Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARITA TIME May03         (medina r)SANTANA JR 125 15.00    
2  BALLYKEEN Apr02         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00    
3  FROSTED DIAMOND Apr23 Feb16       (sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
4  FREUDIAN May03 Jan20 Jan09     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  CLASSY MISS Apr23 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 Jan22 (mcgee paul)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00    
6  LUNAR ICE Apr29         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 11% 8.40    
7  THREAVE'S COMPANY Apr22 Feb26 Jan23     (jones larr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 19% 4.40    
 
CD-2   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET GINGER May12 Apr20 Mar02 Feb16 Jan22 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 6.00    
2  LA TOURISTA May12 Apr30 Apr21 Apr13 Mar18 (vasquez sr)COURT K 123 5.00    
3  MIZBEHAVING SIS         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
4  GUEST IN MY HEART May06 Apr24 Mar27 Jan30 Jan23 (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50    
5  BODE BY YOU Apr10 Jan01       (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
6  SWEET SPIN Mar17 Feb17       (sims phil)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
CD-3   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORMAL ORDER Apr30 Apr08 Feb06 Jan13   (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 111 3.50    
2  RIDGEPOINTE May06 Apr15       (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  STUD PUPPY Apr08 Mar20 Feb27 Feb11 Jan15 (zito p)LEON SONNY 123 15.00    
4  PLEMMONSTON Feb28 Feb17 Feb04 Jan13   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 123 6.00    
5  BRONZE BEAST Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 Jan09   (rouck l)COURT K 123 6.00 6% 14.90    
6  VOLBEAT Apr08 Feb06 Jan16     (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
7  GUN LAP Mar24 Feb11       (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
CD-4   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNLEASH THE POWER May07         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
2  NINJA WARRIOR         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
3  SILVER BLUR         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
4  MY GRASS IS BLUE         (pitt)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
5  RUM 'N TONIC Apr23         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 ★    
6  EMBRACE (IRE)         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH null      
7  TRUE JEDI Apr16 Mar18       (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 49% 1.10    
8  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Apr29 Mar26       (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  DIVISION STREET Apr02         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
10  HONORABLE VOW         (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
11  DISCO         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  GRANTASTIC         (catalano )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
13  LET MY PEOPLE GO Apr29 Mar27       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 5% 18.10    
14  GUEST SPEAKER Apr24 Mar16       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BOOYAH         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  DERIVATIVE         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
SCR  SINNER'S SIN Apr23 Mar17 Feb21 Jan02   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
 
CD-5   05/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLEY ROSE May03 Mar09 Feb03     (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 3.50    
2  RING ME DARLING         (garcia genar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  MISS CHAMITA Apr29 Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 Jan22 (cash l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
4  STANLEY MARKET Apr22 Mar24 Feb11 Jan07   (morse l)COURT K 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  CONDIMENT GIRL Apr29         (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  BIG JAVA Apr07 Mar13 Feb19     (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MOON ROAD Apr09 Mar13 Feb20 Jan02   (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 111 5.00    
SCR  DREWZANO Apr30 Mar27 Mar05 Jan21   (wiggins lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
3  MY MAN FLINTSTONE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 8% 10.90    
4  FUTILE May12 Apr23 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  DAVID'S GEM May05 Mar31 Feb20 Jan23 Jan01 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
6  IRISH HOKIE Mar01 Jan07       (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
7  CHARGE THE LINE Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
8  SEAU Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Jan29   (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
9  MASON A. P.         (hill f)BRYAN KERRY 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   05/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANGO CHARLIE Apr09 Mar05 Feb13 Jan16   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00    
2  DARK TIMBER Apr23         (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
3  OFFICIAL BUSINESS Apr24         (moquett )SANTANA JR 125 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FAIR HAIRED BOY May04 Apr15 Jan22     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50    
5  FLAGS UP         (baker james)BEJARANO R 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  YES SIR ROBERT May04 Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Jan19 (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
7  SPEND BENJAMINS Apr30 Mar31 Feb26 Feb18 Jan07 (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 10.00    
 
CD-8   05/22/2022 7260ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMON BOND Apr24 Mar17       (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 12.00    
2  EL AHIJADO Apr21 Apr02 Mar09 Feb19 Jan15 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 117 50.00    
SCR  HIGH DEFF (FR) Apr24 Mar18 Jan21     (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00    
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE May06 Apr13 Mar20 Jan22   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00    
5  WIN WORTHY Apr13 Mar10 Jan22     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  COOL RAGS Apr24 Apr13 Mar17 Feb23 Jan15 (foster eric)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
SCR  HARD RYE GUY Apr24 Mar17 Feb19 Jan15   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.50    
8  JARREAU Apr24 Mar10 Feb13 Jan16   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  VERSTAPPEN Apr29 Mar25       (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
10  BAKWENA Apr30 Mar17 Feb19     (miller darri)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00    
11  KUCHAR Apr23 Mar13 Feb12     (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
CD-9   05/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DEVIL Apr02 Mar12       (west eth)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 6% 15.00    
2  THE JUDGE AND JURY Apr16 Feb23 Jan22     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  BLOW TORCH May07         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 8% 11.30    
4  FAST FELIX Apr02 Mar12       (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  SMARTY JOHN May04 Jan22       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
6  GOLDEN LUNA         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
7  ACEHIGH ROYAL Apr23 Mar17       (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 31% 2.20    
8  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Apr16 Apr02       (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00    
9  PER DIEM May07         (cash l)COURT K 124 15.00    
10  OUR TEAM         (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
11  SUPREMELY         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.