (marquez l)TORRES J 124 8.00 ★    
4  NOGAL CANYON Dec13 Nov14 Nov01 Aug10 Jun18 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 124 4.00    
5  THIRSTY ECHO Dec14 Nov01 Oct17 Apr30 Mar05 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.50 8% 11.20    
6  FACETIOUS Nov20 Oct15 Sep03 Jul09   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
SUN-2   01/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT FAST Dec12 Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Oct01 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 ★    
2  IZA DADDY Nov15 Oct25 Sep15 Jun26 Mar27 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.50 27% 2.80    
3  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Nov14 Oct25 Oct01 Sep15 Aug06 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 3.00 ★    
4  SCOTTY WHO Nov30 Oct31 Aug28 Aug07 May28 (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
5  PASAMONTE MAN Dec13 Nov08 Oct09 Sep22 Aug26 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  GLENDORA MINECAT Dec01 Nov14 Oct25 Oct16 Oct01 (rojero )FUENTES T 123 5.00    
SCR  NOT THAT SERIOUS Dec01 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 Aug20 (morales danny)CHAVEZ R 122 6.00    
 
SUN-3   01/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHVALE ROAD Nov22 Oct09 Sep02 Aug14 Jul16 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
2  BEAR DEN Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Sep03 (hinojo)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00    
3  GOGO OXBOW Dec14 Dec01 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 (rust terri)CHAVEZ R 124 2.50 ★    
4  COYSTER Nov30 Aug28 Aug14 Jul01 Jun10 (lambert case)VILLANUEVA C 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
5  TRIPPLE SHAKE Oct17         (hudson jeff)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00    
6  OKIE FREEZE Dec13 Dec01 Nov08 Oct15 Sep24 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  JERSEY JOE Dec14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep30 Aug31 (green g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
SUN-4   01/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LAST FEAT Oct01 Aug31 Aug05 Apr30 Mar15 (singh johnny)TORRES J 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  PROBATE Dec14 Nov13 Oct31 Sep24 Sep04 (olguin ever)TOHILL S 124 5.00 ★    
3  RIGHT JAB Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 Sep23 Aug31 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  WATFORD Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 Sep23 Aug31 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 ★    
5  PLAYING FIELD Oct31 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 May08 (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 124 8.00    
6  IMPEACHABULL Dec05 Nov07 Oct05 Sep24 Sep04 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 124 10.00    
7  HE'S NO YOKE Dec19 Dec01 Nov07 Sep04   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
SUN-5   01/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEXT AFFAIR Dec01 Nov08 Jun26 Jun12 Mar27 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
2  SKY JUMPER Oct18 Sep24 Sep07 May29 Apr22 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 3.50 ★    
3  PIRATE JUNCTION Dec13 Dec01 Nov07 Oct12 Aug28 (fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 120 10.00    
4  BARBIERE Dec01 Nov14 Oct25 Oct10 Jun17 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
5  RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Dec01 Nov07 Sep24 Sep05 Aug26 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 7% 12.80    
6  DESCENT Dec14         (marr h)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
7  SLY Nov22 Oct31 Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
SUN-6   01/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIO Nov15 Oct16 Sep02 Jun24 Apr03 (lambert case)VILLANUEVA C 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  HIT A NOTE Dec20 Dec05 Nov30 Nov06 Oct10 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 ★    
3  FULL OF DRIVE Nov15 Oct16 Aug28 Aug19 Jun24 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 8.00 30% 2.40    
4  SKEETER WHO Aug31 Jul30 May29 May01 Mar27 (chavez art)MARTINEZ S 123 15.00    
5  INFINITE CROWN Dec12 Dec06 Nov08 Oct16 Mar13 (danley i)JUAREZ J 123 4.50    
6  SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Dec06 Oct09 Sep16 Sep03 Aug05 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.60 ★    
7  YANO'S WAY Dec06 Oct09 Sep16 May21 Mar08 (baldwin lynette)VALDEZ S 123 12.00 ★    
 
SUN-7   01/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRIS WHO Nov15 Oct25 Sep16 Aug19 May13 (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  HESA PROSPECTOR Nov15 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 Jun24 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  MORE FIREWATER Dec19 Nov30 Nov15 Oct18 Sep10 (gonzalez jos)CENTENO ALEXIS 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  SANTIAGO'S TOWER Dec19 Nov15 Oct17 Sep28 Aug10 (vega ra)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.00    
5  HENRY ON THE RUN Nov30 Nov15 Oct16 Aug05 Jun24 (gonzalez andres)TOHILL S 123 10.00 ★    
6  OFFENSIVE Dec19 Oct23 Oct10 Sep03 Aug14 (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
SCR  BESITOS CRIMINALES Dec13 Dec01 Nov08 Oct17 Sep14 (martinez frank)LINDSAY CHAD 123 10.00 ★    
 
SUN-8   01/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMEROLOGIST Nov07 Sep23 Sep04 Jun25 May14 (buechler j)TOHILL S 123 15.00 8% 11.30    
2  KEEN CAT Nov22 Aug28 Jul30 Jun24 May21 (green greg)PEREZ A 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  AQUIMINE Dec14 Nov18 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 (roberts doya)CEBALLOS F 123 10.00    
4  SECRETARY AT WAR Dec10 Nov21 Oct20 Sep23 Sep07 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 7% 14.30    
5  TEQUILA TIME Nov08 Oct18 Sep16 Aug26 May08 (rojero )FUENTES T 123 10.00    
6  DIRT ROAD RED Nov22 Nov07 Oct23 Oct01 Aug27 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  BIG EVENT Oct31 Oct10 Sep16 Aug24 Apr30 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00 11% 8.20    
8  WILMAS IRISH ROVER Nov22 Oct18 Sep23 Aug27 Aug05 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 123 4.50    
9  BURNZ DA BOSS Sep23 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 May22 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
 
SUN-9   01/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR FUN Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 Oct08   (green greg)PEREZ A 124 6.00 7% 14.00    
2  CYNICAL GIRL Dec05 Nov30 Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00    
3  SUERTUDA Dec06 Oct04 Aug05 May07 Feb25 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
4  BINGOS SYSTEM Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct18 Sep23 (fria)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 10.00    
5  OLIVE COUNTY Dec06 Sep04 Jun12 Mar15 Jan18 (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 119 12.00    
6  DADDY HEAT Apr29 Mar15 Jan18     (martinez edwi)LOPEZ E 124 15.00    
7  CAUGHT STEALING Jun25 Jun17 Jun05 May21 May07 (sedillo e)CHAVEZ R 124 10.00 9% 10.00    
8  SHE HIT A HOMER Dec01 Nov07 Oct19 Sep15 Jul24 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
9  CURL Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Aug27 (martinez frank)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
10  ELI DANCER Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct09 Sep03 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 11% 8.40    
11  DANIEL'S GIRL Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 Oct24 Oct09 (gonzalez sal)JUAREZ J 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.