Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(2/5/4)-(3/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/7/5)-(9/8/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-4   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(9/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(9/8/3)-(6/2/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (9/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/3)-(9/8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/3)-(9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/8/3)-(6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/8/3)-(6/2/8)-(6/4/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/7/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/7/4/2/8)-(6/7/4/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/8)-(6/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8)-(6/4/1/8)-(2/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8/10)-(6/4/1/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/1/8)-(2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY LAYNE Oct10 Sep12 Aug07 Jun12 May08 (overholt pau)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMONDS N DEW Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 1.60 44% 1.30    
TALE OF THE LYON Oct28 Oct01 Aug18 Jul08 Jun16 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
TRULY INCLUSIVE Oct28 Sep22 Aug29 Aug12 Jul01 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
CITY SIGNS Jul01 Jun16 May08 Apr22 Apr09 (castillo )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 5.00 6% 14.60    
TWERK Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 Aug12 Jul09 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50    
POWER BANKER Oct28 Oct15 Sep29 Sep08 Aug07 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00    
 
MVR-2   11/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUO Oct25 Oct08 Sep18 Sep03 Mar27 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00 6% 15.60    
BIGPICLITTLEPIC Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug28 Aug04 (poole m)BRACHO A 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
MOR STORMY Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug28 Aug04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 6.00    
BALKI BARTOKOMOUS Sep10 Sep01 Aug21 Aug07 Jul14 (meyers sh)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
HE'S MY BOY Oct27 Sep27 Sep10 Aug28 Aug16 (faulkner rodne)SWAN KIRSTEN 122 12.00    
EMOJI TIME Oct27 Oct10 Sep18 Sep01   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
MVR-3   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROLLIN MY WAY Oct28 Oct13 Sep12 Sep04 Aug20 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00    
KNOCK WOOD Oct28 Oct13 Oct03 Sep03 May26 (tumblin kristina)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
RADIO SILENT Oct28 Oct13 Sep18 Aug14 Jul30 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Oct13 Oct01 Sep18 Aug14 Jul16 (yoder susan )KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
RED CHIPS Oct28 Oct10 Sep22 Aug28 Aug06 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
NATIONAL STORY Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Aug08 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 126 5.00    
STORMED OUT Oct28 Oct13 Nov21 Nov07 Sep11 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FABULOUS CLOWN Oct28 Aug29 Aug12 Jul09 Jun23 (jackson r)PARKER L 124 15.00    
SCR  GOODNESS SAKES Oct02 Sep08 Aug20 Aug12 Jul09 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
BOX STEP Aug20 Aug07 Jun27 May18 Apr24 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER Jun10 May07 Mar20 Mar03 Jan23 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
LINE DANCER Oct20 Aug19 Jun24 Dec04 Apr10 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Oct10 Aug18 Jul08 May28 May08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50    
DANZA MAGIC Oct14 Sep29 Aug20 Aug07 Jun23 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
SWEET EMPIRE Oct14 May21 Apr09 Mar10 Feb10 (urieta joha)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WETZEL Oct27 Sep30 Sep04 Aug19 Aug04 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
GENERAL WINSTON Oct27 Sep29 Sep03 Jul30 Jun30 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
NEED TO KNOW BASIS Oct27 Oct07 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 (treharne dave)PARKER L 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  CORNER OFFICE Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug04 Mar11 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
SPECIALIZED Sep04 Jul09 Jun16 May17 Mar31 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
GUNNER GABRIEL Oct29 Oct13 Sep22 Aug28 Aug14 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
RECKLESS L J Oct29 Oct03 Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
DARK VADER Oct29 Sep23 Aug12 Mar31 Mar03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
LIBERATE Jul10 Jun16 May28 Mar30 Mar03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
MVR-6   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLLIE'S FOLLY Sep30 Jun21 May28 May07 Apr21 (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00    
JOHN FITZGERALD Oct10 Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 (sweeting )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAY MAYHEM Sep30 Sep09 Jul17 Jun21 May28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
THEDAYOFTHEGREY Sep22 Aug11 Aug17 May23 May04 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 4.50    
COLOR BEARER Oct28 Oct10 Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
EAGLE NEST Oct13 Aug04 Jun30 May03 Mar19 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 73% 0.40    
PROSECUTOR Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 (guciardo rober)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Oct30 Oct13 Sep16 Aug29 Aug11 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROLL ON BIG O Sep04 Jun30 May20 May03 Apr03 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   11/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Leona's Reward Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORYOUREGGS Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 Aug19 Jun27 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of MEDIA RULES by MASS MEDIA)
MOBIL CHIC Jun03 May07 Apr05 Mar10 Jan29 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
FEELING EASY Oct22 Sep17 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
PARLAY Sep19 Aug29 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
DRILLS WILD BRAT Oct29 Sep25 Aug07 Jun25 Jun07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of WILD N BRATTY by OFFLEE WILD)
PRAISE N GLORY Oct25 Oct02 Sep19 Aug27 Aug07 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
KETTLE KISS Oct15 Sep17 Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 120 20.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
MIZ KEETA Sep19 Aug07 Jul16 Jun21 May13 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
COUNTESS COLETTE Oct25 Sep19 Aug05 Dec19 Nov21 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 120 6.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MOBIL BONNET by MOBIL)
10  KICHI KITSU Oct29 Oct02 Sep12 Aug07 Jun21 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
11  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Oct10 Sep23 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 30.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
12  IMA MOM Nov04 Oct15 Sep25 May05 Apr02 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
13  TIERNEY Oct13 Sep26 Sep19 Aug27 Aug11 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 120 30.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
 
MVR-8   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AIR SHOW Nov03 Jan02 Dec13 Nov01 Oct05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
JUST LIKE RAMBO Oct29 Aug29 Jul18 Jun06 May21 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 4.00 49% 1.10    
DON'T STOP Oct29 Oct10 Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 (galloway k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 6.00 16% 5.30    
STREETS OF WAR Oct28 Oct09 Sep26 Sep15 Aug26 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  MY HANDSOME MAN Nov01 Oct01 Sep14 Sep05 Jul26 (ovando melvin)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
BLAZING BURROUGHS Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 Jul11 Jun21 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 1.60    
LUST FOR LIFE Oct29 Oct10 Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
MAGICAL MONARCH Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 May17 Apr28 (rivera ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.