Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - July 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICGIRL Jun18 May29 Apr30 Apr20 Mar30 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
2  GIRLS A BULLET Jun24 Jun02 Apr15 Mar18 Feb13 (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
3  MARCIE'S CANDY Jun18 Jun03 May14 Feb16   (crowder micha)GILLIGAN JACK 124 5.00    
4  MASTERING BELA Jan22 Jan15       (munoz carl)URDANETA J 122 15.00    
5  TRUE ATKA May22 May06 Feb09     (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 122 12.00    
6  R AVERIE LYNN Jun25 Jun03 May15 Apr30 Mar30 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  DR. ANN Jun10 Apr20 Mar25 Feb09 Jan22 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
CNL-2   07/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHROME SAVAGE Jun03 Jan14       (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.50    
2  QUEEN OF CLASS Jun26 Jun04 Apr24 Apr01 Mar13 (morgan car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 10.00    
3  WI FI Jul01 Apr16 Mar17     (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
4  BEASTIE GIRL Jun10 May20 Apr30 Apr15 Mar20 (rountree cathy)REYES LEONEL 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
5  PENSIVELY Jun17 May28       (boniface c)AVILES YAN 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN EFFECT Jun12 Feb09 Jan19     (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  SAIGON Jun29         (elliott janet )BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
8  CAST NO STONES Jun02         (fulmer alli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 15.00    
9  ISOLA (IRE) May05         (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN null      
 
CNL-3   07/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHUR'S HOPE Jun19 May21 Apr08 Mar27 Feb11 (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 115 3.50    
2  NEW COMMISSION Mar07 Feb16 Feb01     (riviezzo r)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
3  PAYNE May30 Apr16 Jan29     (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  PICO D'ORO Jun26 Jun08 May16     (caramori caio)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
5  COUNTY FINAL Jun25 May28 Apr15 Feb20 Jan30 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  SPANKHURST Jun22 Jun02 May05 Apr22 Mar13 (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 124 5.00    
 
CNL-4   07/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVAN HARLAN May21 Apr10       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80 61% 0.70    
2  A LOT LIKE XMAS Jun25 Jun04 Apr29     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 6.00    
3  ANSEL         (maker mic)CARRASCO R 118 3.00 7% 14.20    
4  CELTIC SEA Jul01 May05       (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 15.00    
5  SPRITZER Jun10 May01 Apr07 Mar19 Mar06 (hester lea)ALONSO LUIS 124 12.00    
6  ELUSIVE         (fout dou)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00    
7  BALLYHOO PRINCE Jun25         (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DYNA MAST         (fout douglas)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
9  GIANTSBANE Jun05         (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 6% 14.60    
 
CNL-5   07/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING ON ENTRY Jun08         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 18% 4.50    
2  BIONDA SUPRISE Apr20 Mar26 Mar06 Feb23 Feb04 (yanez mois)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 6% 16.10    
3  BYEGONE DAYS Apr23         (oxendine ad)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  EPHEMERAL Jun22 Jun08 Mar16 Feb21 Jan30 (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 123 12.00 17% 4.90    
5  SAYOH Feb04 Jan26       (bentley fenne)GILLIGAN JACK 123 20.00    
6  FASHION ICON May12 Apr23 Apr01     (locklear j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00 29% 2.40    
7  REYNA DE VERANO Apr24 Apr15 Mar20 Mar11 Jan09 (munoz carl)URDANETA J 123 12.00    
8  BARREL OF BLISS Jun22 Apr22 Apr13 Mar06   (boniface c)AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
9  BRASS BAND May28 May15 Apr23 Apr08 Mar09 (agostini art)SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 10.00    
SCR  GLOSSAMER Jul08 Jun08 May01     (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 123 2.00    
11  V K STAR Jul01 May21 Apr20 Mar09   (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 123 12.00    
 
CNL-6   07/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIBBON WINNER Jun01         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 5.00    
2  CRYSTAL COAST Jun17 May13       (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00    
3  WINTER PRINCESS Jun18 Apr21 Mar31 Feb23   (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
4  JUDGE JUDITH Jun03 Apr23 Apr06 Mar11 Feb18 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
5  BLAME THE GODS Jun10 Mar25 Mar04 Feb11   (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
6  COLOR CRUSH Jun18 May05       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 11% 8.30    
7  WICKED MERCURY         (cibelli jane)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
8  BRIGHTSIDEOFLIFE Jun02 Jan11       (brinkman brett)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
CNL-7   07/13/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDIKAVA May30         (stidham micha)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY         (viands gregory)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00    
3  MISS SAN GABRIEL         (motion h )CARRASCO R 119 5.00 6% 17.00    
SCR  SASUNNACH         (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
5  WATCH THIS BIRDIE         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
6  WIDE WEST (IRE) Jun24         (proctor thom)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
7  KAZILLION Apr29         (brinkman brett)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
8  MOM'S TOWN         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
9  SONG OF AMERICA         (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LADY AZTECA Jun22         (lopez bernar)ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
SCR  DANDELION         (danner kelsey)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00    
12  DANSE MACABRE Jun25         (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
CNL-8   07/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER SILENCE Jun16         (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00    
2  IN EFFECT Jun26 Jun01 Apr08 Feb27 Jan29 (morris r)ACOSTA D 123 4.50    
3  MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) Jun20 Feb27       (wilkes r)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  SAINT MARCO Jul04 Jun07 Apr29     (alexander)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
5  LORD ZED May19 Apr28 Mar23 Mar03 Jan17 (caramori caio)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FEBRUARY SON Jun09 Jan14       (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 123 10.00 10% 9.00    
7  COUSIN LARRY Jun19 May28 Apr15     (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 123 6.00    
8  CHAOTIC TEMPO Jan08         (munoz carl)URDANETA J 118 12.00    
9  FULL CHARGE Jun09 May12 Apr15 Feb23 Jan13 (west ethan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.50 ★    
 
CNL-9   07/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL GUAPO May29 Mar30 Mar11 Mar04 Feb06 (munoz carlos)KARAMANOS A 124 4.00    
2  HAD RIGHT May04 Apr20 Jan05     (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  FREDISATEN         (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 117 4.50 60% 0.70    
4  RECTANGLE May19 May04       (burns patr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
5  I WAS RUN NAN Jun18 May21 May04     (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 20.00    
6  HENDERSON Jun18 Mar03 Jan20     (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 118 8.00    
7  CANYOUHEARMENOW Jun11 May28 Apr28 Apr03   (duffy sean)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIAL HIM UP Jun19 May28 May14 Apr20   (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
9  LAGERFELDT Jun25 May29 Apr20 Apr10 Mar25 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 ★    
10  ANALYZEYOURVISION Jun25 May06 Apr22 Mar13 Feb16 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00 ★    
11  SPANISH CZAR         (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.