Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($25.13K) 3 ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT THAT SERIOUS Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  HEY NOW Feb17 Jan28 Jan17     (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 ★    
3  BANGO FOR BUCKS Feb18 Jan28       (breashear bill)CORBETT W 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  THE MET Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06   (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
5  SLAATS Jan30         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-3   03/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVINCE Feb22 Jan04       (brown r)CRUZ M 124 3.00 12% 7.20    
2  SHOE GAME Mar15 Mar04 Feb22 Jan31 Jan04 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 3.50 12% 7.30    
3  IT'S ALEXUS Mar16 Feb25 Jan31 Jan06   (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 ★    
4  TIZ WONDERFULLY Mar03 Feb08 Jan11     (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  SILLY NOTION Mar16 Feb16 Jan31 Jan13   (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
6  GOLD INCLUDED Feb04         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
 
TUP-4   03/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AVABELL Mar18 Mar10 Feb16     (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 5.00 ★    
2  KEEPINMYPROMISE Mar14 Feb22 Feb04 Jan14   (hjort donna)MAWING A 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  PRINCESS ARANTZA Feb25 Feb08 Jan29 Jan13   (silva rodri)SCRIVER L 122 8.00    
4  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Mar21 Mar07 Feb08 Jan13   (gale bryce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
5  MOUNTAIN PASS Mar10 Feb25 Jan28 Jan08   (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 11% 7.70    
6  TWILIGHT GALAXY Jan18 Jan04       (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
7  TIZ TENACIOUS Mar16 Feb09 Jan07     (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
TUP-5   03/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.43K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  START A RUNNIN Mar10 Feb01 Jan02     (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 ★    
2  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Mar16 Mar04 Jan25 Jan05   (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
3  THORN HILL CAT Mar18 Mar10 Jan07     (asprino alf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
4  ROCKY TOUGH Mar13 Mar06 Feb13 Jan30   (van debbie)MAWING A 122 10.00    
5  PROVOST Mar16 Jan31 Jan13     (mccartney jack)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 6% 16.20    
6  EL CHUMELITO Mar04 Feb18 Feb03 Jan18   (homer jason)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
7  PLAYOFF BOUND Mar18 Mar10 Jan25 Jan07   (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
8  RIDEO Mar16 Feb24 Jan31 Jan05   (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
TUP-6   03/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD STAR STUDENT         (homer)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00    
2  HOT SOUP         (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  UNBRIDLED TIGER Mar08 Feb16       (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 8.00 9% 9.60    
4  INDIAN NIGHTS Feb24 Jan24       (dennison d)RODRIGUEZ H 124 8.00 ★    
5  JEDIZEE         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7% 14.00    
6  WILL TO PAR         (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
7  PLAYING FIELD Mar18         (hudson)FLETCHER D 124 6.00    
8  CRYSTAL BANDIT Feb22 Feb01       (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 118 3.00    
9  FULL VISION         (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
TUP-7   03/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOMBIE ALAN Mar11 Jan13       (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
2  SMOKE AND BURN Mar05 Feb27 Feb05 Jan15   (van debbie)MAWING A 124 12.00    
3  MAD LUTHER Mar14 Feb25 Feb16 Jan25   (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
4  FLOWER BEACH Mar07 Feb17 Jan31     (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 6% 16.40    
5  HAVE A LIL PEPPER Mar09 Feb02       (alvarez serg)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
6  BUCKLEY BAY Mar10 Jan13       (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  MOUNTAIN SPIRIT Mar01 Feb18 Jan18     (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
8  WESTERN SMOKE Mar22 Mar05 Feb25 Feb14 Jan26 (rumsey cor)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00    
9  SUCCESS RATE Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18   (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-8   03/30/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLTOBELUCKY Mar07 Jan25 Jan10     (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
2  FISHEL Mar07 Feb17 Jan24     (moreno jose)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
3  CIBERTRUCK Mar07 Feb18 Jan25 Jan06   (stevens sat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
4  CRYPTO GOLD Mar07 Jan10       (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00    
5  ROUSING RUBBLE Mar21 Mar03 Feb15 Feb03 Jan24 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 10.00    
6  BODEGA Mar01 Jan28       (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  SINGLE BARREL Feb28 Feb15       (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 18.30    
8  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Feb28 Feb15 Jan25 Jan10   (mccartney )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
SCR  COLAVITO Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 Jan24 Jan03 (silva pablo)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
10  I WILL YEAH (IRE) Mar07 Jan25       (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 7% 14.30    
SCR  MARICOPA COUNTY Feb18 Feb02 Jan06     (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.