Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOANA'S TALE Aug09 Jul28 Jul18 Jun30 Jun21 (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 4.50 7% 13.30    
ROLLING MO Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 Jun16 May31 (russell rand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
THISAINTJUMPSTREET Aug09 Jul26 Jul20 Jun28 Jun20 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
LACEE Aug17 Aug03 Jul26 Jul18 Jun28 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 8.00    
SAMURAI SONG Aug02 Jul25 Jul07 Jun21 Jun01 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80    
MIDNIGHT LEAP Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 Jul03 Jun19 (blackhurst randy)CCAMAQUE M 122 15.00    
 
PID-2   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE FOR ALL Aug08 Jul13 Jun22     (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00    
MR GHOST Aug15 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 (sells rachel)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
RUSTY DE Aug01 Jun28 Jun14 May25   (falk jacqueline)FRATES D 124 2.50    
GOVERNOR ATWOOD Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun15 (russell randal)ALLEN D 119 3.00    
OLE G MAN Aug18 Aug01 Jul18 Jul06 Jun27 (boyer j)BECKMAN ALICE 117 6.00 18% 4.70    
MID ATLANTIC Aug09 Jul16 Jun17     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
PID-3   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUIRREL Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 May23   (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS Aug20 Jul30 Jul14 Jul09 Jun17 (smith la)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
INCITATUS Aug17 Jul21 Jul12 May28 May13 (figueroa nelson)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80    
HOUSE LIGHTS Aug22 Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 Jun22 (schaber debb)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
SCIENCE TO WIN Jul21 Jul11 Jun19     (kocijan bori)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 14% 6.10    
NO DRAMA Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 Jun01 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PID-4   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEVIS MAN Aug16 Jul13 Jul04 Jun16 Jun02 (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Jun27 Jun16 Jun02 May23   (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
HEATHER'S GOLD Aug10 Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00    
WAPITI WAY Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun16 May30 (cheeks p)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
GREAT BLAKE Jul13 Jun21 Jun09     (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 2.00 18% 4.70    
DETANGLER Aug02 Jul21 Jul05 Jun27 Jun09 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
 
PID-5   08/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVISIAN SPIRIT Aug03 Jul07       (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
BOURBON BLAST Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 Jun09 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 122 10.00    
ANNIE UP BUCK Aug03 Jul19 Jul07 Jun21 Jun02 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
SONG OF INDY Jul19 Jul04 Jun13     (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
SWEET MOOCHIE Aug16 Aug03 Jul19 Jul07 Jun16 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
MIDNIGHT PIRATE Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May18 (wismer glenn )WHISMAN AVERY 122 5.00    
TREASURE THE STORM Jul19 Jul04 Jun22 Jun06 May18 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC TWIST Aug10 Jul18 Jun23 Jun09   (gorham robert )ALLEN D 120 5.00 7% 12.80    
NEW WAYS TO DREAM Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May16 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50    
SCR  CHEROKEE CHATTER Aug16 Aug03 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
PRETTY RACHEL Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May26 Mar31 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
LINGUISTIC Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 May30   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
WILD IRISH Aug08 Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 May06 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00    
PERFECT HIDEAWAY Jul08 May26 May05 Apr07   (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
TRIPLE R RATED Jul18 Jun28 May30 May16   (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 12.00    
 
PID-7   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBOLDEN Aug09 Jul11 Jun11 May15 Apr01 (trombetta michael )SPIETH S 122 4.50    
BIG MONEY MIKE         (heinen m)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  THE PROGRAMMER Jan15         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 12.00    
ENJOY THE MUSIC Aug01 Jul21 Jul04 Jun13 May25 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
SMOKY BLUES Jul05 Jun09 May17 Apr14   (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
RESIST THE DEVIL Aug13 Jul26       (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 20.00    
TWIRLING MAMBA Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 May24   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
SCR  SAINT GOAR Jul21 Apr18 Mar24 Mar08 Feb23 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 10.00    
ZOOMBIE Jul28 Jul20 Jun15 May23 Mar19 (walsh ry)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
 
PID-8   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATHANIEL'S HOPE Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun08 May30 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 6.00    
WHONEW'S TREASURE Aug09 Jul18 Feb25     (skawinski car)WALKER M 124 10.00    
TEMPLE OWL LIAM Aug09 Jul26 Jul13 Jun18 Jun01 (rojas eduard)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 3.50    
HUNTIN' THE RUT Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 Jun27   (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 124 3.00 7% 12.80    
TIDDLY WINK Jul18 Jul08 Jun21 Jun07   (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00    
OLD FORTY FIVE Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Jun06 (rice ada)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
AVENGEMENT Aug08 Jul13 Jun22     (connelly tere)DELGADO DAVID 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.