Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/5/1)-(2/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/4/3/5)-(5/2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/5)-(5/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/5)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/1/10/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/3)-(5/1/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/3)-(5/1/10/3)-(6/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/1/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/10/3)-(5/1/2/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/10/3)-(5/1/2/10/3)-(5/1/2/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/10/3)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/10/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/9/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(6/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(6/9/1/7)-(1/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/7)-(6/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/7)-(6/9/1/7)-(6/9/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/1/7)-(1/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TOO DEEP Sep05         (smith larry)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00    
  (by THE DEEP (IRE) out of KISSING BRIDGE by LINKAGE)
TAMPA TEACHER Oct23 Sep22 Sep03 Jul19 Jun29 (wolochuk david)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 17.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCHOOL BOARD PREZ by COURAGEOUS CAT)
JUSTWORTHASHOT Oct14 Sep22 May12 Mar24 Feb28 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
MANDAVILLA Oct07 Sep17 Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 (tumblin kris)KEISER CHELSEY 126 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
COUNTRY PROMISES Oct23 Sep22       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
SPECTACULAR TANGO         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LA QUEBRADA by MORE THAN READY)
 
MVR-2   11/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB) Oct23 Oct13 Aug27 Jul23 Jun26 (gilmartin br)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
ABSOLUTE GRIT Oct22 Oct10 Nov03 Oct17 Sep06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.20    
SMOKIN' HOT Oct28 Oct06 Sep25 Aug26 Feb07 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
ZADDY Oct23 Sep30 Sep20 Sep10 Aug14 (donjuan serg)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00    
ZIPPIN GIGI Oct30 Oct10 Mar20 Mar03 Feb07 (juarez-me)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00 29% 2.40    
OUTKISSED Oct26 Sep27 Aug13 Jun16 Jun04 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 4.50    
 
MVR-3   11/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTANT GALAXY Oct27 Sep09       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STARSHIP AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
GO COLLECTOR Aug14 Jul09 Jun07     (donjuan sergio)PARKER L 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
  (by COLLECTED out of LYRICAL DIVA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
TOP FROST Oct03         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by FROSTED out of TABLE FOR SIX by MIZZEN MAST)
ABUNDANT ENERGY Oct22         (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of LUCY'S TOWN by NORTHERN AFLEET)
RUNNINGONHIGHLEVEL Oct03 Sep26       (faulkner rodne)SWAN KIRSTEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LEVEL WITH ME by ROCK SLIDE)
STEPNOSKI Oct08 Sep09       (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of GRATZIE by TWO PUNCH)
GAME PERFORMER Sep26 Sep12 Aug26     (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 5.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SWEETNESS 'N LIGHT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
MVR-4   11/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENTURE ON Oct30 Oct10 Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
HITE Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 Jul10 Jun24 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
CLEVELAND POWER Oct27 Sep30 Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CONDEMNATION Oct09 Aug27 Aug12 Jun25 Jun04 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
INDIAN FEVER Oct27 Sep30 Nov11 Oct03 Sep10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
MISTER MOBIL Oct30 Oct07 Sep25 Sep10 Aug28 (bailey ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 15.00    
SAMMY'S SMILE Oct27 Sep30 Aug12 Jul01 Jun04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00    
RAVEN MOON Oct27 Oct07 Aug27 Aug07 Jul01 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   11/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEZA PISTOL Oct25 Sep03 Jul06 Jun19 May18 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
MOBIL MISSION Oct25 Oct08 Sep03 Aug11 Sep04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
SILVER IS A GIFT Oct25 Sep18 Sep03 Aug08 Jul01 (andrade hugo)YARANGA Y 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEIDI N SEEK Oct25 Sep27 Sep17 Aug22 Aug02 (donjuan s)MARTINEZ L 124 10.00    
CURIOUS CORN Oct25 Sep18       (jarvis kat)HERNANDEZ N 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
HALEY'S DANTE Oct25 Oct02 Sep03 Aug08 Jul12 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00    
DYNAMIC GIFT Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 Sep05 Aug02 (andrade hugo)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00    
DEW IT WITH CLASS Oct21 Sep18 Aug22 Aug02 Jun20 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 122 20.00    
MOMENT IN THE DARK Oct25 Sep16 Dec10 Nov11 May21 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 30.00    
10  LUCKY'S PRIZE Oct25 Oct08 Aug28 Aug12 Jul09 (baird michael)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   11/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPELLED WELL Oct28 Sep23 Sep02 Jul09 Jun14 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
ROCK THE RED Oct28 Oct09 Sep05 Jul08 Jun17 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
CANAVERO Sep23 Sep02 Aug20 Jul01 Jun14 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREEWHIZ Oct28 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 (juarez-mendoza)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50    
HEART OF AN ANGEL Oct28 Oct09 Sep17 Aug13 Aug05 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
IMPROBABLE FIRST Oct28 Oct09 Sep12 Aug11 Jul02 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.60 38% 1.70    
COOL COUPLE Oct29 Oct06 Aug13 Jun23 May13 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
 
MVR-7   11/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA CRAFTY May03 Feb27 Jan29 Dec16 Dec02 (guciardo rob)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
SHANGHAI DELIGHT Oct27 Oct15 Sep23 Jun24 Jun07 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
SHES A STORM Oct27 Aug05 Jun11 May22 Apr29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00    
BE KOZY Oct27 Sep24 Sep13 Sep02 Jun27 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
SCR  PENNY'S TREASURE Oct22 Oct02 Sep08 Aug18 Jul08 (castro raque)TERRAZA GERMAN 126 10.00    
OLYMPIC WINGS Oct27 Oct02 Jun23 Apr28 Mar20 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
MOBIL MEMORY Oct27 Oct08 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MANDOLIN BREEZE Oct27 Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 Aug05 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
ANGEL I'M NOT Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 Aug19 May26 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
MVR-8   11/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTHELOVEOFBONNIE Aug06 Jul14 Jul19 Jul01   (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
COWGIRLTAKEMEAWAY Oct23 Oct03 Jun27 May27 Apr21 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 4.00    
ELOPEDATTHEDERBY Oct03 Aug23 Jul25 May30 Jul19 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  COWGIRLS HUMOR Nov03 Oct21 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 (schuster r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 20.00    
MOODY RIVER Oct22 Sep25       (huffman candace)MOJICA JR 126 5.00 12% 7.10    
MOBIL DREAM STAR Sep24 Sep06 Aug23 Jul25 Jun14 (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MON MINOU Oct23 Sep30 Aug29 Jul17 May08 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 15.00    
TRANSCENDENCE Oct07 Sep27 Sep18 Aug29 Aug22 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00    
SCR  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jul14 Jun07 May14 Apr28 Jul24 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.