Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTAUK COVE Jun27 Jun13 May25     (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.80 69% 0.50    
SMART RIDE Jun13 May17 Apr24     (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 4.00    
POWERFUL MOON Jun30 Mar24 Feb22 Jan19   (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 15.00    
KOSCIUSZKO Jun30 Jun21 May02 Apr25 Mar15 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
THE COOKIE MAN Jul04 Jun13 Jun01 May18 May02 (rivera nest)CORREA L 123 2.50    
RULING EMPIRE Jun13 May25 May04 Feb28   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
 
TDN-2   07/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK BE FAST Jul07 Jun22 May23 Apr06 Mar16 (hernandez ricard)DIAZ I 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
1A  JOES A ROCKIN Jun14 May25       (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
MUSTANG WILLIE Jul06 Jun14 May23 May07 Apr16 (crumley )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
SPEEDY MOBILE Jun30 Jun14       (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
PAT'S KARMA Jun25 Jun06 May18 Feb23 Jan29 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 10% 9.30    
SAMMY DA BULL Jul05 Jun20 Feb16 Jan14   (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
 
TDN-3   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO'S DREAM Jun29         (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
1A  QUARANTINO         (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 3.50    
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Jun29         (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 4.50    
2B  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN         (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 115 4.50    
FAST CLIP         (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00    
3C  STREET TRAFFIC Jun29         (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 6.00    
DEACON DOUGIE         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 3.00 18% 4.70    
GREAT REVELATION Jun29         (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  LUNCHATTHELIZARD         (bernardin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
 
TDN-4   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MOBIL Jun14 Jun01 May21 May07 Apr12 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00    
DIAMONDS ENJOY Jun16 May16 Mar24 Mar08 Feb21 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 12.00    
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Jun25 May31 May18 May03 Mar24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
CUMBER         (urieta johan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jun25 Mar07 Feb14 Jan22 Jan04 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
MORESTRIDE Jun21 Jun03 May03 Apr05   (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-5   07/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORLEANS STORM Jun29 May26       (cline c)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 6% 16.50    
NOT JUST GEORGE Jun30 Jun21 Apr28 Apr06 Mar21 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 3.50    
EL CONDOR CAZA Jun30         (inirio ca)PILARES P 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
AFLEET O ME May21         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 6% 16.50    
JUST INSPIRED Jun29 Jun21 May31 May16   (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
INTO GOLD Jun21         (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.50    
MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jun29         (tooley jennif)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
TDN-6   07/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ANDRES Jun21 Jun07 Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00    
SKYLIME Jun21 May16 Jan25 Jan12   (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 15.00 6% 16.30    
AXIS Jun21 Jun07 May23 May07 Apr16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
JACK'S DREAM Jun27 Jun07 Apr28 Mar24   (urieta joha)CORREA L 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
AT THE BEACH Jun27 Jun07 May17 Apr28   (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
TRACKING GOLD Jun20 May16 Apr27 Apr15 Mar01 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 29% 2.50    
GOD'S WILL BE DONE Jun20 Jun01 May16     (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   07/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITASCA Jun30 Jun11 Jan04     (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
ZITMAN Jun14 May31 May12 Mar27 Mar06 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
LATIN SPICE Jun11 May24 May09 Apr15 Mar21 (dacosta jas)CORREA L 128 5.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  WARRIOR'S DREAM Jun30 Jun14 May31 May09 Apr11 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOCTOR LEE Jun20 May03 Apr15 Mar31 Mar15 (zielinski)PILARES P 105 12.00    
NOBLE BEHAVIOR Jul04 Jun22 Jun08 May18   (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 113 30.00    
DOUBLE THE LAUGH Jun06 May09 Feb18 Jan21   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 120 20.00    
PAT DADDY Jun20 Jun07 May30 May12 May03 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
SCR  MAXIMIZER Jan21         (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 30.00    
10  STATESBORO Jun27         (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 128 6.00 46% 1.20    
11  FAT DADDY Jun20 Jun08 May24 May03   (urieta johann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 3.50    
12  LAST DROP OF WINE Jun27 May25 Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 4.50    
 
TDN-8   07/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT'S RHYTHM Jun29 Jun14 May30 May16 Apr28 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
CHLOES ANGEL Jun29 Jun11 May25 May13 Mar25 (romero osca)CORREA L 123 15.00    
CATABOUT Jun29 Jun13 May26 May11 Apr28 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
KIST Jun28 Jun16 May24 Mar22 Feb16 (miller arizo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
SWEET EVY GRACE May26 Apr28 Mar19 Mar05 Jan26 (murillo-rodrigue)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
POWER BANKER Jun29 Jun03 May25 Apr28 Apr11 (cline c)RIVERA R 121 6.00 10% 9.40    
PANAMANIAC May30 May16       (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.