Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - July 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL HAIL MO         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 11% 8.00    
2  MATTY BO         (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 ★    
3  OUR GAILYNN B         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 5.00    
4  FREYDIS Jul13         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00    
5  OUTSPEND         (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 11% 8.00    
6  ROSE OF SHANAKILL         (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ORGANIZED CHAOS         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  QUEEN WIGGY         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 118 8.00    
 
PEN-2   07/27/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEKYLL ISLAND Jul15 Jun30 Jun17     (stowers miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 30.00    
2  SIR STEELE         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
3  TUFF CONSTITUTION         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 ★    
4  T C GREELEY Apr22         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 122 4.00    
5  NOTORIOUS REY Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 May19 Apr22 (o'hearn heath)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 ★    
6  SWILL MERCHANT Jun01 May20 Apr16     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  NANTASKET BEACH Feb12 Jan01       (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
8  MORNING MARCH Jul08 Jun24       (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-3   07/27/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WOW FACTOR Jul13 Jun16 May12 Apr28 Mar23 (valdez moi)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 20.00    
2  RACINGINTHESTREET Jul14 Jun11       (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  ALLISON K Jul20 Jul01 Jun22 Jun03 May20 (valdez moises)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 50.00    
4  TRIXIE'S TIME         (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
5  HIPNOTIZADA Jun27 May25 May05 Apr07 Mar08 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BALI Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 Feb18 Jan14 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN SAM Jul09 Jun18 Jun11 May07 Apr13 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00 ★    
8  TRUE HEIRESS Jul14 Jun09 Apr28 Apr13 Mar04 (gazzier kristy)CORA D 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
9  LADY MUNNINGS Jul14 May25 Apr29 Mar30 Feb01 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 ★    
10  PARANOIA Jul06 Jun11 May20 Mar22 Feb22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
11  STUY TOWN BABY Jun28 Jun11 May07 Mar21 Feb28 (hamilton st)RAMOS C 113 10.00    
12  MY MASTERPIECE Jul14 Jun27 May30 Apr25 Apr11 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   07/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL YOUR BOOTS Jul14 Jun16       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 30.00    
2  LUPI Jul14         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 7% 13.40    
3  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT May24         (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
4  BE YOURSELF Jun22 Jun08 May29     (gorham e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
5  CLEVER FELLOW Jul08 Jun15 Apr29 Mar16 Feb25 (carrascojr vic)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
6  REPEATED PROMISE Jul12         (brennan regina)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
7  DISTRACTANDATTACK May21 May03 Apr11 Mar22 Mar08 (kantarmaci ilk)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 6% 14.90    
8  LOXODROME Jun22 Apr29 Feb23 Feb08   (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
9  LACCO AMENO Jul13 Jun19 Jun03 May13 Apr28 (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 ★    
10  FAVORITE IMAGE Jul13 Jul01 Jun11 Apr28   (mcdermott sean)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY Jun24 Jun11 May21 Apr22 Mar29 (ippolito mark)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   07/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITESSE Jun17 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★    
2  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Jun30 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Mar04 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  SPIN CYCLE Jul07 Jun29 Jun10 Mar04 Feb15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  THE ROBERT Jun30 Jun07 Apr13 Mar21 Feb16 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  SACRED MOUNTAIN Jun30 Jun15 May20 Apr27 Mar30 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 2.50    
6  PAL CAL Jul15 May07 Apr07 Mar16 Jan28 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRADERS LUCK Jun30 Jun10       (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 12% 7.70    
2  KEIKO KRAHE Jun24 May27       (kreiser ti)MELENDEZ MARIANO 111 1.60 43% 1.40    
3  BOYS OF QUEENS Jun30 Jun10 May11 Apr20 Mar04 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 ★    
4  HERE'S WALDO Jun14 May19 Apr29 Feb18 Jan11 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
5  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Jun30 Jun22 Jun03 May25 May13 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★    
6  SUNSHINE MAX Jun30 Jun09 May25 Apr22 Mar16 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-7   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKDOWN KID Jun30 Jun17 May27 Apr27 Mar16 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
2  MY MAN GEORGIO Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 May24 May13 (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
3  MY WALLY Jun23 May19       (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 ★    
4  SCYNTZ         (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 9% 10.50    
5  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 Apr27 Apr16 (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Jun29 Jun02 May12     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-8   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSING A SOCK Jul01         (miller ma)VARGAS L 122 4.00 25% 3.10    
2  CEETA Jul01 Jun01       (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
3  LUCYS GIRL Jul14         (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00    
4  MISCHIEF MELODY Jul13 Jun16       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
5  LOVELY MELAYRA Jul09 Jun15 May16 May02 Mar31 (krebs steve)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
6  FUELED UP Jul08 Jun16 May20 May06 Apr22 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.50 ★    
7  GO HALAINN Jun23 May26       (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.