Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   07/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVENSCORE Jul07 Jun23 May31 May20 Mar04 (jarvis kathy)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50    
1A  YES I'S A MILLER Jul07 Jun23 May31 May20 Mar31 (jarvis kathy)FELIX E 121 4.50    
CALIFORNIA KITTY Jul08 Jun24 May31 May19 Mar24 (jordan rick)WISEMAN ISAIAH 116 5.00    
HOHOHOHO Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 Mar27 Mar16 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 121 1.60 65% 0.50    
JUST FINE BY ME Jul07 May20 May06 Mar24 Feb16 (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 121 3.00    
COMPETITIVE FIRE Jul07 Jun23 May31 May18   (jordan rick)MOJICA JR 121 3.50    
 
BTP-2   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCGRAW Jul05 May30 Jan19     (fadlovich m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 1.80 21% 3.90    
QUIMBY Jul01 Jun01 May21 May06 Apr26 (evans michael )HALDAR J 118 4.00    
DIAL MR PROSPECTOR Jul12 Jun10       (holton a)WHITACRE B 123 5.00    
SCOOBY DREW Jun23 Jun03 May06     (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Jul07 Jun21 Jun09 May25   (bennett c)MCKEE J 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
BTP-3   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUNDERSTANDABLE Jul01 Jun21 May20     (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.00    
ORBITING THE SKY Mar01 Feb22       (sullivan elli)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
AT FIRST BLUSH May08         (sullivan elliot)BRACHO A 125 8.00    
NIECE JACKIE DAVIS Jun30         (dailey ronald)RIVERA BRYAN 120 10.00    
LADY PREACH Jul01 Jun10 May19 May07   (wilson jr)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
WANNA HAVE FUN Jul13 May26 May07     (granitz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.00 7% 12.90    
 
BTP-4   07/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILMORE Jul01 May27 Jan23     (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
TIZ PENNEY Jun24 May12       (pasley iii)MCKEE J 125 5.00 26% 2.90    
LADY CREATIVE Jul07 Apr23 Apr01 Mar12   (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  SPLIT DECISION Jul07 Jun09 May18 Mar11 Feb12 (ewing ann)MOJICA JR 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
FLORA Jun24 Jun09 Mar24     (wojczynski justin)OUZTS W 120 4.00 7% 12.70    
SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE Jun09 May24 Mar02 Feb16   (scott antho)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 30.00    
ROSIE May27 May10       (jurado luis)VILLASANA CARLOS 125 8.00    
HOLD ME GIRL Jul07 Jun09 May27 May10 Apr30 (mickelson jud)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 30.00    
 
BTP-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESOTO'S WAR Jul04 Mar25 Jan30 Jan13   (forster t)MCKEE J 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
AIN'T STRAIGHT Jun13 May21 Apr04 Mar02 Feb18 (gorostieta ci)MIRANDA ROGELIO 116 4.50 41% 1.40    
FLAT FUN Jul05 May26 May11     (dillion jim)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 4.00    
TEQUILAS RANGER Jul01 Jun12 Apr29 Apr10   (jones phillip)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
CUT GLASS Jun23 May11 Apr28 Apr04   (cash l)BRACHO A 121 2.50    
GORMLEYS GOT GAME Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03   (swingley duwayne)OUZTS W 116 10.00    
 
BTP-6   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATZARELLI Jun22         (cash l)MCKEE J 121 2.00 14% 6.30    
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Jun29 May29 May12 Feb25 Jan04 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
GRAN ROJO Jun28 May25 May12     (jordan rick)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 6.00    
FREDERICKTOWN Jun08 Apr15 Mar31 Feb25 Feb17 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 4.50    
JUST CHITU Jul05 Jun10 May25     (wilson jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00    
CAN MAN DO Jul14 Jun11 May19 Apr07 Mar12 (kendall elise)OUZTS W 116 4.00    
 
BTP-7   07/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTREALLYNOTREALLY Jun24 Jun09 May18 Apr28 Mar05 (grubbs l)FELIX E 125 2.50 26% 2.80    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jul08 Jun26       (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SUNFLOWER ROAD Apr23 Mar24       (meah m)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50 6% 16.20    
STORMY MATTIE Jul14 May24 May10 Feb19 Jan02 (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 30.00    
FIRE BACK Jun30 Jan15       (mickelson jud)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 20.00 5% 18.80    
PIU CHE PRONTO Jun17 May18 Mar12     (anderson l)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
DOGWOODS BECCA Jul12 Jun24 May27 Apr21   (scott antho)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
SMART BUCK Jul08 Jun09 May27 May12   (green troy)OUZTS W 125 4.50    
MAMBO KITTEN Jul07 Jun25 Jun17 Jun03   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 115 5.00 19% 4.10    
 
BTP-8   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL KIMMIE Jun24 Feb19 Jan31     (sullivan elliot)BRACHO A 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
AUJARA Jun22 Jun03 May18 Apr16 Mar26 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 3.50 5% 17.40    
YES TO MISCHIEF May13 Apr16       (wiggins lon)HERRFORTH ERICA 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPALONG Jun02 May14 Mar11 Feb25 Jan28 (murphy scott)WHITACRE B 121 15.00    
MY GOOD GIRL Mar02 Jan01       (greenhill j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00 20% 3.90    
DOCS SEVEN Jun24 Jun08 May20 May06 Apr20 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 8.00    
YOGURT Jul05 Jun09 May25 May03 Apr16 (short m)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00    
MY TOMMY LEE Jun10 May24 Apr11 Mar31 Mar10 (sands shane)MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
BOURBON SOCIAL Jun24 Jun08 May19     (fletcher kevin)FELIX E 121 5.00 8% 12.10    
10  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Jul01 Jun24 Jan21     (haehn r)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.