Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSTOWN GIRL Jul18 Jun28 Jun05 May12 Feb10 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  STARSHIP MACYS Jul05 May31 Apr24 Mar23 Mar05 (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 117 4.00 ★    
3  MISS MAMBA Jul02 Jun11 Apr09 Mar24 Jan30 (sells rachel)FRET STEVEN 122 2.50 ★    
4  PRECISION PRADO Jun27 Jan11       (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 8.00 ★    
5  ELLE M'A SOURI (FR) Jul05 Jun09 May25 Apr15   (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 122 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
PID-2   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTALIA Jul11 Jun23 Jun08 Apr23 Apr06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.00 ★    
2  PRETTY COUNTESS Jul12         (kocijan bori)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 15.00    
3  MACRELLETTA Jul11 Jun13 May28 Apr06 Mar23 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 ★    
4  SHEER ALICE (GB) Jun21 Jun16 Jun06 May25 Jan08 (hobson simon)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00 26% 2.80    
5  JACQUELINE ANNE Jul13 Jul05       (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 10.00    
6  RAW HONEY Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May25 Mar13 (fiesman robert )BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.50 ★    
7  PURCHASE POINT Jul18 May27       (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 3.00 49% 1.10    
8  STAR OF SHANGHAI Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07   (walsh d)WALKER M 124 5.00    
 
PID-3   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Jun28 Jun14       (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 120 4.00 ★    
2  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jul14 Jun14 May31     (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50    
3  SWELTER Jul14         (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  GIANT AWAKENING Jul08         (desormeaux j )MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  ELSA'S ROCKET Jun23 Jun08       (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 117 5.00 ★    
6  HOLD THE WARRIOR Jul19 Jun14       (brooks e)HOLMES GAGE 113 8.00 5% 17.70    
 
PID-4   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES IT'S ERIE Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 May31   (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  MOANA'S TALE Jul18 Jun30 Jun21     (dodge albert)WALKER M 122 4.50 ★    
3  AMAZON LIZZIE Jul14 Jul04 Jun20 May31 May18 (radosevich sh)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  WILD LOOKER Jul14 Jun27 Jun16 May31 May18 (skawinski carol )MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 7% 12.50    
5  CONQUESTHARDCHERRY Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 May31 May18 (wilson b)KNOTT L 122 12.00    
6  DAVE'S TEXAS LADY Jul12 Jun30 Jun16 May31 May17 (radosevich shelly)FOX CHRIS 122 4.00    
7  HOT AUGUST STORM Jul13 Jun05 May19 Feb22 Jan25 (jimenez migue)WHISMAN AVERY 122 10.00 7% 14.20    
 
PID-5   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAGE HAS A GRAY Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 Apr25 Apr07 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 6.00    
2  AULT Jul14 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08   (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  DON'T POKE THE CAT Jul21 Jul17 Jun26 Jun20 Jun12 (gomez alejand)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00 12% 7.00    
4  ST. PADDY'S DADDY Jul14 Jun23 Jun15 Jun08 May25 (girten tim)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00    
5  HONOR COLLECTION Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 May25 Apr22 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 18% 4.70    
6  YADI Jul19 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May23 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 ★    
7  CABERTOSS Jul24 Jul19 Jun30 May27 Feb03 (gomez alejan)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 6.00 ★    
 
PID-6   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Jul06 Jun23 Jun09     (brooks e)HOLMES GAGE 115 5.00 ★    
2  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jul07 Jun13 May25 Mar23   (girten tim)ALLEN D 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
3  ITALIAN TWIN Jul07 Apr03 Feb25     (martin willi)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★    
4  HOLD ME CLOSER Jul11 Jun15 May16 Apr18 Mar28 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  STRAIGHT MADNESS Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 May17   (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 6.00    
6  ONE MORE KELLY Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 May30 May16 (girten tim)SPIETH S 119 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
PID-7   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOSS BEN Jul11 May29 Apr15 Feb27 Feb11 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 ★    
2  GENERAL WINSTON Jun22 May18       (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
3  SPIRITED SOL Jul13 Jun22 Jun01     (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 6.00    
4  GOLD HERITAGE Jun20 May15       (mckeever andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
5  SAN COSTANTINO Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 Feb19   (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 118 10.00 ★    
6  ZOOMBIE Jul20 Jun15 May23 Mar19 Feb23 (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  K C ROCKET Jun21 Jun01 May18 Apr09 Mar17 (martin willi)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
PID-8   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUIRREL Jul07 Jun16 May23     (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  BAD PAY Jul20 Jun21 Mar11 Feb06   (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 12.00    
SCR  LEBASI Jul14 Jul07       (hogue l)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
4  SILVER TOKEN Jul14 Jun30 Jun20 Jun07 May17 (markgraf davi)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
5  MUTASHABEH Jun26 Jun19 Jun02 May22 May07 (sipp k)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DORISTO Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 May30 Feb01 (pappada michael)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
7  JACKSON STRONG Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 May18 Apr22 (figuero)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 ★    
8  TITHED Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Apr03 Mar26 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.