Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Monday - October 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(1/6/3)-(2/5/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(2/5/1)-(5/6/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/6/2)-(8/1/3/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(8/1/3/7)-(9/5/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/7)-(9/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/7)-(9/5/7)-(4/2/5/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-6   WIN (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/7)-(9/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/7)-(9/5/7)-(9/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/7)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7)-(4/2/5/6)-(2/5/7/9/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(2/5/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-8   WIN (2/5/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/9/1)-(2/5/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/9/1)-(2/5/7/9/1)-(2/5/7/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   10/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00    
LEFT IN MY DUST Oct03 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 Nov30 (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
LONHRO'S GAMBLE Oct14 Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug10 (newlan)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
LANGSTAFF ROAD Nov03 Sep29 Aug13 Jul07 Jun04 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
BOSTON BAY Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 (goldenberg ja)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00    
STAR SCHOLAR Oct07 Sep22 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00 5% 18.40    
 
FE-2   10/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS QUALITY Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Oct14 Jun15 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INTERNALLYFLAWLESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LA RONDE Oct06 Aug25 Aug09 Jul03 Jun01 (rabste)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of EXECUTIVE ALLURE by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
DIXIE IS A BREEZE Oct06 Sep13 Jun21     (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIXIE AND A BREEZE by DIXIELAND BAND)
HER OBSESSION Sep25 Sep06 Jul31 Jul06 Jun19 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of LOVE MY LIFE by LATENT HEAT)
BLUE'S MOMMY Aug25 Jul27 Jul19 Jun28 May31 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.50    
  (by SILENT NAME out of CLEMENTIS by PERIGEE MOON)
ARCTIC VELOCITY Oct06 Sep08 Aug30 Jul12 Jun21 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by VOLATILE out of FOXY MEDAL by TAPIT)
 
FE-3   10/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTION POINT Nov19 Nov05 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 (crete )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CANTUCCI Oct14 Sep29 Sep15 Aug12 Jul27 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  YORKVILLE Oct07 Sep01 Jul12 May31 May11 (neigel tara)AEBLY FRASER 124 8.00    
ITS JUST MONEY Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00    
BLAME J D Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul18 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Oct14 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 May30 (chirc)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 6.00    
SMART ALMASTY Oct05 Sep06 Aug10 Jul25 Jun27 (krczmar zelko)JONES SLADE 124 2.50    
BET N WIN Oct03 Aug22 Jun29 Jun13 May18 (patton-casse ka)HOYTE JASON 124 10.00    
 
FE-4   10/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN Sep14 Aug30 Aug01 Jul20 Jun27 (polsinelli)CAMPOS LUIS 122 5.00    
PAPERBACK HERO Oct07 Sep16 Sep05 Aug17 Aug04 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NAMEOFTHEGAME Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
SHAKOO MAKOO Sep21 Jul27 Jul08 Jun15 Nov23 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00    
GAROFOLI Jul08 Jun15 May04 Nov17 Oct03 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
HEY CUE Sep29 Sep01 Aug03 Jul13 Jun13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
FE-5   10/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TIME LOUIE Oct07 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
ALWAYS A WAY Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
RYE'S MY GUY Oct07 Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.50 5% 18.60    
GRAN SPIRITED Oct07 Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 Jun03 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00    
HICKSY Oct13 Sep15 Aug17 Aug11 Jun15 (humber joseph)KERR CHEYENNE 117 15.00    
M C JACKHAMMER Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
BRADY O'BRADY Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 (smith r)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BACK TO REALITY Sep15 Jun03 May27 May04 Jan07 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
FE-6   10/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL BIT GANGSTA Sep19 Sep12 Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 (cole krista)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
SCR  STORMIN DAVE Sep30 Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
SCR  LINDA'S OPAL Oct06 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 (neubau)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00    
BOLT ENOREE Aug29 Aug03 Jun14 May17 Dec07 (chirc)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 1.80    
BELLA FUTURE Sep30 Sep16 Aug12 Jul27 Jul13 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  WILBERFORCE Oct05 Sep16 Sep01 Aug22 Aug03 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
BORDER TOWN Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jun12 (polsinelli)CAMPOS LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
OK SPEEDY Sep08 Aug05 Jul27 Jun27 Jun08 (mileni nick)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
STYLISH GENT Sep29 Sep12 Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
10  SEA TO AIR Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 Jun15 Oct22 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
 
FE-7   10/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINGO'S GRIND Oct06 Aug17 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 (newland george)JADOO STEVE 120 12.00    
VIDEO EVIDENCE Sep09 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
SHORT STORY LONG Oct14 Sep23 Aug25 Aug17 Jul27 (hoad l)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00    
GHOST BUSTED Sep29 Sep16 Sep07 Aug22   (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
SUPER HONEY TIMBER Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 119 4.00 16% 5.40    
GLINTINDADDYSEYE Oct03 Sep26 Sep09 Aug18 Jul27 (willi)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 12.00 6% 16.90    
GOLDEN TEST Oct13 Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00    
BACK RIVER Sep09 Aug18 Aug05 Jul19 Jun27 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
 
FE-8   10/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MESEEKS Oct07 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Aug01 (mitchell m)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
STREGA Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul10 Oct26 (ceccato sharo)KERR CHEYENNE 114 1.80 40% 1.50    
REDOUTE'S LIGHT Oct07 Sep08 Sep01 Aug05 Jul14 (smith )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00    
PLAY THE DOTS Oct07 Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00    
MY TWO AUNT JOANS Oct07 Sep16 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
IF YOU INSIST Sep23 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (fourni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.50    
HE'S A SHOOTER Sep23 Sep01 May05 Jan07 Dec23 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 124 4.50 8% 11.70    
WHISKEY ROW Oct03 Sep12 Aug01 Jul10 Jun13 (chircop steven)SALLES LEO 122 20.00    
STRONG ENDING Sep23 Sep01 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 (davis )ALDERSON IAN 122 10.00 6% 14.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.