Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 30, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/3)-(4/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/3)-(4/2/6/7)-(2/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/7)-(2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/7)-(2/8/5)-(8/6/9/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(8/6/9/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(8/6/9/4/10)-(9/10/8/7/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/6/9/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/4/10)-(8/6/9/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/4/10)-(8/6/9/4/10)-(8/6/9/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/9/4/10)-(9/10/8/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9/4/10)-(9/10/8/7/6)-(2/7/9/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (9/10/8/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/7/6)-(9/10/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/7/6)-(9/10/8/7/6)-(9/10/8/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/7/6)-(2/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/7/6)-(2/7/9/1)-(4/2/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1/5)-(2/7/9/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/9/1)-(4/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/1)-(4/2/11)-(8/1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/11)-(4/2/1/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/11)-(4/2/1/6/11)-(4/2/1/6/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/11)-(8/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/11)-(8/1/5/4)-(4/8/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/4)-(4/8/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/10)-(4/8/7/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/10)-(4/8/7/5/10)-(4/8/7/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/30/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACETOTHEFINISH Jan11 Dec10 Oct07 Aug14 Jul19 (becker scott)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
JOKES UP Dec17 Dec05 Sep20 Sep05 Jul19 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
FAIRHOPECURLY Jan11 Oct03 Aug08 Jul19 May24 (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SLEW CROWN Nov22 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 May05 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 12.00    
COMMANDERS PALACE Jan14 Jan04 May22 Apr04 Mar16 (alessi james)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
BAND SWEETHEART Jan11 Dec19 Dec05 Aug30 Aug01 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 12.00    
MT. D'ORO Jan11 Dec17 Oct07 Sep25 Sep03 (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 118 4.50 12% 7.60    
THEE NEW BEGINNING Jan07 Nov22 Oct09 Sep24 Sep08 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
 
TAM-2   01/30/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER HAVE CASH Dec03 Oct01 Sep18 Mar28 Jan31 (alessi james)HESS SARA 118 20.00    
TOP POCKET PICK Nov22 Sep28 Aug31 Jul11 Jun14 (vinson g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 27% 2.60    
COLLECTED DREAMS Dec19 Nov22 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 30.00    
BLOODY COLORS WAVE Jan09 Nov22 Sep22 Aug05 Jul07 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
SOUND IT OUT Nov22 Nov02 Aug20 Aug03 Jul04 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 3.50    
LA VECCHIA SIGNORA Jan09 Dec19 Apr18 Mar29   (avila juan)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 108 4.50 14% 6.10    
SECURITYLIGHTNING Jan02 Sep06 Jul27 Jun14 May17 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS VERA Jan09 Jan01       (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
 
TAM-3   01/30/2026 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE ROMANCE Jan18 Jan03 Dec20 Dec10 Oct15 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
SWEET NOLA Jan18 Dec13 Nov26 Oct02 Sep23 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 68% 0.50    
FAR ABOVE Jan04 Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 May25 (dobber w)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
SMART STYLE Jan04 Nov09 Oct12 Sep12 Aug24 (laurin roger)MORALES ANGEL 119 20.00    
PLAY FREE BIRD Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
THREE RUN BOLT Jan18 Jan02 Dec17 Nov26 Oct17 (vargas an)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Dec20 Nov15 Oct25 Sep20 Aug23 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 121 2.50    
CASTAGNA Jan16 Dec13 Nov26 Nov19 Oct08 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 7% 12.50    
 
TAM-4   01/30/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA COCO Dec24 Dec06 Oct18     (morales )MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
MISS SUNRISE Jan02         (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
BEAUTRIZ Jul12         (munoz carlos)HO WESLEY 119 10.00    
SECRET DESIRE         (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 8% 11.20    
R SKYLINE Dec06 Nov01       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
KIONA Nov09         (narvaez carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  PRINCESS FORTRESS Nov29         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
CRITICAL MAGIC Jan16 Dec19 Dec06 Aug03 Jul11 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 2.00 31% 2.30    
ELSIE'S SMILE Oct02 Sep06       (o'connell kath)COTTO L 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
10  DADDY'S LOVE         (morzan javier)MORALES ANGEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/30/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLIGHTTOWN Jan14 Oct31 Aug30 Jul25   (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
GUAVABERRY Jan14 Nov07 Oct12     (carrascojr vict)SERPA ANGEL 119 30.00    
SCR  CHABELITA Dec24 Dec06 Nov22 Oct12 Sep05 (dominguez huber)HESS SARA 119 10.00    
MISTRIAL WIND Dec24 Nov19 Aug31 Aug17   (dominguez hube)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
RIPPLE Jan07 Dec24 Jun28 May22 May01 (alvarado jos)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
BAKERS ISLAND         (stewart j)CASTANON L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHIP OF FOOLS Jan14 Dec10 Oct15 Sep14   (huston k)FERRER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREAT ACTRESS Jan07 Dec06 Nov19 Nov01 Sep20 (vitali marcus)MORALES ANGEL 119 6.00 9% 9.90    
SHE'S THE RAGE Dec24         (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
10  PALPITATIONS Jan14 Nov22 Oct12     (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
11  D DOLLY'S GIRL Jan14 Dec06 Nov19     (jo)BOULANGER CHANCE 119 30.00    
SCR  DR. PATTEN Jan02 Oct02 Sep06 Aug15 Jul27 (rya)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 6.00    
SCR  MIAMI STYLE Jan10 Nov28 Oct31 Sep11 Aug09 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00    
SCR  MEMORY OF MY LIFE Jan18         (morzan javier)MORALES ANGEL 119 20.00    
 
TAM-6   01/30/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID'S SONGS Jan17 Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 Jun24 (gray christop)MORALES ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
COALMINER'S KITTEN Dec24 Sep13 Aug12 Jul19 Jun19 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
VERRAZANOINTHESKY Jan11 Dec19 Nov02 Oct16 Sep28 (martinez jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00    
WHITING FIELD Dec27 Dec12 Sep15 Aug31 Aug12 (simone micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 12.00    
BATI KING Jan24 Dec10 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
FEELTHEBEAT Jan02 Dec24 Dec12 Sep20 Sep05 (quinones raul)SERPA ANGEL 120 15.00    
WILLTORUN Sep09 Aug04 Jul02 May17 Apr12 (hamm timothy)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
SILENT AND VIOLENT Jan16 Dec17 Nov28 Nov08 Sep13 (curto j)HERMAN NOEL 110 20.00    
FLOAT ON Dec27 Dec03 Oct21 Sep16 Jul30 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 8% 12.00    
10  RUSSIAN HAMMER Jan10 Dec24 Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
11  HAY MOON Jan11 Dec24 Dec03 Oct30 Oct09 (escobar martin)LARA VICTOR 110 30.00    
12  BLACK CANDY Jan17 Dec26 Nov25 Nov04 Oct19 (tom)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00    
SCR  AZURE SKY Sep20 Sep05 Aug20 Aug01 Jul18 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 120 30.00    
 
TAM-7   01/30/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC HEART Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 Apr30 Apr13 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.00    
FERAL'S JOY Jan16 Dec20 Dec12 Nov29 Oct10 (wil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 15.00 9% 9.70    
CHAZ THE CHIEF Jan24 Dec20 Nov28 Oct17 Oct10 (simone v)HO WESLEY 119 12.00    
SPECIALAGENTJONSON Jan09 Dec12 Oct01 Aug30 Jun21 (downing willia)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 62% 0.60    
OUTTAWATERBURY Jan09 Dec12 Oct22 Sep12 Aug21 (wasiluk peter)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00    
SIX FORTYFIVE Jan07 Dec13 Nov09 Oct11 Aug30 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 123 2.50    
LATIN FORCE Jan09 Dec20 Dec12 Sep18 Aug31 (vanwinkle da)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
BEST CHANCE YET Oct06 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Nov06 (ramos ben)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 119 30.00    
OVERHAUL Aug23 Jul10 Jun19 Apr09 Mar28 (alessi james)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
SCR  ZAPATA (IRE) Oct17 Sep21 Sep05 Aug21 Jul21 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 8.00    
11  JOE FROM KIEV Jan09 Dec12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 (curto beverly)MORALES ANGEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   01/30/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CAJUN LADY Jan03 Dec12 Nov26 Aug21 Aug03 (felician)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 20% 4.00    
C C GIRL Jan04 Dec20 Nov22 Oct20 Aug30 (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 20.00    
MISS CLASSIFIED Jan14 Jan04 Sep20 Sep07 Aug13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
PRAYED FOR GIRL Jan02 Dec12 Nov22 Sep05 Aug16 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
NAUGHTY FAVORS Jan10 Dec17 Nov22 Oct22 Oct08 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 10.00 20% 4.10    
WITS AND WAGERS Nov22 Nov13 Oct29 Sep11 Aug08 (gallegos a)CENTENO E 119 5.00    
SCR  SNOWYTE Oct18 Aug30 May15 Apr11 Nov01 (gargan danny)LEON SONNY 119 1.20    
TORTUGA ISLAND Jan09 Dec20 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
KUKU Jan10 Dec24 Dec03 Sep30 Sep01 (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 20.00    
SCR  MILA JUNES Jan03 Nov28 Nov06 Sep25 Aug28 (gallegos a)HO WESLEY 119 8.00    
 
TAM-9   01/30/2026 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE ENERGY Jan02 Jun22 May31 May10   (alanis franc)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
  (by RUBIANO out of ARSENIC AND LACE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
FLAMEFIRE Jan11 Jan02 Nov07     (morzan javier)MORALES ANGEL 122 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of VINYATA by VINDICATION)
JOBU Sep19         (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of OUR CAUSE by ARCH)
SCR  UP FOR AN OSCAR Dec19 Oct23 Jan25     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of POST SCRIPT by QUALITY ROAD)
RUNAWAY ROCKET         (mott i)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MISS HETTY by CONGRATS)
HAPPY MOMENTS         (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
  (by BACKSEAT MEMORIES out of SAMMY'S SENORITA by RATTLESNAKE BRIDGE)
PACIFIC STANDARD Jan11 Dec24 Nov29 Nov13 Oct24 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of NATHAN'S MOM BECKY by WILDCAT HEIR)
THREE PERCENT Jan11 Jul08 Jun01 May10 Mar22 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RISING LIGHT by TIZNOW)
MORTAL LOCK Jan09 Dec19 Nov13 Oct05 Aug28 (weaver g)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MISS SOONER GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
10  DOC BOVIE Jan02 Nov16 Oct10 Aug30 Aug14 (harty eoin)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of KISS A VET by WAR FRONT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.