Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULLY COMPLIANT Apr11         (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 123 8.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  WICKENBURG Mar28 Mar08       (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 120 15.00    
3  CELINAS BLUE BIRD         (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 3.00 ★    
4  COASTAL QUEEN         (gibson vince)ANAYA V 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  PEARL RIVER DELTA         (bozell alan)RADKE K 123 2.00 ★    
6  BIG FASHION Mar11 Feb21       (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
EMD-2   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWILIGHT GALAXY Apr12 Mar30 Jan18 Jan04   (pierce l)MAWING A 123 12.00 ★    
2  AMERICAN ROYALTY Apr07 Mar15 Feb22 Feb04 Jan23 (van debbie)MATIAS J 123 6.00 ★    
3  LOOKOUT TAYLOR         (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 5.00    
SCR  GONE QUICK May06 Apr14 Mar31 Mar11 Jan18 (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  DODROPIN May03 Apr11 Mar21 Feb16 Jan25 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
6  WILLING TO BURN Apr20 Apr07 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 (pierce michae)GUTIERREZ M 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
EMD-3   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLING SECRET Apr14 Mar28 Mar18     (ro)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 8.00 ★    
2  RINGS OF SATURN         (cooper kay)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
3  PERFECT ONE Apr02 Mar09       (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
4  MOSQUITO FLEET         (jenne bonnie)BARNETT A 121 4.00 10% 8.80    
5  NORTHWEST RAIN         (cryderman s)RADKE K 121 8.00 ★    
6  MARCH ON LINCH Jan24 Jan04       (bozell alan)CRUZ M 121 1.80 11% 7.80    
7  AMERICAN BUDDHA Apr25 Apr14 Mar24 Feb16 Jan03 (person kennet)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
 
EMD-4   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEEPY SUE         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 3.50 ★    
2  LOVELY HUSSAR Mar18 Feb27 Feb18 Jan14   (gilmour jim)ANAYA V 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
3  FLYIN BY         (gibson vince)CRUZ M 117 4.50 54% 0.90    
4  ASHLEY BEAUTIFUL Apr08         (gilmour )GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 120 12.00    
5  LADY ELIANA         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 120 5.00    
6  UNAFIESTAPARATODOS Apr02 Mar11 Feb20     (martinez dav)MARTIN A 120 8.00 ★    
7  CHINOOK QUICK         (cryderman s)RADKE K 117 2.50 6% 16.60    
 
EMD-5   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Apr20 Mar25 Mar14 Mar01 Feb07 (essex charles)RADKE K 121 8.00 ★    
2  UNION BLISS Mar20 Feb21 Jan28 Jan07   (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 124 4.50    
3  CAPTAIN DASHI Jan28         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 ★    
4  PHILIPIE FAST Mar25 Mar12 Feb21 Jan28 Jan07 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  NEUMEISTER         (martinez)GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 118 15.00    
6  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Mar19 Mar05 Feb20 Jan16 Jan09 (bean robert )MARTIN A 121 6.00    
7  WESTERN RULE         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
8  NEW EVERY MORNING         (gibson vince)ANAYA V 121 12.00 ★    
9  OXBOW PARK Apr20 Mar25 Mar02 Feb14 Feb04 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 121 10.00    
 
EMD-6   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHENDUCKSFLY Apr19         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 124 12.00    
2  SIR DEPUTY Apr19 Apr03 Mar18 Mar09 Jan17 (pierce michae)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 11% 7.90    
3  PROUDTOBESICILIAN Jan23         (bean a)ANAYA V 124 5.00 7% 12.80    
4  INQUISITION         (lowe nic)GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 124 12.00    
5  PROUD LION         (belvoir howard)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
6  I AM ALLTHATYOUARE Apr25 Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMOKE AND BURN Mar30 Mar05 Feb27 Feb05 Jan15 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
8  EDDIE AND THE KING         (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
9  SHOCKAZULU         (harris john)MATIAS J 124 15.00 ★    
10  IRON ROB         (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 124 4.50 57% 0.80    
 
EMD-7   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRANNIGAN Mar20 Mar13 Feb19 Jan02   (perez s)ANAYA V 121 20.00    
2  AMARA MIKE         (martinez davi)GUTIERREZ M 121 10.00    
3  MUSIC ICON         (wright blaine)RADKE K 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  NINE ONE ONE         (gilker robert)CRUZ M 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
5  BOLDACIOUS Apr03 Mar06 Feb13     (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  HICKORY WIND         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 10.00    
7  FIREWALKER         (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 6.00 ★    
8  C JAXON         (balcom c)GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 124 12.00    
9  BIG PAPER DADDY         (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 8.00 ★    
 
EMD-8   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKS FIX IT         (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  NAVAL ESCORT         (martinez b)RADKE K 121 8.00 ★    
3  DECIMATE         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 118 10.00    
4  ETHAN'S ANIMAL         (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  NATIONHEART         (cooper kay)BONNET CHESTER 121 3.00 10% 9.50    
6  TIME 'N TIME AGAIN         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
7  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN         (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 121 6.00    
8  DEMOCRAT         (peery de)GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 121 15.00    
 
EMD-9   05/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET THE HOUSE Apr04 Mar22       (bullock steve)MATIAS J 121 12.00    
2  ELTONSINGSTHEBLUES Apr01 Mar03       (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 10.00    
3  BOBBY BUCKETS Apr26 Apr12       (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 121 8.00 ★    
4  MAYHEM AND CHAOS Apr17         (van debbie)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 ★    
5  COWBOY CAUSEWAY         (peery de)GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 124 20.00    
6  LAGO DE ORO         (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★    
7  ATTORNEY LOUIS Apr14         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 6.00 ★    
8  LINCHTOWN         (bozell alan)GUTIERREZ M 124 10.00    
SCR  COASTING         (gibson vince)RADKE K 121 15.00    
10  STONUS MAXIMUS         (wr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 2.50 77% 0.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.