Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D TWO Jul18 Jun28 May30 May10   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
2  THE GRAY BLUR Jul23 Jul09 Jun28 Jun04 May23 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 117 15.00    
3  TWO DOT Jul23 Jun18 May30 May09 Mar13 (duhon o)BOREL H 122 3.50 ★    
4  CREATIVE LETTERS Jul18 Jun28 May30 May09 Apr01 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.60 9% 9.80    
5  DREAM HALO Aug02 Jul09 Jun28 Jun04 May10 (clark casey)FLORES S 122 10.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  POWERSHOT Aug02 Jun13 May30 Feb19 Feb03 (gomez c)COTTO L 122 6.00 ★    
 
LAD-2   08/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAPAWS BOY Aug02 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun19 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 73% 0.40    
SCR  RY DONT LIE Jul31 Jul11 Jul02 Jun06 May24 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 1.80    
2  STEELS ALL IN Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 May18 Apr26 (ashford ray)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 ★    
3  TOUCH OF GOLD Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 Jun11   (melancon do)FLORES S 121 20.00 ★    
4  ROOSTER RUN Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 May09 Mar25 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 120 6.00 ★    
5  FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN Aug02 Jul12 Jun11 May24 May08 (balderas alfon)BACA L 124 3.00 ★    
6  OKUDAH Aug02 Jul05 Jun07 Mar13 Feb04 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 124 6.00    
7  IMMORTAL (IRE) Jul12 May24 May08 Mar18 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00    
 
LAD-3   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHLEY'S GIRL Jul26 Jun11 May21 Mar25   (turner patti)BACA L 124 2.50 8% 11.20    
2  GOLD CHAIN         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 ★    
3  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF Jul16         (broberg karl)VARGAS P 124 1.20 67% 0.50    
4  WANNAMAKEABET         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 ★    
5  CAJUN ACES Jul19 Jun14 May16 May08 Mar25 (wilson melt)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 ★    
6  B B GUN BULLSEYE Jul16 Jan09       (duhon josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
 
LAD-4   08/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEDINGTON Aug02 Jun19 Jun07 May16 Feb19 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00 16% 5.10    
2  PHARME'S PHAITH Jul24 Jul09 May29 May08 Apr09 (j)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 ★    
3  WINGS FOR ENO Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 May29 Apr28 (johnston )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
4  THUNDER ROAD Jul26 Jun20 Jun02 May09 Mar25 (dodson clif)FLORES S 118 2.00 ★    
5  OREGON COUNTY Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 Jun14 Feb11 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
6  CROOKS REBEL         (jarvis r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
SCR  TEXAS TRILOGY Aug01 Jul21 Jun19 Jun05 May29 (coats t)COTTO L 124 20.00    
8  C. F. CONGRESS Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 May29 May15 (coats t)LOZADA CARLOS 115 15.00    
 
LAD-5   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BOY SAM Jul31 Jul18 Jul02 Jun07 May23 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 8.00 ★    
2  SPEEDY G Jul24 Jul04 Jun04 May17 Apr20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.00    
3  LUCKY BREAK Jul16 Jun19 Apr22 Mar10 Feb16 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
4  BODEE BODEE Jul18 Jun12 May24 May14 Mar23 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  JAMBI Aug02 Jul21 Jun24 May10 Apr19 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  SKY WATCH Jul24 Jul02 May20 May01 Apr07 (uballe adam)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
7  TOP HAT CAT Jul21 Jun24 Jun16 May29 May14 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   08/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUDSON'S TURN Jul26 Jul02 Jun07 May15 Mar06 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  MR. TIN MAN Jul26 Jul05 Jun18 May22   (romero gera)FLORES S 122 12.00    
SCR  SY MICHAEL Aug03 Jun03 May11 Apr28 Apr14 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50    
4  ITS WILD AGAIN Mar26 Mar03 Jan20     (faucheux ron)BOREL H 118 8.00 ★    
5  INTO WISHING Jul05 Jun18 May31 May08 Mar05 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  CANDY SHOPPER Jul09 May26 Mar10 Feb25   (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  DUDE DROP KID Jul26 Jul05 Jun11 May21 May03 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
8  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Jul02 May24 May14 Feb25 Feb11 (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
9  WESTERN STAR Jul10 Apr28 Apr09 Mar05 Feb18 (g)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
10  CPRIORITY Jun07 Jan15       (thomas lee)COTTO L 122 6.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO Jun18 May31 May08 Apr13 Mar19 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 15.00 ★    
 
LAD-7   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOMANONTHEWARPATH Jul17         (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
2  KHOZY TAP Jul09 Jun25       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  VOODOO MISTRESS Jul09 Jun19       (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 12.00    
4  RECLAIMED         (f)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
5  SWEET RED ROSE         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
6  UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  TWISTED BRADE Jul21 Jun19 Jun05     (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  THROUGH THE CRACKS Jul23         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 ★    
9  CORONA DEL MAR Jul09 Jun25       (broussard jarm)BACA L 119 20.00 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.