Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSONAL MEADOW Sep16 Aug28 Jul16 Jun25 May29 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  JOHNNY SWISH Sep08 Aug19 Aug13 Jul16 Jun29 (serey j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  DINNER BELL Sep16 Aug04 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 10.00 ★    
4  THEHEATOFTHENIGHT Oct05 Sep14 Aug27 Jul21 May06 (heath george)MAYHEW W 122 12.00    
5  ABOUT TO RAGE Sep16 Aug20 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00 ★    
6  PETE THE BEAST Sep09 Apr28 Apr01 Mar10 Jan14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 33% 2.00    
 
CT-2   10/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH BELLUM Sep10 Aug18 May25 May11 Apr23 (geris samue)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 20.00    
2  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Sep17 Jul15 Jun24 May07 Apr16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 (rideout anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
4  MOUNTAIN LILLY Aug29 Aug06 Jul10 Jun13 May23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 ★    
5  SPUNKY ALI CAT Aug18 Jul02 Jun02 May12 Apr01 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 12% 7.20    
6  SOME IS NINE Sep17 Sep02 Aug18 Aug07 Jul16 (serey j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
7  LOOKIN BACK Sep28 Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (butts m)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   10/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEDS OF TIME Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jul08 (grullon rique)PANAIJO JORGE 119 10.00 11% 7.80    
2  SURE WOULD FOREST Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul07 May26 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG RINNE Oct08 Sep29 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00    
SCR  LION CHARMER Aug14 Jul16 Jun12 May21 May07 (grullon riquelvi)ACOSTA D 122 2.00 15% 5.80    
5  TOP HAT TREASON Sep29 Sep07 Jul21 Jun22 Jun02 (dillon jacob)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00    
6  BOATSWAIN Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul08 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
7  JAMMIN STILL Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 (caison l)ADAMS L 112 15.00    
8  CANTAKEITANYMORE Sep29 Sep08 May11 Mar19 Feb11 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 ★    
9  MYSTERY BANK Oct08 Aug05 Jul26 Apr30 Apr02 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00    
 
CT-4   10/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERCI ROAD Oct01 Aug22 Jun19 May06 Apr13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  SHUTUPN'KISSME Sep28 Jul02 Jun10 May26 May05 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00 35% 1.90    
3  TRAVEL GIRL Sep28 Sep01 Aug12 Jun24 May25 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 ★    
4  GOT YOUR NUMBER Sep28 Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 (houghton d)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
5  THELADYISTRUE Sep22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul23 Jun11 (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 124 2.00 ★    
6  CAN I GET AN AMEN Jul28         (hayes kirsten)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   10/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B. J. MOOSE Jul23 Jun16 May25 Apr27 Apr06 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 121 30.00    
2  GET OFF MY CLOUD Sep29 Jun25 May15 Apr01   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.20 ★    
3  LOGSTRADAMUS Jun17 Jun02 May11     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 121 20.00 ★    
4  MONKEY WRENCH Sep29 Aug13 Jul23 Jun30   (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 121 30.00    
5  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Sep29 Sep08 Aug19     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 72% 0.40    
6  EVANESCO Sep29 Aug19 Aug13 Jul23 Jun30 (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 114 12.00 ★    
7  WEST VIRGINIA BOY Sep29 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00 ★    
8  IN THE LIMELIGHT Jul29 Jun17 May25 May04   (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
 
CT-6   10/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOZYMILKSHAKEBAR Sep08 Aug20 Aug08 Jul09 Jun24 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 ★    
2  IN THE GOSPEL Sep02 Aug02 Jul01 May26 Apr02 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
3  DOC ELM Oct05 Sep08 Jun18 May18 Mar25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 11% 7.70    
4  VIDMER'S COURAGE Oct05 Sep08 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50    
5  FOREVER THE BOSS Oct01 Sep14 Aug06 Jul21 Jun30 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  FIT BUT FAT Sep02 Aug11 Jun25 Jun10 May25 (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
7  HENRY STANDINGBEAR Sep02 Aug06 Jul01 Jun09 May07 (roman-salon nelsi)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
8  KURT'S A KEEPER Sep18 Aug26       (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   10/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S HOUSE Sep22 Sep09 Jul30 Jun04 Apr27 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
2  SNOWY JUBA CAT Sep21 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  WITNESS THE ENERGY Sep29 Aug23 Aug12 Jun23 Jun04 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 15.00 ★    
4  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Jul28 Jul01 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 5.00 ★    
5  COUSIN WINNIE Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 ★    
6  LUCYLOU WHO May21 Apr27 Apr01 Mar17 Feb11 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
 
CT-8   10/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILMARY CASTLE Sep28 Sep07       (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
2  OUR ITSY BITSY         (tobin l)CECIL Y 121 15.00 8% 11.30    
3  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 May18 Apr16 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 124 10.00    
4  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 Jul30 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 6.00 12% 7.40    
5  KEY TO THE CASTLE Sep28 Sep07 Aug25 May27   (espinosa vict)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00    
6  SILVER RULES Sep10 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 121 2.00 ★    
7  MICHEAUX Sep28 Aug03 Feb04 Jan28   (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 121 2.50 21% 3.90    
8  VALUED ENERGY May12 Apr21 Mar31     (lucas anthon)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.