Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - June 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   06/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CONDUCIVE May21 Apr25       (genoves)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
SCR  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN May26 May09       (genovese richa)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
2  LOVE TREE May11         (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 ★    
3  VALEROSO Jun02 May24 Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 10% 9.40    
4  PALTARREVENGE May26 May03       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  ISTILLGOTIT May21 May02 Jan01     (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 2.50 ★    
6  KLAATU May16 May03 Mar19 Mar08 Feb15 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-2   06/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILLIN LADY May21 Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  DREAM TO WIN May26 Jan14       (bookman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
3  TUFFIAN May26 May04 Mar21 Feb16 Jan15 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50 ★    
4  TALK DIRTY May26 May18 May04 Apr15 Mar01 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  NATALIA'S TEMPLE May18 May04 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 (bailey ricardo)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 ★    
6  JULIE BIRD (IRE) May12 Apr15 Feb26 Feb02   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-3   06/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Mar18 Mar02 Feb19 Jan22   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 ★    
2  CHROMED IMPULSE May17 Apr28 Apr04 Mar18   (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  HAPPILEA Apr28 Mar15 Feb19     (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 121 2.50 9% 10.00    
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST May25         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 36% 1.70    
5  JUMP BACK JACK May22 Jan30       (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
6  MURTAGH May09         (jackson james )COLON H 119 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-4   06/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYBOX Apr09 Mar10 Feb11 Jan15   (oliver victo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
2  TEAM HOT LINE May23 Apr25       (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 115 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  FRESH MORNING May21         (atala j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 10.00    
SCR  AFERDITA May11 Apr15 Mar19     (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 6.00 10% 8.70    
5  LADY JEWELS May23 Apr13       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 115 5.00 ★    
6  LEWD May23 May11 Apr26 Apr02 Feb22 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 115 8.00    
7  EMITYAAZ May11 Apr24 Mar05 Jan30   (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 112 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-5   06/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSTUME JEWELRY Jan25         (inirio carlos)COLON H 119 20.00    
2  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT May26 May12 Apr16     (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  WAR MOON May03 Apr06 Mar05 Feb14   (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00    
4  TRULY INCLUSIVE May12         (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  MY PIE May09 Apr13       (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.50 ★    
6  PENNIESANDDIMES May30 May16       (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 10.00 ★    
7  ANGEL WINGS May25 Feb19 Jan22 Jan08   (flores israel)DIAZ I 115 8.00    
8  LUCKY PENNY ROSE May24 May09 Apr13 Mar15 Feb21 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 4.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   06/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ELLIE May26 May12 Apr26 Mar16 Mar02 (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  HITCH CITY May12         (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
3  MACHEN REIGNS May12         (baird michael)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
4  BAREFOOT BEACH May04         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
5  DANZA MAGIC May12 Apr16 Apr05 Mar23 Feb14 (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 ★    
6  LAYITONTHICK May26 May12 Apr26 Apr16 Apr05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00 ★    
7  LE CLUB         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
8  JUPITER ECLIPSE         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  FIRST TAP May30         (londono j)DIAZ R 119 30.00    
10  OH EYE SEE         (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 8% 11.10    
 
TDN-7   06/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATABOUT May26 May11 Apr28 Apr06 Mar26 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  ESTILO ELEGANTE Jun02 Mar19 Feb26 Feb06 Jan23 (inirio carlo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00 ★    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE May30 May11 Apr27 Apr16 Apr06 (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
SCR  HARD TO ACCESS May23 May04 Mar31 Mar23 Mar14 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
5  MOBIL LADY May30 May12 Apr28     (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  MOTHERWELL May12 Apr10 Mar11 Feb09 Jan14 (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 6.00    
7  AUNT BEE Jun03 May19       (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
8  SPECIAL BEACH May30 May07 Mar14 Jan26 Jan11 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   06/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASAI MAN May18 Jan09       (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 6.00    
2  THE COOKIE MAN Jun01 May18 May02     (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00 ★    
3  MONTAUK COVE May25         (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 123 3.50 67% 0.50    
4  TOUCHDOWN JESUS May16 May02 Apr04 Mar18 Mar07 (poole a)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
5  THE DRAKE May21         (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 123 12.00    
6  LADY'S BOY May25 Apr25 Apr11 Mar18   (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 ★    
7  RULING EMPIRE May25 May04 Feb28     (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 7% 13.70    
8  LAZARUS PROJECT May23 May04 Apr12 Feb15 Jan19 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.