Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   09/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG FASHION Aug27 Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 117 5.00    
PROSPERA Aug27 Aug19 Jun19 May29   (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 1.60 54% 0.90    
SCR  EMERALD SEA Aug14 Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 May29 (meeking a)ZUNINO L 123 4.50    
CLASSIC LEAH Aug14 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Jun10 (gibson vince)MAWING A 123 2.00 14% 6.20    
KISS RIDE GOODBYE Aug27 Aug12 Aug10 Jul30 Jul22 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 120 6.00    
 
EMD-2   09/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMMER'S KNIGHT Aug13 Jun10       (rosales jor)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 5.00    
POCKET KNIFE         (simkins ros)DOLL-CARRIERE C 117 12.00 8% 11.70    
RAAJIN RIBBON Aug21 Aug14       (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 120 2.50    
MUSIC RUSH         (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 3.50    
LITTLE HENRY         (cryderman candic)MAWING A 120 6.00 8% 11.70    
SAXON SAGA         (wr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
EMD-3   09/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD LION Aug21 Aug13 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (belvoir howard)MAWING A 124 3.00    
STANLEY RYDER Aug26 Aug14 Jul24 Jul15 Jul01 (raudales jose)GUTIERREZ M 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
TRIBAL IMPACT Aug26 Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 Jul03 (garcia jesus)RADKE K 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
UNION BLISS Aug26 Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 Jun17 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 1.60    
BENNY THE JET Aug26 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19   (pirone e)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
TESLA Aug21 Jul24       (gibson vinc)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 12.00 12% 7.20    
 
EMD-4   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG GALUTE Aug26         (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
PREDICATION Aug20         (lucarelli fran)SAMUELS JAKE 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
KNOTTYWATERS Sep02         (thompson mi)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 124 12.00    
FANTASTIC DREAM Aug28 Aug14 Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 (puentes j)JENSEN P 121 8.00    
LIE AND DENY Aug12 May19 Apr08 Mar16 Feb24 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
TAP THE BANK Aug28 Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (navarro jose)MAWING A 124 5.00    
ASSURANCE Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Apr25 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
ATTORNEY LOUIS Aug14 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May29 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-5   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZ A GRINDER Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 Jun03 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 5.00    
SCR  INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI Aug06 May07 Apr27 Mar31 Mar22 (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
GOLD ROSE Sep03 Feb28 Jan25 Jan12   (pirone e)ZUNINO L 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
MAGGIE FITZGERALD Aug20 Jul30 Jul17 May27 May13 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
SASSY EDIE Sep03 Aug21 Aug10 Jul09 Jun24 (ortega joe)OROZCO E 123 8.00    
JUSTA POPPIN Aug21 Jul29 Jul10 Jun04 Mar26 (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 123 2.50    
 
EMD-6   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR DEPUTY Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (gibson vince)MAWING A 124 4.50    
IRON ROB Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 Jun12 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
ZATTER Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
BRONY BOY Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 Jul03 Jun11 (soranno jill)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
WARFRONT FIGHTER Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 Jun04 Apr27 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
FREESTONE Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 Jun12 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 8.00    
 
EMD-7   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARZAN Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 (baze robert)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00    
IRISH KNIGHT Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 May29 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 1.80    
LIVE A GOOD LIFE Jun19 Jun05       (nunnally jenni)SAMUELS JAKE 121 12.00 12% 7.20    
BLESSED BROTHER Aug20 Jul31 Apr23 Apr01 Mar13 (ramnarine larry)CRUZ M 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
WESTERN RULE Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (belvoir howard)RADKE K 124 5.00    
TENACIOUS LION Aug28 Jul04 Jun23 May19 Apr01 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
EMD-8   09/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUSALUT Aug28 Aug07 Jul15 Jun28 Jun20 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Aug28 Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 Jun17 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
EL MAESTRO Jul30 Jul03 Jun12 May22   (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 118 5.00    
STONUS MAXIMUS Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun17 (person a)ZUNINO L 121 10.00    
MASTER RECOVERY Aug28 Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 (raudales jose)RADKE K 121 3.00    
BIG ENDEAVOR Aug28 Aug12 Jul24     (person a)MAWING A 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
EMD-9   09/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY ZUKO Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 121 10.00    
EARS TO US Aug19 Jul24 Jun25     (puhich mike)RADKE K 121 8.00    
SCR  BOOK SMART Aug19 Jul17 Jun25     (cooper kay)MAWING A 121 2.50 54% 0.80    
NAPOLETANO Sep03 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17   (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 121 4.00    
TIG Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 Jun12   (simkins rosie)GUTIERREZ M 121 6.00 8% 12.00    
EXECUTIVE ACTION Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 May29 Apr04 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 118 5.00 8% 11.90    
CRYSTAL BANDIT Jul17 Jun12 Apr12 Mar30 Feb22 (ortega joe)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
 
EMD-10   09/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPOINTED STAR Aug20 Jul24 Jul08 May28   (gibson vince)MAWING A 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
ASHLEY BEAUTIFUL Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 (puentes jose)ZUNINO L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHINOOK QUICK Aug26 May15       (crowe shelly)RADKE K 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
WAHASHA Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 123 8.00    
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Aug20 Jul17 Jul02 May28 Apr27 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 123 10.00    
LIFE'S EMOTIONS Sep03 Aug20 Jul24 Jun11 May22 (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 123 5.00 12% 7.60    
VIOLENT MOVE Aug26 Jul30 Jul01 May22   (markle dan)ANAYA V 117 3.50    
SADIE'S SNOWSTORM Aug20 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16   (gibson vinc)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.